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Nonlinear dynamical systems exposed to changing forcing can exhibit catastrophic transitions between alternative and often markedly different states. The phenomenon of critical slowing down (CSD) can be used to anticipate such transitions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-13 Yu Huang , Sebastian Bathiany , Peter Ashwin , Niklas Boers

A wide variety of physical systems ranging from the firing of neurons to eutrophication of lakes to the presence of Arctic summer sea ice exhibit a phenomenon known as tipping. In mathematical models, tipping can be caused by bifurcations,…

动力系统 · 数学 2018-03-14 Alanna Hoyer-Leitzel , Alice Nadeau , Andrew Roberts , Andrew Steyer

Recent years have witnessed the rise of misinformation campaigns that spread specific narratives on social media to manipulate public opinions on different areas, such as politics and healthcare. Consequently, an effective and efficient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-17 Yizhou Zhang , Defu Cao , Yan Liu

In recent years, malicious information had an explosive growth in social media, with serious social and political backlashes. Recent important studies, featuring large-scale analyses, have produced deeper knowledge about this phenomenon,…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-01-29 Francesco Pierri , Carlo Piccardi , Stefano Ceri

We examine how misinformation spreads in social networks composed of individuals with long-term offline relationships. Especially, we focus on why misinformation persists and diffuses despite being recognized by most as false. In our…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-13 Shuige Liu

Influence overlap is a universal phenomenon in influence spreading for social networks. In this paper, we argue that the redundant influence generated by influence overlap cause negative effect for maximizing spreading influence. Firstly,…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-03-04 Ning Wang , Zi-Yi Wang , Jian-Guo Liu , Jing-Ti Han

We study a stochastic model for the diffusion of competing opinions in a population composed of three types of agents: trend-followers, opposers, and indifferent individuals. The decision dynamics are driven by reinforcement mechanisms,…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-24 Manuel González-Navarrete

The understanding and prediction of information diffusion processes on networks is a major challenge in network theory with many implications in social sciences. Many theoretical advances occurred due to stochastic spreading models.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-01-11 Hongrun Wu , Alex Arenas , Sergio Gómez

The diffusion of ideas is often closely connected to the creation and diffusion of knowledge and to the technological evolution of society. Because of this, knowledge creation, exchange and its subsequent transformation into innovations for…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-08-31 Nikolay K. Vitanov , Marcel R. Ausloos

This paper considers online reputation and polling systems where individuals make recommendations based on their private observations and recommendations of friends. Such interaction of individuals and their social influence is modelled as…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-01-07 Vikram Krishnamurthy , William Hoiles

In this paper, we consider a random network such that there could be a link between any two nodes in the network with a certain probability (plink). Diffusion is the phenomenon of spreading information throughout the network, starting from…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-11-23 Natarajan Meghanathan

Rate-induced tipping occurs when a ramp parameter changes rapidly enough to cause the system to tip between co-existing, attracting states. We show that the addition of noise to the system can cause it to tip well below the critical rate at…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-01-25 Katherine Slyman , Christopher K. Jones

Accurate modeling of opinion dynamics has the potential to help us understand polarization and what makes effective political discourse possible or impossible. Here, we use physics-based methods to model the evolution of political opinions…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-10-07 David Sabin-Miller , Daniel M. Abrams

Influence diffusion has been central to the study of propagation of information in social networks, where influence is typically modeled as a binary property of entities: influenced or not influenced. We introduce the notion of attitude,…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-10-27 Xiaoyun Fu , Madhavan Rajagopal Padmanabhan , Raj Gaurav Kumar , Samik Basu , Shawn Dorius , Pavan Aduri

This paper aims to show how some popular topics on social networks can be used to predict online newspaper views, related to the topics. Newspapers site and many social networks, become a good source of data to analyse and explain complex…

The rise in online misinformation in recent years threatens democracies by distorting authentic public discourse and causing confusion, fear, and even, in extreme cases, violence. There is a need to understand the spread of false content…

We propose an SIS competition model describing the propagation of conflicting rumors, such as fake news and its corrections. This simple model captures the interaction between rumor propagation and opinion dynamics, where rumors drive…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-05-27 Yu Takiguchi , Koji Nemoto

This paper provides a model to investigate information spreading over cyber-social network of agents communicating with each other. The cyber-social network considered here comprises individuals and news agencies. Each individual holds a…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-03-20 Yanbing Mao , Sadegh Bolouki , Emrah Akyol

The impact that information diffusion has on epidemic spreading has recently attracted much attention. As a disease begins to spread in the population, information about the disease is transmitted to others, which in turn has an effect on…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-15 Xiu-Xiu Zhan , Chuang Liu , Ge Zhou , Zi-Ke Zhang , Gui-Quan Sun , Jonathan J. H. Zhu

A universal formula is shown to predict the dynamics of public opinion including eventual sudden and unexpected outbreaks of minority opinions within a generic parameter space of five dimensions. The formula is obtained combining and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-12-04 Serge Galam , Taksu Cheon