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Digitalisation transforms money from distinguishable physical objects into fungible informational units. A recent theoretical framework predicts that such indistinguishable wealth obeys bosonic occupancy statistics, leading to geometric…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-05-14 Chanhee Park , Claudio J. Tessone , Yu Zhang , Jeong-Hyuck Park

The open availability of the entire history of the Bitcoin transactions opens up the possibility to study this system at an unprecedented level of detail. This contribution is devoted to the analysis of the mesoscale structural properties…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-12-01 Nicolò Vallarano , Tiziano Squartini , Claudio J. Tessone

The problem of anomaly detection has been studied for a long time, and many Network Analysis techniques have been proposed as solutions. Although some results appear to be quite promising, no method is clearly to be superior to the rest. In…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2017-02-28 Thai Pham , Steven Lee

Our study empirically predicts the bubble of non-fungible tokens (NFTs): transferable and unique digital assets on public blockchains. This topic is important because, despite their strong market growth in 2021, NFTs on a project basis have…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-06-17 Kensuke Ito , Kyohei Shibano , Gento Mogi

Cryptocurrencies return cross-predictability and technological similarity yield information on risk propagation and market segmentation. To investigate these effects, we build a time-varying network for cryptocurrencies, based on the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-08-27 Li Guo , Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Yubo Tao

Cryptocurrencies return cross-predictability and technological similarity yield information on risk propagation and market segmentation. To investigate these effects, we build a time-varying network for cryptocurrencies, based on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-18 Li Guo , Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Yubo Tao

Based on the tick-by-tick price changes of the companies from the U.S. and from the German stock markets over the period 1998-99 we reanalyse several characteristics established by the Boston Group for the U.S. market in the period 1994-95,…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2008-12-02 S. Drozdz , J. Kwapien , F. Gruemmer , F. Ruf , J. Speth

During times of extreme market turmoil, it is acknowledged that there is a tendency towards "flight to safety". A strong (weak) safe haven is defined as an asset that has a significant positive (negative) return in periods where another…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2017-03-02 Jamal Bouoiyour , Refk Selmi

Correlation networks were used to detect characteristics which, although fixed over time, have an important influence on the evolution of prices over time. Potentially important features were identified using the websites and whitepapers of…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2018-06-19 Andrew Burnie

Anomalous diffusions arise as scaling limits of continuous-time random walks (CTRWs) whose innovation times are distributed according to a power law. The impact of a non-exponential waiting time does not vanish with time and leads to…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2020-04-13 Antoine Jacquier , Lorenzo Torricelli

This paper identifies the cryptocurrency market crashes and analyses its dynamics using the complex network. We identify three distinct crashes during 2017-20, and the analysis is carried out by dividing the time series into pre-crash,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-05-10 Kundan Mukhia , Anish Rai , SR Luwang , Md Nurujjaman , Sushovan Majhi , Chittaranjan Hens

We present positive evidence of price stability of cryptocurrencies as a medium of exchange. For the sample years from 2016 to 2020, the prices of major cryptocurrencies are found to be stable, relative to major financial assets.…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-12-14 Tatsuru Kikuchi , Toranosuke Onishi , Kenichi Ueda

This research proposes a model for the intraday variation between the ETHBTC spot and the quotient of ETHUSDT and BTCUSDT traded on Binance. Under conditions of no-arbitrage, perfect accuracy and no microstructure effects, the variation…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2022-01-06 Sidharth Mallik

Precise short-term price prediction in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market is critical for informed trading strategies. Although Temporal Fusion Transformers (TFTs) have shown potential, their direct use often struggles in the face of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-09-16 Arash Peik , Mohammad Ali Zare Chahooki , Amin Milani Fard , Mehdi Agha Sarram

A non-fungible token (NFT) market is a new trading invention based on the blockchain technology which parallels the cryptocurrency market. In the present work we study capitalization, floor price, the number of transactions, the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-01-17 Paweł Szydło , Marcin Wątorek , Jarosław Kwapień , Stanisław Drożdż

The possibility to analyze everyday monetary transactions is limited by the scarcity of available data, as this kind of information is usually considered highly sensitive. Present econophysics models are usually employed on presumed random…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-04-01 Dániel Kondor , Márton Pósfai , István Csabai , Gábor Vattay

We conclude from an analysis of high resolution NYSE data that the distribution of the traded value $f_i$ (or volume) has a finite variance $\sigma_i$ for the very large majority of stocks $i$, and the distribution itself is non-universal…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz

We consider the tail probabilities of stock returns for a general class of stochastic volatility models. In these models, the stochastic differential equation for volatility is autonomous, time-homogeneous and dependent on only a finite…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-03-21 Henrik O. Rasmussen , Paul Wilmott

The two phase behavior in financial markets actually means the bifurcation phenomenon, which represents the change of the conditional probability from an unimodal to a bimodal distribution. In this paper, the bifurcation phenomenon in…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2009-11-13 Shi-Mei Jiang , Shi-Min Cai , Tao Zhou , Pei-Ling Zhou

We construct the Bitcoin User Network (BUN) directly from raw blockchain data up to late 2025, which allows us to explore its mesoscopic properties and trace its temporal evolution. In particular, we analyze the structure of connected…