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In this paper we investigate how the bootstrap can be applied to time series regressions when the volatility of the innovations is random and non-stationary. The volatility of many economic and financial time series displays persistent…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-01-12 H. Peter Boswijk , Giuseppe Cavaliere , Anders Rahbek , Iliyan Georgiev

We are concerned with nonparametric hypothesis testing of time series functionals. It is known that the popular autoregressive sieve bootstrap is, in general, not valid for statistics whose (asymptotic) distribution depends on moments of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-21 Natalia Sirotko-Sibirskaya , Matthias O. Franz , Thorsten Dickhaus

The paper considers simultaneous nonparametric inference for a wide class of M-regression models with time-varying coefficients. The covariates and errors of the regression model are tackled as a general class of nonstationary time series…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-10 Miaoshiqi Liu , Zhou Zhou

Backpropagation (BP) has been a successful optimization technique for deep learning models. However, its limitations, such as backward- and update-locking, and its biological implausibility, hinder the concurrent updating of layers and do…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-22 Anzhe Cheng , Zhenkun Wang , Chenzhong Yin , Mingxi Cheng , Heng Ping , Xiongye Xiao , Shahin Nazarian , Paul Bogdan

Time series forecasting has always been a thought-provoking topic in the field of machine learning. Machine learning scientists define a time series as a set of observations recorded over consistent time steps. And, time series forecasting…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-07-19 Payal Kaushik , Sayantan Pramanik , M Girish Chandra , C V Sridhar

We introduce a bootstrap procedure for high-frequency statistics of Brownian semistationary processes. More specifically, we focus on a hypothesis test on the roughness of sample paths of Brownian semistationary processes, which uses an…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Ulrich Hounyo , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

This paper introduces a conversion matrix method for linear periodically time-variant (LPTV) digital phase-locked loop (DPLL) phase noise modeling that offers precise and computationally efficient results to enable rapid design iteration…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-07-01 Hongyu Lu , Patrick P. Mercier

Temporal dependence and the resulting autocovariances in time series data can introduce bias into ANOVA test statistics, thereby affecting their size and power. This manuscript accounts for temporal dependence in ANOVA and develops a test…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-12 Yunyi Zhang

Bayesian inference using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) on large datasets has developed rapidly in recent years. However, the underlying methods are generally limited to relatively simple settings where the data have specific forms of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-18 Robert Salomone , Matias Quiroz , Robert Kohn , Mattias Villani , Minh-Ngoc Tran

Conformal prediction offers a practical framework for distribution-free uncertainty quantification, providing finite-sample coverage guarantees under relatively mild assumptions on data exchangeability. However, these assumptions cease to…

The wild bootstrap is a popular resampling method in the context of time-to-event data analyses. Previous works established the large sample properties of it for applications to different estimators and test statistics. It can be used to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-27 Marina T. Dietrich , Dennis Dobler , Mathisca C. M. de Gunst

To monitor critical infrastructure, high quality sensors sampled at a high frequency are increasingly used. However, as they produce huge amounts of data, only simple aggregates are stored. This removes outliers and fluctuations that could…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2021-06-30 Søren Kejser Jensen , Torben Bach Pedersen , Christian Thomsen

Multivariate time series present many challenges, especially when they are high dimensional. The paper's focus is twofold. First, we address the subject of consistently estimating the autocovariance sequence; this is a sequence of matrices…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-03 Carsten Jentsch , Dimitris N. Politis

This paper introduces the novel class of modulated cyclostationary processes, a class of non-stationary processes exhibiting frequency coupling, and proposes a method of their estimation from repeated trials. Cyclostationary processes also…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-10-25 Sofia C. Olhede , Hernando Ombao

This thesis develops exact analytical tools to study strongly correlated stochastic systems, with a focus on extreme value statistics, gap statistics, and full counting statistics in multi-particle processes. A central contribution is the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-08-19 Marco Biroli

Periodograms are common tools used to search for periodic signals in unevenly spaced time series. The significance of periodogram peaks is often assessed using false alarm probability (FAP), which in most studies assumes uncorrelated noise…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2020-03-11 J. -B. Delisle , N. Hara , D. Ségransan

Quantitative analysis of the dynamics of tiny cellular and sub-cellular structures, known as particles, in time-lapse cell microscopy sequences requires the development of a reliable multi-target tracking method capable of tracking numerous…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2015-07-24 Seyed Hamid Rezatofighi , Stephen Gould , Ba Tuong Vo , Ba-Ngu Vo , Katarina Mele , Richard Hartley

Methods based on partial least squares (PLS) regression, which has recently gained much attention in the analysis of high-dimensional genomic datasets, have been developed since the early 2000s for performing variable selection. Most of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-31 Jérémy Magnanensi , Myriam Maumy-Bertrand , Nicolas Meyer , Frédéric Bertrand

In many applications, a control procedure is required to detect potential deviations in a panel of serially correlated processes. It is common that the processes are corrupted by noise and that no prior information about the in-control data…

This article proposes an online bootstrap scheme for nonparametric level estimation in nonstationary time series. Our approach applies to a broad class of level estimators expressible as weighted sample averages over time windows, including…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-02 Thomas Nagler , Tobias Brock , Nicolai Palm