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Graphical models, used to express conditional dependence between random variables observed at various nodes, are used extensively in many fields such as genetics, neuroscience, and social network analysis. While most current statistical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-25 Jiajing Niu , Boyoung Hur , John Absher , D. Andrew Brown

This paper introduces the Bayesian Inference Engine (BIE), a general parallel, optimised software package for parameter inference and model selection. This package is motivated by the analysis needs of modern astronomical surveys and the…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2015-06-04 Martin D. Weinberg

Since the turn of the century, approximate Bayesian inference has steadily evolved as new computational techniques have been incorporated to handle increasingly complex and large-scale predictive problems. The recent success of deep neural…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-14 Roy Shivam Ram Shreshtth , Arnab Hazra , Gourab Mukherjee

This paper proposes a Bayesian method for estimating the parameters of a normal distribution when only limited summary statistics (sample mean, minimum, maximum, and sample size) are available. To estimate the parameters of a normal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-21 Tomoki Matsumoto

We propose a method to improve the efficiency and accuracy of amortized Bayesian inference by leveraging universal symmetries in the joint probabilistic model of parameters and data. In a nutshell, we invert Bayes' theorem and estimate the…

This work proposes a Bayesian rule based on the mixture of a point mass function at zero and the logistic distribution to perform wavelet shrinkage in nonparametric regression models with stationary errors (with short or long-memory…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-24 Alex Rodrigo dos S. Sousa , Mauricio Zevallos

We focus on improving the accuracy of an approximate model of a multiscale dynamical system that uses a set of parameter-dependent terms to account for the effects of unresolved or neglected dynamics on resolved scales. We start by…

计算物理 · 物理学 2019-06-26 Balasubramanya T. Nadiga , Chiyu Jiang , Daniel Livescu

We introduce a new method of Bayesian wavelet shrinkage for reconstructing a signal when we observe a noisy version. Rather than making the common assumption that the wavelet coefficients of the signal are independent, we allow for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-03-17 Graeme K. Ambler , Bernard W. Silverman

The Bayes factor, the data-based updating factor of the prior to posterior odds of two hypotheses, is a natural measure of statistical evidence for one hypothesis over the other. We show how Bayes factors can also be used for parameter…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-09 Samuel Pawel

The Bayesian decision-theoretic approach to design of experiments involves specifying a design (values of all controllable variables) to maximise the expected utility function (expectation with respect to the distribution of responses and…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-09-24 Antony M. Overstall

Computing ratios of normalizing constants plays an important role in statistical modeling. Two important examples are hypothesis testing in latent variables models, and model comparison in Bayesian statistics. In both examples, the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-08-26 Tom Guédon , Charlotte Baey , Estelle Kuhn

High precision measurements are essential to solve major scientific and technological challenges, from gravitational wave detection to healthcare diagnostics. Quantum sensing delivers greater precision, but an in-depth optimisation of…

Although linear regression models are fundamental tools in statistical science, the estimation results can be sensitive to outliers. While several robust methods have been proposed in frequentist frameworks, statistical inference is not…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-15 Shintaro Hashimoto , Shonosuke Sugasawa

A Bayesian approach termed BAyesian Least Squares Optimization with Nonnegative L1-norm constraint (BALSON) is proposed. The error distribution of data fitting is described by Gaussian likelihood. The parameter distribution is assumed to be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-07-10 Jiyang Xie , Zhanyu Ma , Guoqiang Zhang , Jing-Hao Xue , Jen-Tzung Chien , Zhiqing Lin , Jun Guo

Bayesian Neural Networks provide a principled framework for uncertainty quantification by modeling the posterior distribution of network parameters. However, exact posterior inference is computationally intractable, and widely used…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-02 Alfredo Reichlin , Miguel Vasco , Danica Kragic

The multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS) approach of Friedman (1991) and its Bayesian counterpart (Francom et al. 2018) are effective approaches for the emulation of computer models. The traditional assumption of Gaussian errors…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-23 Kellin Rumsey , Devin Francom , Andy Shen

We present a renormalization group (RG) approach to explain universal features of extreme statistics, applied here to independent, identically distributed variables. The outlines of the theory have been described in a previous Letter, the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-18 G. Gyorgyi , N. R. Moloney , K. Ozogany , Z. Racz , M. Droz

Information theory is a powerful framework to capture aspects of dynamical systems with multiple degrees of freedom. Mathematically, the dynamics can be represented as a continuous curve $\mathcal{C}$ on a suitable hyperplane in flat space…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2026-04-28 Mattia Carrino , Stefan Hohenegger

We extend the recently introduced regularization/Bayesian System Identification procedures to the estimation of time-varying systems. Specifically, we consider an online setting, in which new data become available at given time steps. The…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-09-26 Giulia Prando , Diego Romeres , Alessandro Chiuso

A common strategy for sparse linear regression is to introduce regularization, which eliminates irrelevant features by letting the corresponding weights be zeros. However, regularization often shrinks the estimator for relevant features,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-10-07 Yohei Kondo , Kohei Hayashi , Shin-ichi Maeda