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In online advertising under the cost-per-conversion (CPA) model, accurate conversion rate (CVR) prediction is crucial. A major challenge is delayed feedback, where conversions may occur long after user interactions, leading to incomplete…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-15 Chenlu Ding , Jiancan Wu , Yancheng Yuan , Cunchun Li , Xiang Wang , Dingxian Wang , Frank Yang , Andrew Rabinovich

The goal of online display advertising is to entice users to "convert" (i.e., take a pre-defined action such as making a purchase) after clicking on the ad. An important measure of the value of an ad is the probability of conversion. The…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-10-25 Abdollah Safari , Rachel MacKay Altman , Thomas M. Loughin

The causal effect of showing an ad to a potential customer versus not, commonly referred to as "incrementality", is the fundamental question of advertising effectiveness. In digital advertising three major puzzle pieces are central to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-30 Randall Lewis , Jeffrey Wong

It is well-known that selling different goods in a single bundle can significantly increase revenue. However, bundling is no longer profitable if the goods have high production costs. To overcome this challenge, we introduce a new…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2021-02-23 Will Ma , David Simchi-Levi

Modern e-commerce services frequently target customers with incentives or interventions to engage them in their products such as games, shopping, video streaming, etc. This customer engagement increases acquisition of more customers and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-31 Qiqi Li , Roopali Singh , Charin Polpanumas , Tanner Fiez , Namita Kumar , Shreya Chakrabarti

Retention campaigns in customer relationship management often rely on churn prediction models evaluated using traditional metrics such as AUC and F1-score. However, these metrics fail to reflect financial outcomes and may mislead strategic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-15 Awais Manzoor , M. Atif Qureshi , Etain Kidney , Luca Longo

Partnering with a large online retailer, we consider the problem of sending daily personalized promotions to a userbase of over 20 million customers. We propose an efficient policy for determining, every day, the promotion that each…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2026-01-01 Jackie Baek , Will Ma , Dmitry Mitrofanov

Uplift modeling is widely used in performance marketing to estimate effects of promotion campaigns (e.g., increase of customer retention rate). Since it is impossible to observe outcomes of a recipient in treatment (e.g., receiving a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-18 Yao Zhao , Haipeng Zhang , Shiwei Lyu , Ruiying Jiang , Jinjie Gu , Guannan Zhang

Promotions have been trending in the e-commerce marketplace to build up customer relationships and guide customers towards the desired actions. Since incentives are effective to engage customers and customers have different preferences for…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2022-08-01 Jie Yang , Yilin Li , Deddy Jobson

As a key component in online marketing, uplift modeling aims to accurately capture the degree to which different treatments motivate different users, such as coupons or discounts, also known as the estimation of individual treatment effect…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-02 Dugang Liu , Xing Tang , Han Gao , Fuyuan Lyu , Xiuqiang He

Uplift models provide a solution to the problem of isolating the marketing effect of a campaign. For customer churn reduction, uplift models are used to identify the customers who are likely to respond positively to a retention activity…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-09-21 Mouloud Belbahri , Alejandro Murua , Olivier Gandouet , Vahid Partovi Nia

In computational advertising, a challenging problem is how to recommend the bid for advertisers to achieve the best return on investment (ROI) given budget constraint. This paper presents a bid recommendation scenario that discovers the…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2022-12-29 Deguang Kong , Konstantin Shmakov , Jian Yang

We propose a method for building an interpretable recommender system for personalizing online content and promotions. Historical data available for the system consists of customer features, provided content (promotions), and user responses.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-06-21 Amit Dhurandhar , Sechan Oh , Marek Petrik

Optimizing conversions is crucial in modern online advertising systems, enabling advertisers to deliver relevant products to users and drive business outcomes. However, accurately predicting conversion events remains challenging due to…

The emergence of in-context learning (ICL) enables large pre-trained language models (PLMs) to make predictions for unseen inputs without updating parameters. Despite its potential, ICL's effectiveness heavily relies on the quality,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-02 Xiaoling Zhou , Wei Ye , Yidong Wang , Chaoya Jiang , Zhemg Lee , Rui Xie , Shikun Zhang

Uplift modeling is essential for optimizing marketing strategies by selecting individuals likely to respond positively to specific marketing campaigns. This importance escalates in multi-treatment marketing campaigns, where diverse…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-28 Yoon Tae Park , Ting Xu , Mohamed Anany

Recent advances in the simulation of frictionally contacting elastodynamics with the Incremental Potential Contact (IPC) model have enabled inversion and intersection-free simulation via the application of mollified barriers, filtered…

Position bias, the phenomenon whereby users tend to focus on higher-ranked items of the search result list regardless of the actual relevance to queries, is prevailing in many ranking systems. Position bias in training data biases the…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2023-08-01 Yibo Wang , Yanbing Xue , Bo Liu , Musen Wen , Wenting Zhao , Stephen Guo , Philip S. Yu

Existing recommendation algorithms mostly focus on optimizing traditional recommendation measures, such as the accuracy of rating prediction in terms of RMSE or the quality of top-$k$ recommendation lists in terms of precision, recall, MAP,…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2019-02-05 Changhua Pei , Xinru Yang , Qing Cui , Xiao Lin , Fei Sun , Peng Jiang , Wenwu Ou , Yongfeng Zhang

Efficiently allocating treatments with a budget constraint constitutes an important challenge across various domains. In marketing, for example, the use of promotions to target potential customers and boost conversions is limited by the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-06 Toon Vanderschueren , Wouter Verbeke , Felipe Moraes , Hugo Manuel Proença