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For counterfactual policy evaluation, it is important to ensure that treatment parameters are relevant to policies in question. This is especially challenging under unobserved heterogeneity, as is well featured in the definition of the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-08 Sukjin Han , Shenshen Yang

Given an (optimal) dynamic treatment rule, it may be of interest to evaluate that rule -- that is, to ask the causal question: what is the expected outcome had every subject received treatment according to that rule? In this paper, we study…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-27 Lina Montoya , Jennifer Skeem , Mark van der Laan , Maya Petersen

Quantile optimal treatment regimes (OTRs) aim to assign treatments that maximize a specified quantile of patients' outcomes. Compared to treatment regimes that target the mean outcomes, quantile OTRs offer fairer regimes when a lower…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-07 Junwen Xia , Jingxiao Zhang , Dehan Kong

Researchers are often interested in evaluating the impact of a policy on the entire (or specific parts of the) distribution of the outcome of interest. In this paper, I provide a method to recover the whole distribution of the untreated…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-22 Andrea Ciaccio

Dynamic treatment regimes operationalize the clinical decision process as a sequence of functions, one for each clinical decision, where each function takes as input up-to-date patient information and gives as output a single recommended…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-08-08 Eric B. Laber , Daniel J. Lizotte , Bradley Ferguson

One of the major challenges in estimating conditional potential outcomes and conditional average treatment effects (CATE) is the presence of hidden confounders. Since testing for hidden confounders cannot be accomplished only with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-17 Ahmed Aloui , Juncheng Dong , Ali Hasan , Vahid Tarokh

In an era where diverse and complex data are increasingly accessible, the precise prediction of individual treatment effects (ITE) becomes crucial across fields such as healthcare, economics, and public policy. Current state-of-the-art…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-28 Baozhen Wang , Xingye Qiao

The estimation of Conditional Average Treatment Effects (CATE) is crucial for understanding the heterogeneity of treatment effects in clinical trials. We evaluate the performance of common methods, including causal forests and various…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-12 Oshri Machluf , Tzviel Frostig , Gal Shoham , Tomer Milo , Elad Berkman , Raviv Pryluk

Estimating how a treatment affects units individually, known as heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) estimation, is an essential part of decision-making and policy implementation. The accumulation of large amounts of data in many domains,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-28 Christopher Tran , Elena Zheleva

Understanding treatment effect heterogeneity has become increasingly important in many fields. In this paper we study distributions and quantiles of individual treatment effects to provide a more comprehensive and robust understanding of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Zhe Chen , Xinran Li

Participants in online experiments often enroll over time, which can compromise sample representativeness due to temporal shifts in covariates. This issue is particularly critical in A/B tests, online controlled experiments extensively used…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-30 Chen Wang , Shichao Han , Shan Huang

This paper proposes an efficient quantum train engine (EQuaTE), a novel tool for quantum machine learning software which plots gradient variances to check whether our quantum neural network (QNN) falls into local minima (called barren…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-02-09 Soohyun Park , Won Joon Yun , Chanyoung Park , Youn Kyu Lee , Soyi Jung , Hao Feng , Joongheon Kim

Platform trials are multi-arm designs that simultaneously evaluate multiple treatments for a single disease within the same overall trial structure. Unlike traditional randomized controlled trials, they allow treatment arms to enter and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-16 Michele Santacatterina , Federico Macchiavelli Giron , Xinyi Zhang , Ivan Diaz

In streaming platforms churn is extremely costly, yet A/B tests are typically evaluated using outcomes observed within a limited experimental horizon. Even when both short- and predicted long-term engagement metrics are considered, they may…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-23 Dario Simionato , Andrea Tonon , Mingxue Wang , Weiguo Wang , Tong Gui , Xiaoyue Li

Dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) are personalized, adaptive, multi-stage treatment plans that adapt treatment decisions both to an individual's initial features and to intermediate outcomes and features at each subsequent stage, which are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-09-22 Yichun Hu , Nathan Kallus

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects is important to tailor treatments to those individuals who would most likely benefit. However, conditional average treatment effect predictors may often be trained on one population but possibly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-18 Christoph Kern , Michael Kim , Angela Zhou

We analyse quantile temporal-difference learning (QTD), a distributional reinforcement learning algorithm that has proven to be a key component in several successful large-scale applications of reinforcement learning. Despite these…

We present Neural Quantile Estimation (NQE), a novel Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) method based on conditional quantile regression. NQE autoregressively learns individual one dimensional quantiles for each posterior dimension,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-22 He Jia

In this study, we develop a novel estimation method for quantile treatment effects (QTE) under rank invariance and rank stationarity assumptions. Ishihara (2020) explores identification of the nonseparable panel data model under these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-18 Takuya Ishihara

This study investigates the identification power gained by combining experimental data, in which treatment is randomized, with observational data, in which treatment is self-selected, for distributional treatment effect (DTE) parameters.…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-24 Shosei Sakaguchi