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Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are used to model dynamic systems appearing in engineering, physics, biomedical sciences and many other fields. These equations contain unknown parameters, say $\theta$ of physical significance which…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-03-05 Prithwish Bhaumik , Subhashis Ghosal

This paper considers a semiparametric approach within the general Bayesian linear model where the innovations consist of a stationary, mean zero Gaussian time series. While a parametric prior is specified for the linear model coefficients,…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-25 Claudia Kirch , Alexander Meier , Renate Meyer , Yifu Tang

Power posteriors "robustify" standard Bayesian inference by raising the likelihood to a constant fractional power, effectively downweighting its influence in the calculation of the posterior. Power posteriors have been shown to be more…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-01-22 Ruchira Ray , Marco Avella Medina , Cynthia Rush

The problem of determining a periodic Lipschitz vector field $b=(b_1, \dots, b_d)$ from an observed trajectory of the solution $(X_t: 0 \le t \le T)$ of the multi-dimensional stochastic differential equation \begin{equation*} dX_t =…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-21 Richard Nickl , Kolyan Ray

Random measures provide flexible parameters for Bayesian nonparametric models. Given two different priors for a random measure, we develop a natural framework to investigate the rate at which the corresponding posteriors merge, as the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-17 Marta Catalano , Hugo Lavenant

Gaussian approximations are routinely employed in Bayesian statistics to ease inference when the target posterior is intractable. Although these approximations are asymptotically justified by Bernstein-von Mises type results, in practice…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-09 Daniele Durante , Francesco Pozza , Botond Szabo

In this paper, we propose a novel Bayesian approach for nonparametric estimation in Wicksell's problem. This has important applications in astronomy for estimating the distribution of the positions of the stars in a galaxy given projected…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-01 Francesco Gili , Geurt Jongbloed , Aad van der Vaart

We consider Bayesian nonparametric inference in the right-censoring survival model, where modeling is made at the level of the hazard rate. We derive posterior limiting distributions for linear functionals of the hazard, and then for `many'…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-01 Ismaël Castillo , Stéphanie van der Pas

We establish a general Bernstein--von Mises theorem for approximately linear semiparametric functionals of fractional posterior distributions based on nonparametric priors. This is illustrated in a number of nonparametric settings and for…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-12 Alice L'Huillier , Luke Travis , Ismaël Castillo , Kolyan Ray

This work develops rigorous theoretical basis for the fact that deep Bayesian neural network (BNN) is an effective tool for high-dimensional variable selection with rigorous uncertainty quantification. We develop new Bayesian non-parametric…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-12-04 Jeremiah Zhe Liu

We study high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression with product priors. Using the nascent theory of non-linear large deviations (Chatterjee and Dembo,2016), we derive sufficient conditions for the leading-order correctness of the naive…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-27 Sumit Mukherjee , Subhabrata Sen

The inferential model (IM) framework offers alternatives to the familiar probabilistic (e.g., Bayesian and fiducial) uncertainty quantification in statistical inference. Allowing this uncertainty quantification to be imprecise makes it…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-12-10 Ryan Martin , Jonathan P. Williams

In this paper, we study semiparametric inference for linear multivariate Hawkes processes, a class of point processes widely used to describe self and mutually exciting phenomena. We establish a convolution theorem giving the best limiting…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-26 Mael Duverger , Judith Rousseau

Bayesian inference provides a framework to combine various model components with shared parameters, allowing joint uncertainty estimation and the use of all available data sources. Unfortunately, misspecification of any part of the model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-13 Emilia Pompe , Mikołaj J. Kasprzak , Pierre E. Jacob

Ewens-Pitman model has been successfully applied to various fields including Bayesian statistics. There are four important estimators $K_{n},M_{l,n}$,$K_{m}^{(n)},M_{l,m}^{(n)}$. In particular, $M_{1,n}, M_{1,m}^{(n)}$ are related to…

概率论 · 数学 2018-11-20 Youzhou Zhou

The Latent Block Model (LBM) is a model-based method to cluster simultaneously the $d$ columns and $n$ rows of a data matrix. Parameter estimation in LBM is a difficult and multifaceted problem. Although various estimation strategies have…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-26 Vincent Brault , Christine Keribin , Mahendra Mariadassou

We study full Bayesian procedures for high-dimensional linear regression. We adopt data-dependent empirical priors introduced in [1]. In their paper, these priors have nice posterior contraction properties and are easy to compute. Our paper…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-02-14 Xiao Fang , Malay Ghosh

We provide a comprehensive semi-parametric study of Bayesian partially identified econometric models. While the existing literature on Bayesian partial identification has mostly focused on the structural parameter, our primary focus is on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-29 Yuan Liao , Anna Simoni

Semiparametric mixture models are parametric models with latent variables. They are defined kernel, $p_\theta(x | z)$, where z is the unknown latent variable, and $\theta$ is the parameter of interest. We assume that the latent variables…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-12-03 Stefan Franssen , Jeanne Nguyen , Aad van der Vaart

Consider semiparametric models that display local asymptotic exponentiality (Ibragimov and Has'minskii (1981)), an asymptotic property of the likelihood associated with discontinuities of densities. Our interest goes to estimation of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-19 Bas Kleijn , Bartek Knapik