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The prediction of stock prices is an important task in economics, investment and making financial decisions. This has, for decades, spurred the interest of many researchers to make focused contributions to the design of accurate stock price…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-06-08 Bradley J. Pillay , Absalom E. Ezugwu

We predict asset returns and measure risk premia using a prominent technique from artificial intelligence -- deep sequence modeling. Because asset returns often exhibit sequential dependence that may not be effectively captured by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-23 Lin William Cong , Ke Tang , Jingyuan Wang , Yang Zhang

The prediction of a stock price has always been a challenging issue, as its volatility can be affected by many factors such as national policies, company financial reports, industry performance, and investor sentiment etc.. In this paper,…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2020-09-08 Qiao Zhou , Ningning Liu

Stock trend forecasting, which forecasts stock prices' future trends, plays an essential role in investment. The stocks in a market can share information so that their stock prices are highly correlated. Several methods were recently…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-01-21 Wentao Xu , Weiqing Liu , Lewen Wang , Yingce Xia , Jiang Bian , Jian Yin , Tie-Yan Liu

To predict the future movements of stock markets, numerous studies concentrate on daily data and employ various machine learning (ML) models as benchmarks that often vary and lack standardization across different research works. This paper…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-07-16 Han Gui

This paper aims at developing a new method by which to build a data-driven portfolio featuring a target risk-return. We first present a comparative study of recurrent neural network models (RNNs), including a simple RNN, long short-term…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2018-08-03 Sang Il Lee , Seong Joon Yoo

Applying a network analysis to stock return correlations, we study the dynamical properties of the network and how they correlate with the market return, finding meaningful variables that partially capture the complex dynamical processes of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-08-22 Ixandra Achitouv

Off-the-shelf machine learning algorithms for prediction such as regularized logistic regression cannot exploit the information of time-varying features without previously using an aggregation procedure of such sequential data. However,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-09-26 C. Gary Mena , Arno De Caigny , Kristof Coussement , Koen W. De Bock , Stefan Lessmann

In the context of time-series forecasting, we propose a LSTM-based recurrent neural network architecture and loss function that enhance the stability of the predictions. In particular, the loss function penalizes the model, not only on the…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-09-09 Maxime De Bois , Mounîm A. El Yacoubi , Mehdi Ammi

Stock price prediction has been the focus of a large amount of research but an acceptable solution has so far escaped academics. Recent advances in deep learning have motivated researchers to apply neural networks to stock prediction. In…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-03-29 Firuz Kamalov , Linda Smail , Ikhlaas Gurrib

The Stochastic Volatility (SV) model and its variants are widely used in the financial sector while recurrent neural network (RNN) models are successfully used in many large-scale industrial applications of Deep Learning. Our article…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-01-25 Trong-Nghia Nguyen , Minh-Ngoc Tran , David Gunawan , R. Kohn

Traditionally, traders and quantitative analysts address alpha decay by manually crafting formulaic alphas, mathematical expressions that identify patterns or signals in financial data, through domain expertise and trial-and-error. This…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-03-05 Qizhao Chen , Hiroaki Kawashima

This paper presents a deep learning framework based on Long Short-term Memory Network(LSTM) that predicts price movement of cryptocurrencies from trade-by-trade data. The main focus of this study is on predicting short-term price changes in…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-10-16 Qi Zhao

Midterm stock price prediction is crucial for value investments in the stock market. However, most deep learning models are essentially short-term and applying them to midterm predictions encounters large cumulative errors because they…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-08-06 Xinyi Li , Yinchuan Li , Xiao-Yang Liu , Christina Dan Wang

Prediction of post-loan default is an important task in credit risk management, and can be addressed by detection of financial anomalies using machine learning. This study introduces a ResE-BiLSTM model, using a sliding window technique,…

Models recently used in the literature proving residual networks (ResNets) are better than linear predictors are actually different from standard ResNets that have been widely used in computer vision. In addition to the assumptions such as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-19 Kuan-Lin Chen , Ching-Hua Lee , Harinath Garudadri , Bhaskar D. Rao

Predicting stock prices from textual information is a challenging task due to the uncertainty of the market and the difficulty understanding the natural language from a machine's perspective. Previous researches focus mostly on sentiment…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-10-28 Qinkai Chen , Christian-Yann Robert

Stock price prediction can be made more efficient by considering the price fluctuations and understanding the sentiments of people. A limited number of models understand financial jargon or have labelled datasets concerning stock price…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-03-31 Mukul Jaggi , Priyanka Mandal , Shreya Narang , Usman Naseem , Matloob Khushi

Many researchers both in academia and industry have long been interested in the stock market. Numerous approaches were developed to accurately predict future trends in stock prices. Recently, there has been a growing interest in utilizing…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-11-13 Raehyun Kim , Chan Ho So , Minbyul Jeong , Sanghoon Lee , Jinkyu Kim , Jaewoo Kang

In the realm of cryptocurrency, the prediction of Bitcoin prices has garnered substantial attention due to its potential impact on financial markets and investment strategies. This paper propose a comparative study on hybrid machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-02 Shun Liu , Kexin Wu , Chufeng Jiang , Bin Huang , Danqing Ma