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This tutorial focuses on kriging-based simulation optimization, emphasizing the importance of data efficiency in optimization problems involving expensive simulation models. It discusses how kriging models contribute to developing…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-02-11 Sasan Amini , Inneke Van Nieuwenhuyse

We present Blitzkriging, a new approach to fast inference for Gaussian processes, applicable to regression, optimisation and classification. State-of-the-art (stochastic) inference for Gaussian processes on very large datasets scales…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-03 Thomas Nickson , Tom Gunter , Chris Lloyd , Michael A Osborne , Stephen Roberts

Although cokriging in theory should yield smaller or equal prediction variance than kriging, this outperformance sometimes is hard to see in practice. This should motivate theoretical studies on cokriging. In general, there is a lack of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-07-31 Hao Zhang , Wenxiang Cai

This paper presents a kriging method for spatial prediction of temporal intensity functions, for situations where a temporal point process is observed at different spatial locations. Assuming that several replications of the processes are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-02 Daniel Gervini

This paper deals with the Gaussian process based approximation of a code which can be run at different levels of accuracy. This method, which is a particular case of co-kriging, allows us to improve a surrogate model of a complex computer…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-09-25 Loic Le Gratiet

Gaussian process fitting, or kriging, is often used to create a model from a set of data. Many available software packages do this, but we show that very different results can be obtained from different packages even when using the same…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-10-10 Collin B. Erickson , Bruce E. Ankenman , Susan M. Sanchez

The canonical technique for nonlinear modeling of spatial/point-referenced data is known as kriging in geostatistics, and as Gaussian Process (GP) regression for surrogate modeling and statistical learning. This article reviews many…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-12-16 Ryan B. Christianson , Ryan M. Pollyea , Robert B. Gramacy

Machine learning-based reliability analysis methods have shown great advancements for their computational efficiency and accuracy. Recently, many efficient learning strategies have been proposed to enhance the computational performance.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-23 Lisang Zhou , Ziqian Luo , Xueting Pan

Let $\FF$ be a set of real-valued functions on a set $\XX$ and let $S:\FF \to \GG$ be an arbitrary mapping. We consider the problem of making inference about $S(f)$, with $f\in\FF$ unknown, from a finite set of pointwise evaluations of $f$.…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-11-17 Emmanuel Vazquez , Julien Bect

Active learning methods for emulating complex computer models that rely on stationary Gaussian processes tend to produce design points that uniformly fill the entire experimental region, which can be wasteful for functions which vary only…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-16 Shangkun Wang , V. Roshan Joseph

Gaussian process models -also called Kriging models- are often used as mathematical approximations of expensive experiments. However, the number of observation required for building an emulator becomes unrealistic when using classical…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-12-17 Nicolas Durrande , David Ginsbourger , Olivier Roustant , Laurent Carraro

In this paper, we further investigate the problem of selecting a set of design points for universal kriging, which is a widely used technique for spatial data analysis. Our goal is to select the design points in order to make simultaneous…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-18 Helmut Waldl , Werner G. Müller , Paula Camelia Trandafir

Gaussian processes (GPs) defined through intrinsic random fields provide a flexible framework for modeling spatial phenomena, and have been advocated in a variety of applications over the past several decades. Nevertheless, their adoption…

A formal cyber reasoning framework for automating the threat hunting process is described. The new cyber reasoning methodology introduces an operational semantics that operates over three subspaces -- knowledge, hypothesis, and action -- to…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2021-04-22 Frederico Araujo , Dhilung Kirat , Xiaokui Shu , Teryl Taylor , Jiyong Jang

Kernel Regularized Least Squares (KRLS) is a popular method for flexibly estimating models that may have complex relationships between variables. However, its usefulness to many researchers is limited for two reasons. First, existing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-09-12 Qing Chang , Max Goplerud

The robustness of the kernel recursive least square (KRLS) algorithm has recently been improved by combining them with more robust information-theoretic learning criteria, such as minimum error entropy (MEE) and generalized MEE (GMEE),…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2023-09-07 Jiacheng He , Gang Wang , Kun Zhang , Shan Zhong , Bei Peng

We develop a general game-theoretic framework for reasoning about strategic agents performing possibly costly computation. In this framework, many traditional game-theoretic results (such as the existence of a Nash equilibrium) no longer…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2014-12-10 Joseph Y. Halpern , Rafael Pass

We extend the classic regret minimization framework for approximating equilibria in normal-form games by greedily weighing iterates based on regrets observed at runtime. Theoretically, our method retains all previous convergence rate…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2022-04-12 Hugh Zhang , Adam Lerer , Noam Brown

Recent advances in computational cognitive science (i.e., simulation-based probabilistic programs) have paved the way for significant progress in formal, implementable models of pragmatics. Rather than describing a pragmatic reasoning…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-05-21 Gregory Scontras , Michael Henry Tessler , Michael Franke

Functional Ordinary Kriging is the most widely used method to predict a curve at a given spatial point. However, uncertainty remains an open issue. In this article a distribution-free prediction method based on two different modulation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-01 Anna De Magistris , Andrea Diana , Elvira Romano