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There have been significant recent advances in our understanding of the potential use and limitations of early-warning signs for predicting drastic changes, so called critical transitions or tipping points, in dynamical systems. A focus of…

斑图形成与孤子 · 物理学 2015-03-06 Karna Gowda , Christian Kuehn

The understanding and prediction of sudden changes in flow patterns is of paramount importance in the analysis of geophysical flows as these rare events relate to critical phenomena such as atmospheric blocking, the weakening of the Gulf…

动力系统 · 数学 2020-01-07 Moussa Ndour , Kathrin Padberg-Gehle

We discuss a bifurcation scenario which creates periodic pulsating solutions in slow-fast delayed systems through a cascade of almost simultaneous Hopf bifurcations. This scenario has been previously associated with formation of pulses in a…

动力系统 · 数学 2016-01-26 Pavel Kravetc , Dmitrii Rachinskii , Andrei Vladimirov

We present a new method for generating robust guesses for unstable periodic orbits (UPOs) by post-processing turbulent data using dynamic mode decomposition (DMD). The approach relies on the identification of near-neutral, repeated…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2020-02-19 Jacob Page , Rich R. Kerswell

In this article we study topological bifurcations of critical orbits of equivariant gradient equations. We give necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of global bifurcations of solutions of these equations. Moreover, we apply…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2015-03-11 Marta Kowalczyk

In this paper we perform the parameter-dependent center manifold reduction near the generalized Hopf (Bautin), fold-Hopf, Hopf-Hopf and transcritical-Hopf bifurcations in delay differential equations (DDEs). This allows us to initialize the…

动力系统 · 数学 2019-03-21 Maikel M. Bosschaert , Sebastiaan G. Janssens , Yuri A. Kuznetsov

A network of noisy bistable elements with global time-delayed couplings is considered. A dichotomous mean field model has recently been developed describing the collective dynamics in such systems with uniform time delays near the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Daniel Huber , Lev Tsimring

This article establishes the foundation for a new theory of invariant/integral manifolds for non-autonomous dynamical systems. Current rigorous support for dimensional reduction modelling of slow-fast systems is limited by the rare events…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-06-01 A. J. Roberts

We present a new approach to forecasting North Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures (SST) by recognizing that interannual variability primarily reflects amplitude changes in four dominant seasonal cycles. Our multivariate linear model…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-01-06 Rameshan Kallummal

We consider a neural field model which consists of a network of an arbitrary number of Wilson-Cowan nodes with homeostatic adjustment of the inhibitory coupling strength and time delayed, excitatory coupling. We extend previous work on this…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-11-28 Isam Al-Darabsah , Sue Ann Campbell , Bootan Rahman

In this paper we prove that periodic boundary-value problems (BVPs) for delay differential equations are locally equivalent to finite-dimensional algebraic systems of equations. We rely only on regularity assumptions that follow those of…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-10-09 Jan Sieber

This paper studies the chaotic behavior of hydrosphere and its influence on global weather and climate. We give mathematical arguments for the sea surface temperature (SST) to be unpredictable over the global ocean. The impact of SST…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2018-01-04 Marat Akhmet , Mehmet Onur Fen , Ejaily Milad Alejaily

We study the structure of the set of harmonic solutions to perturbed nonautonomous, T-periodic, separated variables ODEs on manifolds. The perturbing term is allowed to contain a finite delay and to be T-periodic in time.

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2012-02-14 Luca Bisconti , Marco Spadini

The classification of electron systems according to their topology has been at the forefront of condensed matter research in recent years. It has been found that systems of the same symmetry, previously thought of as equivalent, may in fact…

强关联电子 · 物理学 2015-01-09 Jan Borchmann , Aaron Farrell , Shunji Matsuura , T. Pereg-Barnea

The effects of El Ni\~no's two distinct flavors, East Pacific (EP) and Central Pacific (CP)/Modoki El Ni\~no, on global climate variability have been studied intensively in recent years. Most of these studies have made use of linear…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-01-11 Marc Wiedermann , Jonatan F. Siegmund , Jonathan F. Donges , Reik V. Donner

This study investigates temporal variability in U.S. climate using harmonic decomposition techniques, specifically Fourier and wavelet transforms. Monthly temperature, precipitation, and drought index data from the National Oceanic and…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-11-13 Thomas Xiao

We investigate a diffusive, stage-structured epidemic model with the maturation delay and freely-moving delay. Choosing delays and diffusive rates as bifurcation parameters, the only possible way to destabilize the endemic equilibrium is…

动力系统 · 数学 2018-05-25 Yanfei Du , Ben Niu , Junjie Wei

This work concerns the dynamics of nonlinear systems that are subjected to delayed self-feedback. Perturbation methods applied to such systems give rise to slow flows which characteristically contain delayed variables. We consider two…

动力系统 · 数学 2016-01-11 Si Mohamed Sah , Richard H. Rand

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a flexible framework for modeling temporal dynamics in partially observed systems. A central task is to calibrate such models from data, which requires inferring latent trajectories and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-08 Yu Wang , Arnab Ganguly

We apply topological methods to the study of the set of harmonic solutions of periodically perturbed autonomous ordinary differential equations on differentiable manifolds, allowing the perturbing term to contain a fixed delay. In the…

动力系统 · 数学 2008-10-02 Massimo Furi , Marco Spadini