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Multivariate linear regression is a fundamental statistical task, but classical estimators such as ordinary least squares are highly sensitive to outliers. These may occur as casewise outliers that affect entire observations, or as outlying…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-11 Fabio Centofanti , Mia Hubert , Peter J. Rousseeuw

Causal mediation analysis usually requires strong assumptions, such as ignorability of the mediator, which may not hold in many social and scientific studies. Motivated by a multilevel randomized treatment experiment using functional…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-07-11 Yi Zhao , Xi Luo

The conditional average treatment effect (CATE) is the best measure of individual causal effects given baseline covariates. However, the CATE only captures the (conditional) average, and can overlook risks and tail events, which are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-05 Nathan Kallus , Miruna Oprescu

An important aspect of the performance of algorithms that predict individualized treatment effects (ITE) is moderate calibration, i.e., the average treatment effect among individuals with predicted treatment effect of z being equal to z.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-10 Mohsen Sadatsafavi , Jeroen Hoogland , Thomas P. A. Debray , John Petkau

We examine the challenges in ranking multiple treatments based on their estimated effects when using linear regression or its popular double-machine-learning variant, the Partially Linear Model (PLM), in the presence of treatment effect…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-06 Apoorva Lal

We study the design of experiments with multiple treatment levels, a setting common in clinical trials and online A/B/n testing. Unlike single-treatment studies, practical analyses of multi-treatment experiments typically first select a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Jiachen Xu , Jian Qian , Zijun Gao

Several phenomena are available representing market activity: volumes, number of trades, durations between trades or quotes, volatility - however measured - all share the feature to be represented as positive valued time series. When…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-07-14 Fabrizio Cipollini , Giampiero M. Gallo

Accelerated life-tests (ALTs) are used for inferring lifetime characteristics of highly reliable products. In particular, step-stress ALTs increase the stress level at which units under test are subject at certain pre-fixed times, thus…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-12 Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan , Maria Jaenada , Leandro Pardo

While randomized trials may be the gold standard for evaluating the effectiveness of the treatment intervention, in some special circumstances, single-arm clinical trials utilizing external control may be considered. The causal treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-26 Huan Wang , Fei Wu , Yeh-Fong Chen

Covariate adjustment is a ubiquitous method used to estimate the average treatment effect (ATE) from observational data. Assuming a known graphical structure of the data generating model, recent results give graphical criteria for optimal…

In semi-logarithmic regressions, treatment coefficients are often interpreted as approximations of the average treatment effect (ATE) in percentage points. This paper highlights the overlooked bias of this approximation under treatment…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-04 Ying Zeng

Multi-regional clinical trials (MRCTs) play an increasingly crucial role in global pharmaceutical development by expediting data gathering and regulatory approval across diverse patient populations. However, differences in recruitment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-15 Kaiyuan Hua , Hwanhee Hong , Xiaofei Wang

Within the field of causal inference, we consider the problem of estimating heterogeneous treatment effects from data. We propose and validate a novel approach for learning feature representations to aid the estimation of the conditional…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-23 Michael C. Burkhart , Gabriel Ruiz

Beyond conditional average treatment effects, treatments may impact the entire outcome distribution in covariate-dependent ways, for example, by altering the variance or tail risks for specific subpopulations. We propose a novel estimand to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-18 Saksham Jain , Alex Luedtke

Causal inference problems often involve continuous treatments, such as dose, duration, or frequency. However, identifying and estimating standard dose-response estimands requires that everyone has some chance of receiving any level of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-28 Kyle Schindl , Shuying Shen , Edward H. Kennedy

Although increasingly used for research, electronic health records (EHR) often lack gold-standard assessment of key data elements. Linking EHRs to other data sources with higher-quality measurements can improve statistical inference, but…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-05 Jenny Shen , Dane Isenberg , Kristin A. Linn , Rebecca A. Hubbard

Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) represent a gold standard when developing policy guidelines. However, RCTs are often narrow, and lack data on broader populations of interest. Causal effects in these populations are often estimated using…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-07 Zeshan Hussain , Michael Oberst , Ming-Chieh Shih , David Sontag

In order to evaluate the impact of a policy intervention on a group of units over time, it is important to correctly estimate the average treatment effect (ATE) measure. Due to lack of robustness of the existing procedures of estimating ATE…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-20 Sayoni Roychowdhury , Indrila Ganguly , Abhik Ghosh

For treatment effects - one of the core issues in modern econometric analysis - prediction and estimation are two sides of the same coin. As it turns out, machine learning methods are the tool for generalized prediction models. Combined…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-04-27 Daniel Jacob

Accelerated life-testing (ALT) is a very useful technique for examining the reliability of highly reliable products. It allows testing the products at higher than usual stress conditions to induce failures more quickly and economically than…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-15 Aida Calviño
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