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Quantifying forecast uncertainty is a key aspect of state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction and data assimilation systems. Ensemble-based data assimilation systems incorporate state-dependent uncertainty quantification based on…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-05-17 Maximiliano A. Sacco , Manuel Pulido , Juan J. Ruiz , Pierre Tandeo

Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are widely used in modeling sentence processing but often exhibit deterministic behavior, contrasting with human sentence comprehension, which manages uncertainty during ambiguous or unexpected inputs. This…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-05-06 Diksha Bhandari , Alessandro Lopopolo , Milena Rabovsky , Sebastian Reich

Ensemble methods such as the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) are widely used for data assimilation in large-scale geophysical applications, as for example in numerical weather prediction (NWP). There is a growing interest for physical models…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-08-01 Sylvain Robert , Hans R. Künsch

A new ensemble filter that allows for the uncertainty in the prior distribution is proposed and tested. The filter relies on the conditional Gaussian distribution of the state given the model-error and predictability-error covariance…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-12-19 Michael Tsyrulnikov , Alexander Rakitko

A modification scheme to the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is introduced based on the concept of the unscented transform (Julier et al., 2000; Julier and Uhlmann, 2004), which therefore will be called the ensemble unscented Kalman filter…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2009-11-30 X. Luo , I. M. Moroz

A data-driven investigation of the flow around a high-rise building is performed combining heterogeneous experimental samples and RANS CFD. The coupling is performed using techniques based on the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF), including…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2023-01-27 Lucas Villanueva , Miguel Martinez Valero , Anina Sarkic Glumac , Marcello Meldi

Accurate modeling is crucial in many engineering and scientific applications, yet obtaining a reliable process model for complex systems is often challenging. To address this challenge, we propose a novel framework, reservoir computing with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-08 Kumar Anurag , Kasra Azizi , Francesco Sorrentino , Wenbin Wan

We propose a Neural-Enhanced Distributed Kalman Filter (NDKF) for multi-sensor state estimation in nonlinear systems. Unlike traditional Kalman filters that rely on explicit analytical models and assume centralized fusion, NDKF leverages…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-17 Siavash Farzan , Bennett Parisi

The ensemble Kalman filter is a well-known and celebrated data assimilation algorithm. It is of particular relevance as it used for high-dimensional problems, by updating an ensemble of particles through a sample mean and covariance…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-07-27 Neil K. Chada

This paper develops an efficient implementation of the ensemble Kalman filter based on a modified Cholesky decomposition for inverse covariance matrix estimation. This implementation is named EnKF-MC. Background errors corresponding to…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-05-31 Elias D. Nino , Adrian Sandu , Xinwei Deng

For modelling geophysical systems, large-scale processes are described through a set of coarse-grained dynamical equations while small-scale processes are represented via parameterizations. This work proposes a method for identifying the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2018-08-01 Manuel Pulido , Pierre Tandeo , Marc Bocquet , Alberto Carrassi , Magdalena Lucini

This work develops a new multifidelity ensemble Kalman filter (MFEnKF) algorithm based on linear control variate framework. The approach allows for rigorous multifidelity extensions of the EnKF, where the uncertainty in coarser fidelities…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-07-03 Andrey A Popov , Changhong Mou , Traian Iliescu , Adrian Sandu

The Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) is a widely used method for data assimilation in high-dimensional systems, with an ensemble update step equivalent to an empirical version of the Matheron update popular in Gaussian process regression -- a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-19 Dan MacKinlay

In this paper, we propose and develop a methodology for nonlinear systems health monitoring by modeling the damage and degradation mechanism dynamics as "slow" states that are augmented with the system "fast" dynamical states. This…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-10-17 Najmeh Daroogheh , Nader Meskin , Khashayar Khorasani

The ensemble random forest filter (ERFF) is presented as an alternative to the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) for the purpose of inverse modeling. The EnKF is a data assimilation approach that forecasts and updates parameter estimates…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-11 Vanessa A. Godoy , Gian F. Napa-García , J. Jaime Gómez-Hernández

Recommending items to users has long been a fundamental task, and studies have tried to improve it ever since. Most well-known models commonly employ representation learning to map users and items into a unified embedding space for matching…

The Kalman filter (KF) is an optimal linear state estimator for linear systems, and numerous extensions, including the extended Kalman filter (EKF), unscented Kalman filter (UKF), and cubature Kalman filter (CKF), have been developed for…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-07 Shida Jiang , Junzhe Shi , Scott Moura

This paper develops efficient ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) implementations based on shrinkage covariance estimation. The forecast ensemble members at each step are used to estimate the background error covariance matrix via the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-02-03 Elias D. Nino-Ruiz , Adrian Sandu

The input-parameter-state estimation capabilities of a novel unscented Kalman filter is examined herein on both linear and nonlinear systems. The unknown input is estimated in two stages within each time step. Firstly, the predicted dynamic…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-11-05 Marios Impraimakis , Andrew W. Smyth

The Kalman filter is a fundamental tool for state estimation in dynamical systems. While originally developed for linear Gaussian settings, it has been extended to nonlinear problems through approaches such as the extended and unscented…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-09-10 Yuan Wu , Sicheng He