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相关论文: Continuous Treatment Effect Estimation Using Gradi…

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Inferring causal individual treatment effect (ITE) from observational data is a challenging problem whose difficulty is exacerbated by the presence of treatment assignment bias. In this work, we propose a new way to estimate the ITE using…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-16 Abhin Shah , Kartik Ahuja , Karthikeyan Shanmugam , Dennis Wei , Kush Varshney , Amit Dhurandhar

Dynamic prediction of causal effects under different treatment regimes conditional on an individual's characteristics and longitudinal history is an essential problem in precision medicine. This is challenging in practice because outcomes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-07 Yizhen Xu , Jisoo Kim , Laura K. Hummers , Ami A. Shah , Scott Zeger

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) for survival outcomes has gained increasing attention, as it captures the variation in treatment efficacy across patients or subgroups in delaying disease progression. However, most existing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-27 Na Bo , Ying Ding

Individual treatment effect (ITE) is often regarded as the ideal target of inference in causal analyses and has been the focus of several recent studies. In this paper, we describe the intrinsic limits regarding what can be learned…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-10 Zhehao Zhang , Thomas S. Richardson

From personalised medicine to targeted advertising, it is an inherent task to provide a sequence of decisions with historical covariates and outcome data. This requires understanding of both the dynamics and heterogeneity of treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-22 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Yi Yu

A central goal of modern causal inference is estimating heterogeneous treatment effects to answer questions like "how does an intervention affect each unit," rather than only on average. We study this problem with panel-data where we…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Anay Mehrotra , Phuc Tran , Van H. Vu , Manolis Zampetakis

Estimating the individual treatment effect (ITE) from observational data is meaningful and practical in healthcare. Existing work mainly relies on the strong ignorability assumption that no hidden confounders exist, which may lead to bias…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-16 Ruoqi Liu , Changchang Yin , Ping Zhang

This paper proposes a new method for estimating conditional average treatment effects (CATE) in randomized experiments. We adopt inverse probability weighting (IPW) for identification; however, IPW-transformed outcomes are known to be…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-14 Mingqian Guan , Komei Fujita , Naoya Sueishi , Shota Yasui

Heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE) based on patients' genetic or clinical factors are of significant interest to precision medicine. Simultaneously modeling HTE and corresponding main effects for randomized clinical trials with…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-06 Heng Chen , Michael L. LeBlanc , James Y. Dai

We propose to analyse the conditional distributional treatment effect (CoDiTE), which, in contrast to the more common conditional average treatment effect (CATE), is designed to encode a treatment's distributional aspects beyond the mean.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-11 Junhyung Park , Uri Shalit , Bernhard Schölkopf , Krikamol Muandet

Individual Treatment Effects (ITE) estimation methods have risen in popularity in the last years. Most of the time, individual effects are better presented as Conditional Average Treatment Effects (CATE). Recently, representation balancing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-30 Ayoub Abraich , Agathe Guilloux , Blaise Hanczar

Estimating longitudinal treatment effects is essential for sequential decision-making but is challenging due to treatment-confounder feedback. While Iterative Conditional Expectation (ICE) G-computation offers a principled approach, its…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-16 Wenxin Chen , Weishen Pan , Kyra Gan , Fei Wang

Stepped wedge cluster randomized controlled trials are typically analyzed using models that assume the full effect of the treatment is achieved instantaneously. We provide an analytical framework for scenarios in which the treatment effect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-25 Avi Kenny , Emily Voldal , Fan Xia , Patrick J. Heagerty , James P. Hughes

Causal analysis for time series data, in particular estimating individualized treatment effect (ITE), is a key task in many real-world applications, such as finance, retail, healthcare, etc. Real-world time series can include large-scale,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-07 Defu Cao , James Enouen , Yujing Wang , Xiangchen Song , Chuizheng Meng , Hao Niu , Yan Liu

Existing weighting methods for treatment effect estimation are often built upon the idea of propensity scores or covariate balance. They usually impose strong assumptions on treatment assignment or outcome model to obtain unbiased…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-09 Dongcheng Zhang , Kunpeng Zhang

Learning the Individual Treatment Effect (ITE) is essential for personalized decision-making, yet causal inference has traditionally focused on aggregated treatment effects. While integrating conformal prediction with causal inference can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-23 Chenyin Gao , Peter B. Gilbert , Larry Han

We study the problem of selecting the best heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) estimator from a collection of candidates in settings where the treatment effect is fundamentally unobserved. We cast estimator selection as a multiple testing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-25 Jiayi Guo , Zijun Gao

In recent years, there has been a growing interest in the prediction of individualized treatment effects. While there is a rapidly growing literature on the development of such models, there is little literature on the evaluation of their…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-22 J Hoogland , O Efthimiou , TL Nguyen , TPA Debray

In this paper, we develop inference methods for the distribution of heterogeneous individual treatment effects (ITEs) in the nonseparable triangular model with a binary endogenous treatment and a binary instrument of Vuong and Xu (2017) and…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-22 Jun Ma , Vadim Marmer , Zhengfei Yu

Generating probabilistic forecasts of potential outcomes and individual treatment effects (ITE) is essential for risk-aware decision-making in domains such as healthcare, policy, marketing, and finance. We propose two novel methods: the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-24 Jef Jonkers , Jarne Verhaeghe , Glenn Van Wallendael , Luc Duchateau , Sofie Van Hoecke