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We extend recurrent neural networks to include several flexible timescales for each dimension of their output, which mechanically improves their abilities to account for processes with long memory or with highly disparate time scales. We…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-08-21 Damien Challet , Vincent Ragel

We introduce NoxTrader, a sophisticated system designed for portfolio construction and trading execution with the primary objective of achieving profitable outcomes in the stock market, specifically aiming to generate moderate to long-term…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-01-09 Hsiang-Hui Liu , Han-Jay Shu , Wei-Ning Chiu

Prediction of stock prices has been a crucial and challenging task, especially in the case of highly volatile digital currencies such as Bitcoin. This research examineS the potential of using neural network models, namely LSTMs and GRUs, to…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-05-15 Ali Mohammadjafari

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are more suitable for learning non-linear dependencies in dynamical systems from observed time series data. In practice all the external variables driving such systems are not known a priori, especially in…

Market prediction plays a major role in supporting financial decisions. An emerging approach in this domain is to use graphical modeling and analysis to for prediction of next market index fluctuations. One important question in this domain…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-12-13 Alireza Jafari , Saman Haratizadeh

We present a novel approach for predicting the distribution of asset returns using a quantile-based method with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. Our model is designed in two stages: the first focuses on predicting the quantiles of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-01-29 Ísak Pétursson , María Óskarsdóttir

Stock market forecasting is a classic problem that has been thoroughly investigated using machine learning and artificial neural network based tools and techniques. Interesting aspects of this problem include its time reliance as well as…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-02-20 Raihan Tanvir , Md Tanvir Rouf Shawon , Md. Golam Rabiul Alam

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) have long been recognized for their potential to model complex time series. However, it remains to be determined what optimization techniques and recurrent architectures can be used to best realize this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-10-19 Ben Krause

Prediction of stock prices plays a significant role in aiding the decision-making of investors. Considering its importance, a growing literature has emerged trying to forecast stock prices with improved accuracy. In this study, we introduce…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-14 Md Sabbirul Haque , Md Shahedul Amin , Jonayet Miah , Duc Minh Cao , Ashiqul Haque Ahmed

In this study, a novel Distributed Representation of News (DRNews) model is developed and applied in deep learning-based stock market predictions. With the merit of integrating contextual information and cross-documental knowledge, the…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-05-17 Ye Ma , Lu Zong , Peiwan Wang

This paper investigates the application of machine learning models, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), one-dimensional Convolutional Neural Networks (1D CNN), and Logistic Regression (LR), for predicting stock trends based on fundamental…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-10-08 John Phan , Hung-Fu Chang

High-frequency trading requires fast data processing without information lags for precise stock price forecasting. This high-paced stock price forecasting is usually based on vectors that need to be treated as sequential and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-16 Adamantios Ntakaris , Moncef Gabbouj , Juho Kanniainen

This paper contributes a new machine learning solution for stock movement prediction, which aims to predict whether the price of a stock will be up or down in the near future. The key novelty is that we propose to employ adversarial…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2019-06-04 Fuli Feng , Huimin Chen , Xiangnan He , Ji Ding , Maosong Sun , Tat-Seng Chua

Volatility prediction for financial assets is one of the essential questions for understanding financial risks and quadratic price variation. However, although many novel deep learning models were recently proposed, they still have a "hard…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-02-24 German Rodikov , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

This paper will analyze and implement a time series dynamic neural network to predict daily closing stock prices. Neural networks possess unsurpassed abilities in identifying underlying patterns in chaotic, non-linear, and seemingly random…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-06-23 David Noel

Predicting the stock market is a big challenge for the machine learning world. It is known how difficult it is to have accurate and consistent predictions with ML models. Some architectures are able to capture the movement of stocks but…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-03-26 Angel Varela

Although the threshold network is one of the most used tools to characterize the underlying structure of a stock market, the identification of the optimal threshold to construct a reliable stock network remains challenging. In this paper,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-08-27 Xin-Jian Xu , Kuo Wang , Liucun Zhu , Li-Jie Zhang

This study explores the use of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) for real-time cryptocurrency price prediction and optimized trading strategies. Given the high volatility of the cryptocurrency market, traditional forecasting models often fall…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-11-12 Shamima Nasrin Tumpa , Kehelwala Dewage Gayan Maduranga

This paper intends to apply the Hidden Markov Model into stock market and and make predictions. Moreover, four different methods of improvement, which are GMM-HMM, XGB-HMM, GMM-HMM+LSTM and XGB-HMM+LSTM, will be discussed later with the…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2021-04-21 Mingwen Liu , Junbang Huo , Yulin Wu , Jinge Wu

Stock market prediction is still a challenging problem because there are many factors effect to the stock market price such as company news and performance, industry performance, investor sentiment, social media sentiment and economic…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2019-04-01 Rosdyana Mangir Irawan Kusuma , Trang-Thi Ho , Wei-Chun Kao , Yu-Yen Ou , Kai-Lung Hua