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Promising results have driven a recent surge of interest in continuous optimization methods for Bayesian network structure learning from observational data. However, there are theoretical limitations on the identifiability of underlying…

Suppose an online platform wants to compare a treatment and control policy, e.g., two different matching algorithms in a ridesharing system, or two different inventory management algorithms in an online retail site. Standard randomized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-27 Peter Glynn , Ramesh Johari , Mohammad Rasouli

Bayesian Optimization is a popular approach for optimizing expensive black-box functions. Its key idea is to use a surrogate model to approximate the objective and, importantly, quantify the associated uncertainty that allows a sequential…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-05 Haoxian Chen , Henry Lam

This paper addresses the problem of constrained multi-objective optimization over black-box objective functions with practitioner-specified preferences over the objectives when a large fraction of the input space is infeasible (i.e.,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-24 Alaleh Ahmadianshalchi , Syrine Belakaria , Janardhan Rao Doppa

We study optimal liquidation strategies under partial information for a single asset within a finite time horizon. We propose a model tailored for high-frequency trading, capturing price formation driven solely by order flow through…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2024-11-08 Etienne Chevalier , Yadh Hafsi , Vathana Ly Vath

In the classical quickest detection problem, one must detect as quickly as possible when a Brownian motion without drift "changes" into a Brownian motion with positive drift. The change occurs at an unknown "disorder" time with exponential…

概率论 · 数学 2015-05-29 Robert C. Dalang , Albert N. Shiryaev

Autonomous control systems use various sensors to decrease the amount of uncertainty under which they operate. While providing partial observation of the current state of the system, sensors require resources such as energy, time and…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2016-02-29 Eva Tesarova , Maria Svorenova , Jiri Barnat , Ivana Cerna

We propose an algorithm for change point monitoring in linear causal models that accounts for interventions. Through a special centralization technique, we can concentrate the changes arising from causal propagation across nodes into a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-10 Haijie Xu , Chen Zhang

The optimal instant of observation of astrophysical phenomena for objects that vary on human time-sales is an important problem, as it bears on the cost-effective use of usually scarce observational facilities. In this paper we address this…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-02-15 Miguel Videla , Rene A. Mendez , Jorge F. Silva , Marcos E. Orchard

We use the geometry of suitably generalised potentials to solve risk-sensitive Markovian optimal stopping problems. As in the linear case due to Dynkin and Yushkievich (1967), the value function is the pointwise infimum of those functions…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-06-12 Tomasz Kosmala , John Moriarty

Multi-objective optimization aims at finding trade-off solutions to conflicting objectives. These constitute the Pareto optimal set. In the context of expensive-to-evaluate functions, it is impossible and often non-informative to look for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-20 David Gaudrie , Rodolphe Le Riche , Victor Picheny , Benoit Enaux , Vincent Herbert

In this paper, we investigate an interesting and important stopping problem mixed with stochastic controls and a \textit{nonsmooth} utility over a finite time horizon. The paper aims to develop new methodologies, which are significantly…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-07-06 Chonghu Guan , Xun Li , Zuoquan Xu , Fahuai Yi

Multi-objective optimization is a widely studied problem in diverse fields, such as engineering and finance, that seeks to identify a set of non-dominated solutions that provide optimal trade-offs among competing objectives. However, the…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2024-01-15 Arash Heidari , Sebastian Rojas Gonzalez , Tom Dhaene , Ivo Couckuyt

Lookahead, also known as non-myopic, Bayesian optimization (BO) aims to find optimal sampling policies through solving a dynamic program (DP) that maximizes a long-term reward over a rolling horizon. Though promising, lookahead BO faces the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-26 Xubo Yue , Raed Al Kontar

Bayesian optimization has been successfully applied to optimize black-box functions where the number of evaluations is severely limited. However, in many real-world applications, it is hard or impossible to know in advance which designs are…

This work presents PESMOC, Predictive Entropy Search for Multi-objective Bayesian Optimization with Constraints, an information-based strategy for the simultaneous optimization of multiple expensive-to-evaluate black-box functions under the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-15 Eduardo C. Garrido-Merchán , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

In this work we study the optimal execution problem with multiplicative price impact in algorithm trading, when an agent holds an initial position of shares of a financial asset. The inter-selling-decision times are modelled by the arrival…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2018-05-04 Daniel Hernández-Hernández , Harold A. Moreno-Franco , José Luis Pérez

We develop the first Bayesian Optimization algorithm, BLOSSOM, which selects between multiple alternative acquisition functions and traditional local optimization at each step. This is combined with a novel stopping condition based on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-23 Mark McLeod , Michael A. Osborne , Stephen J. Roberts

A restless multi-armed bandit problem that arises in multichannel opportunistic communications is considered, where channels are modeled as independent and identical Gilbert-Elliot channels and channel state observations are subject to…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2008-11-13 Qing Zhao , Bhaskar Krishnamachari

We propose functional causal Bayesian optimization (fCBO), a method for finding interventions that optimize a target variable in a known causal graph. fCBO extends the CBO family of methods to enable functional interventions, which set a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-14 Limor Gultchin , Virginia Aglietti , Alexis Bellot , Silvia Chiappa