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The sample covariance matrix of a random vector is a good estimate of the true covariance matrix if the sample size is much larger than the length of the vector. In high-dimensional problems, this condition is never met. As a result, in…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2024-11-12 Michael Tsyrulnikov , Arseniy Sotskiy

Data assimilation has been applied to coastal hydrodynamic models to better estimate system states or parameters by incorporating observed data into the model. Kalman Filter (KF) is one of the most studied data assimilation methods whose…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2016-07-05 Milad Hooshyar , Stephen C. Medeiros , Dingbao Wang , Scott C. Hagen

This paper introduces a novel state estimation framework for robots using differentiable ensemble Kalman filters (DEnKF). DEnKF is a reformulation of the traditional ensemble Kalman filter that employs stochastic neural networks to model…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-08-22 Xiao Liu , Geoffrey Clark , Joseph Campbell , Yifan Zhou , Heni Ben Amor

This paper introduces a computational framework to reconstruct and forecast a partially observed state that evolves according to an unknown or expensive-to-simulate dynamical system. Our reduced-order autodifferentiable ensemble Kalman…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-01-31 Yuming Chen , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Rebecca Willett

Ensemble data assimilation methods such as the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) are a key component of probabilistic weather forecasting. They represent the uncertainty in the initial conditions by an ensemble which incorporates information…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-10-17 Sylvain Robert , Daniel Leuenberger , Hans R. Künsch

Over the years data assimilation methods have been developed to obtain estimations of uncertain model parameters by taking into account a few observations of a model state. The most reliable methods of MCMC are computationally expensive.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-11-14 Sangeetika Ruchi , Svetlana Dubinkina

Although data assimilation originates from control theory, the relationship between modern data assimilation methods in geoscience and model predictive control has not been extensively explored. In the present paper, I discuss that the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-10-21 Yohei Sawada

Contemporary data assimilation often involves more than a million prediction variables. Ensemble Kalman filters (EnKF) have been developed by geoscientists. They are successful indispensable tools in science and engineering, because they…

概率论 · 数学 2017-05-26 Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong

This study considers the data assimilation problem in coupled systems, which consists of two components (sub-systems) interacting with each other through certain coupling terms. A straightforward way to tackle the assimilation problem in…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2015-06-22 Xiaodong Luo , Ibrahim Hoteit

Data assimilation (DA) integrates numerical model forecasts with observations to achieve the optimal state estimation. Ensemble-based methods, such as the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), are widely used for state estimation for…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-05-25 Zhou Yao , Zhilin Li , Li Zhao , Zeng Liu , Zhaokuan Lu , Seungnam Kim , Guangyao Wang

Machine learning techniques have seen a tremendous rise in popularity in weather and climate sciences. Data assimilation (DA), which combines observations and numerical models, has great potential to incorporate machine learning and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-20 Feiyu Lu

Climate change poses significant challenges for accurate climate modeling due to the complexity and variability of non-Gaussian climate systems. To address the complexities of non-Gaussian systems in climate modeling, this thesis proposes a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-06-28 Yunjin Tong

Parameter estimation has a high importance in the geosciences. The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) allows parameter estimation for large, time-dependent systems. For large systems, the EnKF is applied using small ensembles, which may lead to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-08-05 Johannes Keller , Harrie-Jan Hendricks Franssen , Wolfgang Nowak

This paper presents an approach for simultaneous estimation of the state and unknown parameters in a sequential data assimilation framework. The state augmentation technique, in which the state vector is augmented by the model parameters,…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2023-07-19 Naratip Santitissadeekorn , Chris Jones

The phase-field approach to brittle fracture provides a continuum framework for modeling crack initiation and propagation without explicit representation of discrete crack surfaces, provided the spatial discretization is fine enough to…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-03-11 Lucas Hermann , Ralf Jänicke , Knut Andreas Meyer , Ulrich Römer

Ensemble transform Kalman filtering (ETKF) data assimilation is often used to combine available observations with numerical simulations to obtain statistically accurate and reliable state representations in dynamical systems. However, it is…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-03-07 Tongtong Li , Anne Gelb , Yoonsang Lee

Data assimilation provides algorithms for widespread applications in various fields. It is of practical use to deal with a large amount of information in the complex system that is hard to estimate. Weather forecasting is one of the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-03-23 Yihua Yang

The reconstruction of the dynamics of an observed physical system as a surrogate model has been brought to the fore by recent advances in machine learning. To deal with partial and noisy observations in that endeavor, machine learning…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-06 Marc Bocquet , Alban Farchi , Quentin Malartic

Many applications, such as intermittent data assimilation, lead to a recursive application of Bayesian inference within a Monte Carlo context. Popular data assimilation algorithms include sequential Monte Carlo methods and ensemble Kalman…

数值分析 · 数学 2013-01-15 Sebastian Reich

This work studies the state estimation problem of a stochastic nonlinear system with unknown sensor measurement losses. If the estimator knows the sensor measurement losses of a linear Gaussian system, the minimum variance estimate is…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2020-05-11 Jiaqi Zhang , Keyou You , Lihua Xie