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Fitting sparse models to high-dimensional time series is an important area of statistical inference. In this paper we consider sparse vector autoregressive models and develop appropriate bootstrap methods to infer properties of such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-25 J. Krampe , J-P. Kreiss , E. Paparoditis

The analysis of non-real-valued data, such as binary time series, has attracted great interest in recent years. This manuscript proposes a post-selection estimator for estimating the coefficient matrices of a high-dimensional generalized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-03 Dehao Dai , Yunyi Zhang

High-dimensional vector autoregression with measurement error is frequently encountered in a large variety of scientific and business applications. In this article, we study statistical inference of the transition matrix under this model.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-18 Xiang Lyu , Jian Kang , Lexin Li

We consider the problem of detecting deviations from a white noise assumption in time series. Our approach differs from the numerous methods proposed for this purpose with respect to two aspects. First, we allow for non-stationary time…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-11-12 Patrick Bastian

This article studies bootstrap inference for high dimensional weakly dependent time series in a general framework of approximately linear statistics. The following high dimensional applications are covered: (1) uniform confidence band for…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-08-12 Xianyang Zhang , Guang Cheng

High-dimensional time series data exist in numerous areas such as finance, genomics, healthcare, and neuroscience. An unavoidable aspect of all such datasets is missing data, and dealing with this issue has been an important focus in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-02-27 Amin Jalali , Rebecca Willett

We introduce a high-dimensional multiplier bootstrap for time series data based on capturing dependence through a sparsely estimated vector autoregressive model. We prove its consistency for inference on high-dimensional means under two…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-14 Robert Adamek , Stephan Smeekes , Ines Wilms

Temporal dependence and the resulting autocovariances in time series data can introduce bias into ANOVA test statistics, thereby affecting their size and power. This manuscript accounts for temporal dependence in ANOVA and develops a test…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-12 Yunyi Zhang

For modeling the serial dependence in time series of counts, various approaches have been proposed in the literature. In particular, models based on a recursive, autoregressive-type structure such as the well-known integer-valued…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-16 Maxime Faymonville , Carsten Jentsch

For discrete-valued time series, predictive inference cannot be implemented through the construction of prediction intervals to some predetermined coverage level, as this is the case for real-valued time series. To address this problem, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-23 Maxime Faymonville , Carsten Jentsch , Efstathios Paparoditis

Random variables in metric spaces indexed by time and observed at equally spaced time points are receiving increased attention due to their broad applicability. The absence of inherent structure in metric spaces has resulted in a literature…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-24 Matthieu Bulté , Helle Sørensen

Vector autoregressive models characterize a variety of time series in which linear combinations of current and past observations can be used to accurately predict future observations. For instance, each element of an observation vector…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-06-27 Eric C. Hall , Garvesh Raskutti , Rebecca Willett

Understanding the time-varying structure of complex temporal systems is one of the main challenges of modern time series analysis. In this paper, we show that every uniformly-positive-definite-in-covariance and sufficiently short-range…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-25 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

This article proposes a new approach to modeling high-dimensional time series by treating a $p$-dimensional time series as a nonsingular linear transformation of certain common factors and idiosyncratic components. Unlike the approximate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-15 Zhaoxing Gao , Ruey S. Tsay

In this article, we study the asymptotic behaviour of the residual autocorrelations for periodic vector autoregressive time series models (PVAR henceforth) with uncorrelated but dependent innovations (i.e., weak PVAR). We then deduce the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-10-01 Yacouba Boubacar Mainassara , Eugen Ursu

High-dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models are important tools for the analysis of multivariate time series. This paper focuses on high-dimensional time series and on the different regularized estimation procedures proposed for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-11 Jonas Krampe , Efstathios Paparoditis

The second-order dependence structure of purely nondeterministic stationary process is described by the coefficients of the famous Wold representation. These coefficients can be obtained by factorizing the spectral density of the process.…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-12-21 Jonas Krampe , Jens-Peter Kreiss , Efstathios Paparoditis

Quantile regression has been successfully used to study heterogeneous and heavy-tailed data. Varying-coefficient models are frequently used to capture changes in the effect of input variables on the response as a function of an index or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-18 Ran Dai , Mladen Kolar

Autoregressive models are a class of time series models that are important in both applied and theoretical statistics. Typically, inferential devices such as confidence sets and hypothesis tests for time series models require nuanced…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-01-19 Hien Duy Nguyen

The pseudo-observation method is regularly applied to time-to-event data. However, to date such analyses have relied on not formally verified statements or ad-hoc methods regarding covariance estimation. This paper strives to close this gap…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-23 Simon Mack , Morten Overgaard , Dennis Dobler
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