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When individuals participating in a randomized trial differ with respect to the distribution of effect modifiers compared compared with the target population where the trial results will be used, treatment effect estimates from the trial…

Identifying causal treatment (or exposure) effects in observational studies requires the data to satisfy the unconfoundedness assumption which is not testable using the observed data. With sensitivity analysis, one can determine how the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-31 Yang Ou , Lu Tang , Chung-Chou H. Chang

Many trials are designed to collect outcomes at or around pre-specified times after randomization. If there is variability in the times when participants are actually assessed, this can pose a challenge to learning the effect of treatment,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-28 Bonnie B. Smith , Yujing Gao , Shu Yang , Ravi Varadhan , Andrea J. Apter , Daniel O. Scharfstein

We present methods for estimating loss-based measures of the performance of a prediction model in a target population that differs from the source population in which the model was developed, in settings where outcome and covariate data are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-06 Samantha Morrison , Constantine Gatsonis , Issa J. Dahabreh , Bing Li , Jon A. Steingrimsson

Extending (generalizing or transporting) causal inferences from a randomized trial to a target population requires ``generalizability'' or ``transportability'' assumptions, which state that randomized and non-randomized individuals are…

Instrumental variables regression is a tool that is commonly used in the analysis of observational data. The instrumental variables are used to make causal inference about the effect of a certain exposure in the presence of unmeasured…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-07 Valentin Vancak , Arvid Sjölander

Causal inference with observational studies often suffers from unmeasured confounding, yielding biased estimators based on the unconfoundedness assumption. Sensitivity analysis assesses how the causal conclusions change with respect to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-01 Sizhu Lu , Peng Ding

One of the fundamental challenges in drawing causal inferences from observational studies is that the assumption of no unmeasured confounding is not testable from observed data. Therefore, assessing sensitivity to this assumption's…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-25 Md Abdul Basit , Mahbub A. H. M. Latif , Abdus S Wahed

In the context of sensitivity analysis of complex phenomena in presence of uncertainty, we motivate and precise the idea of orienting the analysis towards a critical domain of the studied phenomenon. We make a brief history of related…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-02 Hugo Raguet , Amandine Marrel

Conventional meta analysis of model performance conducted using datasources from different underlying populations often result in estimates that cannot be interpreted in the context of a well defined target population. In this manuscript we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-23 Jon A. Steingrimsson , Lan Wen , Sarah Voter , Issa J. Dahabreh

We present a new procedure for conducting a sensitivity analysis in matched observational studies. For any candidate test statistic, the approach defines tilted modifications dependent upon the proposed strength of unmeasured confounding.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-14 Colin B. Fogarty

Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) are often considered the gold standard for estimating causal effect, but they may lack external validity when the population eligible to the RCT is substantially different from the target population.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-11 Bénédicte Colnet , Julie Josse , Erwan Scornet , Gaël Varoquaux

Sensitivity analysis informs causal inference by assessing the sensitivity of conclusions to departures from assumptions. The consistency assumption states that there are no hidden versions of treatment and that the outcome arising…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-29 Brian Knaeble , Qinyun Lin , Erich Kummerfeld , Kenneth A. Frank

We consider methods for transporting a prediction model and assessing its performance for use in a new target population, when outcome and covariate information for model development is available from a simple random sample from the source…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-04-15 Jon A. Steingrimsson , Constantine Gatsonis , Issa J. Dahabreh

Randomized controlled trials (RCT's) allow researchers to estimate causal effects in an experimental sample with minimal identifying assumptions. However, to generalize or transport a causal effect from an RCT to a target population,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-08 Melody Huang

To estimate direct and indirect effects of an exposure on an outcome from observed data strong assumptions about unconfoundedness are required. Since these assumptions cannot be tested using the observed data, a mediation analysis should…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-03-29 Anita Lindmark , Xavier de Luna , Marie Eriksson

Nearly all statistical analyses that inform policy-making are based on imperfect data. As examples, the data may suffer from measurement errors, missing values, sample selection bias, or record linkage errors. Analysts have to decide how to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-24 Adway S. Wadekar , Jerome P. Reiter

In causal inference, sensitivity analysis is important to assess the robustness of study conclusions to key assumptions. We perform sensitivity analysis of the assumption that missing outcomes are missing completely at random. We follow a…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-05-12 Bart Eggen , Stéphanie L. van der Pas , Aad W. van der Vaart

Unobserved effect modifiers can induce bias when generalizing causal effect estimates to target populations. In this work, we extend a sensitivity analysis framework assessing the robustness of study results to unobserved effect…

An important strategy for identifying principal causal effects, which are often used in settings with noncompliance, is to invoke the principal ignorability (PI) assumption. As PI is untestable, it is important to gauge how sensitive effect…

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