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In economics, risk aversion is modeled via a concave Bernoulli utility within the expected-utility paradigm. We propose a simple test of expected utility and concavity. We find little support for either: only 30 percent of the choices are…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-07 Jacob K Goeree , Bernardo Garcia-Pola

Various poverty reduction strategies are being implemented in the pursuit of eliminating extreme poverty. One such strategy is increased access to microcredit in poor areas around the world. Microcredit, typically defined as the supply of…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2020-11-23 Melvyn Weeks , Tobias Gabel Christiansen

An agent choosing between various actions tends to take the one with the lowest cost. But this choice is arguably too rigid (not adaptive) to be useful in complex situations, e.g., where exploration-exploitation trade-off is relevant in…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-12-04 Armen E. Allahverdyan , Aram Galstyan , Ali E. Abbas , Zbigniew R. Struzik

We show that under plausible levels of background risk, no theory of choice under risk -- such as expected utility theory, prospect theory, or rank dependent utility -- can simultaneously satisfy the following three economic postulates: (i)…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2021-03-09 Xiaosheng Mu , Luciano Pomatto , Philipp Strack , Omer Tamuz

This paper attempts to find a relationship between agents' risk aversion and inequality of incomes. Specifically, a model is proposed for the evolution in time of surplus/deficit distribution, and the long-time distributions are…

经济学 · 定量金融 2016-05-12 Eleonora Perversi , Eugenio Regazzini

We propose a consumption-investment decision model where past consumption peak $h$ plays a crucial role. There are two important consumption levels: the lowest constrained level and a reference level, at which the risk aversion in terms of…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2022-11-23 Zongxia Liang , Xiaodong Luo , Fengyi Yuan

Inspired by recent ideas on how the analysis of complex financial risks can benefit from analogies with independent research areas, we propose an unorthodox framework for mapping microfinance credit risk---a major obstacle to the…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2018-11-21 Joung-Hun Lee , Marko Jusup , Boris Podobnik , Yoh Iwasa

We propose a novel approach to infer investors' risk preferences from their portfolio choices, and then use the implied risk preferences to measure the efficiency of investment portfolios. We analyze a dataset spanning a period of six…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2020-10-28 Agostino Capponi , Zhaoyu Zhang

An investor with constant relative risk aversion and an infinite planning horizon trades a risky and a safe asset with constant investment opportunities, in the presence of small transaction costs and a binding exogenous portfolio…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2013-01-09 Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Ren Liu

Consider an investor trading dynamically to maximize expected utility from terminal wealth. Our aim is to study the dependence between her risk aversion and the distribution of the optimal terminal payoff. Economic intuition suggests that…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2011-09-15 Mathias Beiglboeck , Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Johannes Temme

Debt aversion can have severe adverse effects on financial decision-making. We propose a model of debt aversion, and design an experiment involving real debt and saving contracts, to elicit and jointly estimate debt aversion with…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-07-27 Thomas Meissner , David Albrecht

Flexibility options, such as demand response, energy storage and interconnection, have the potential to reduce variation in electricity prices between different future scenarios, therefore reducing investment risk. Moreover, investment in…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-10-11 Thomas Möbius , Iegor Riepin , Felix Müsgens , Adriaan H. van der Weijde

People are often reluctant to incorporate information produced by algorithms into their decisions, a phenomenon called ``algorithm aversion''. This paper shows how algorithm aversion arises when the choice to follow an algorithm conveys…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-08-02 Gregory Weitzner

Strong empirical evidence from laboratory experiments, and more recently from population surveys, shows that individuals, when evaluating their situations, pay attention to whether they experience gains or losses, with losses weighing more…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-17 Martyna Kobus , Radosław Kurek , Thomas Parker

We uncover a close link between outside options and risk attitude: when a decision-maker gains access to an outside option, her behaviour becomes less risk-averse, and conversely, any observed decrease of risk-aversion can be explained by…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-19 Gregorio Curello , Ludvig Sinander , Mark Whitmeyer

We develop a structural econometric model to capture the decision dynamics of human evaluators on an online micro-lending platform, and estimate the model parameters using a real-world dataset. We find two types of biases in gender,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-11 Xiyang Hu , Yan Huang , Beibei Li , Tian Lu

Risk aversion is a common behavior universal to humans and animals alike. Economists have traditionally defined risk preferences by the curvature of the utility function. Psychologists and behavioral economists also make use of concepts…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-11-18 Arend Hintze , Randal S. Olson , Christoph Adami , Ralph Hertwig

We consider thin incomplete financial markets, where traders with heterogeneous preferences and risk exposures have motive to behave strategically regarding the demand schedules they submit, thereby impacting prices and allocations. We…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2018-06-22 Michail Anthropelos , Constantinos Kardaras , Georgios Vichos

We run experimental asset markets to investigate the emergence of excess trading and the occurrence of synchronised trading activity leading to crashes in the artificial markets. The market environment favours early investment in the risky…

How do entrepreneurs act on their beliefs when probabilities of outcomes are unknown but subjectively perceived? We theorize that two distinct dimensions of ambiguity attitudes influence entrepreneurial action: ambiguity aversion - the…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-26 Thomas Åstebro , Frank M. Fossen , Cédric Gutierrez
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