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There is growing interest in estimating and analyzing heterogeneous treatment effects in experimental and observational studies. We describe a number of meta-algorithms that can take advantage of any supervised learning or regression method…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-06-18 Sören R. Künzel , Jasjeet S. Sekhon , Peter J. Bickel , Bin Yu

Flexibly modeling how an entire density changes with covariates is an important but challenging generalization of mean and quantile regression. While existing methods for density regression primarily consist of covariate-dependent discrete…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-24 Vittorio Orlandi , Jared Murray , Antonio Linero , Alexander Volfovsky

Most implementations of Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) one-hot encode categorical predictors, replacing each one with several binary indicators, one for every level or category. Regression trees built with these indicators…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-14 Sameer K. Deshpande

Bayesian additive regression tree (BART) models have seen increased attention in recent years as a general-purpose nonparametric modeling technique. BART combines the flexibility of modern machine learning techniques with the principled…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-01 Antonio R. Linero

Measurement error is prevalent across all domains of scientific research where only imprecise observations, rather than the true underlying values, can be obtained. For example, estimates of human microbiome diversity are based on small…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-10 Kevin McCoy , Zachary Wooten , Christine B. Peterson

The development of driverless vehicles has spurred the need to predict human driving behavior to facilitate interaction between driverless and human-driven vehicles. Predicting human driving movements can be challenging, and poor prediction…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-09-16 Yaoyuan Vincent Tan , Carol A. C. Flannagan , Michael R. Elliott

Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) is a flexible prediction model/machine learning approach that has gained widespread popularity in recent years. As BART becomes more mainstream, there is an increased need for a paper that walks…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-09-18 Yaoyuan Vincent Tan , Jason Roy

Individualized treatment rules (ITR) can improve health outcomes by recognizing that patients may respond differently to treatment and assigning therapy with the most desirable predicted outcome for each individual. Flexible and efficient…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-25 Brent R. Logan , Rodney Sparapani , Robert E. McCulloch , Purushottam W. Laud

This paper provides a link between causal inference and machine learning techniques - specifically, Classification and Regression Trees (CART) - in observational studies where the receipt of the treatment is not randomized, but the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-23 Falco J. Bargagli-Stoffi , Giorgio Gnecco

We recently developed a new method riAFT-BART to draw causal inferences about population treatment effect on patient survival from clustered and censored survival data while accounting for the multilevel data structure. The practical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-14 Liangyuan Hu

Techniques to reduce the energy burden of an industrial ecosystem often require solving a multiobjective optimization problem. However, collecting experimental data can often be either expensive or time-consuming. In such cases, statistical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-07 Akira Horiguchi , Thomas J. Santner , Ying Sun , Matthew T. Pratola

The bulk of causal inference studies rule out the presence of interference between units. However, in many real-world scenarios, units are interconnected by social, physical, or virtual ties, and the effect of the treatment can spill from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-03 Falco J. Bargagli-Stoffi , Costanza Tortù , Laura Forastiere

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models assume linearity between the endogenous variables and their lags. This assumption might be overly restrictive and could have a deleterious impact on forecasting accuracy. As a solution, we propose…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-03-10 Florian Huber , Luca Rossini

Detecting heterogeneity in treatment response enriches the interpretation of gerontologic trials. In aging research, estimating the effect of the intervention on clinically meaningful outcomes faces analytical challenges when it is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-01-08 Changjun Li , Heather Allore , Michael O. Harhay , Fan Li , Guangyu Tong

Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) is a regression technique developed by Chipman et al. (2008). Its usefulness in standard regression settings has been clearly demonstrated, but it has not been applied to time series analysis as…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-04-06 Sean van der Merwe

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) has gained widespread popularity, inspiring numerous extensions across diverse applications. However, relatively little attention has been given to modeling dependent data. To fill this gap, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-17 Xuetao Lu a , Robert E. McCulloch

Using data collected on almost every 9-12 years old student in Uruguay, we show how to apply Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) with random effects to study performance association with Learning Managment System (LMS) activity and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-07-09 Natalia da Silva , Bruno Tancredi , Ignacio Alvarez-Castro

For the discovery of regression relationships between Y and a large set of p potential predictors x 1 , . . . , x p , the flexible nonparametric nature of BART (Bayesian Additive Regression Trees) allows for a much richer set of…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2021-10-11 Hugh A. Chipman , Edward I. George , Robert E. McCulloch , Thomas S. Shively

This article proposes a novel framework that integrates Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) into a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) model to forecast macro-financial variables and examine asymmetries in the transmission…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-16 Sofia Velasco

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a statistical sum of trees model. It can be considered a Bayesian version of machine learning tree ensemble methods where the individual trees are the base learners. However for data sets where…