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Beneficial to advanced computing devices, models with massive parameters are increasingly employed to extract more information to enhance the precision in describing and predicting the patterns of objective systems. This phenomenon is…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2024-03-08 Liye Jia , Fengyufan Yang , Ka Lok Man , Erick Purwanto , Sheng-Uei Guan , Jeremy Smith , Yutao Yue

This paper focuses on the expected difference in borrower's repayment when there is a change in the lender's credit decisions. Classical estimators overlook the confounding effects and hence the estimation error can be magnificent. As such,…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-12-21 Yiyan Huang , Cheuk Hang Leung , Xing Yan , Qi Wu , Nanbo Peng , Dongdong Wang , Zhixiang Huang

The marketing departments of financial institutions strive to craft products and services that cater to the diverse needs of businesses of all sizes. However, it is evident upon analysis that larger corporations often receive a more…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-02-25 Luiz Tavares , Jose Mazzon , Francisco Paletta , Fabio Barros

Usage data of a group of users distributed across a number of categories, such as songs, movies, webpages, links, regular household products, mobile apps, games, etc. can be ultra-high dimensional and massive in size. More often this kind…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-30 Animesh Mitra , Saswata Sahoo , Soumyabrata Dey

Understanding treatment effect heterogeneity is vital for scientific and policy research. However, identifying and evaluating heterogeneous treatment effects pose significant challenges due to the typically unknown subgroup structure.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-05 Kwangho Kim , Jisu Kim , Larry A. Wasserman , Edward H. Kennedy

While recommender systems (RSs) traditionally rely on extensive individual user data, regulatory and technological shifts necessitate reliance on aggregated user information. This shift significantly impacts the recommendation process,…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2025-02-27 Gur Keinan , Omer Ben-Porat

During the last decade, the deluge of multimedia data has impacted a wide range of research areas, including multimedia retrieval, 3D tracking, database management, data mining, machine learning, social media analysis, medical imaging, and…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2017-07-11 Lianli Gao , Jingkuan Song , Xingyi Liu , Junming Shao , Jiajun Liu , Jie Shao

Context: Code coverage is widely used as a software quality assurance measure. However, its effect, and specifically the advisable dose, are disputed in both the research and engineering communities. Prior work reports only correlational…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2026-02-04 Lukas Schulte , Gordon Fraser , Steffen Herbold

Causal chain reasoning (CCR) is an essential ability for many decision-making AI systems, which requires the model to build reliable causal chains by connecting causal pairs. However, CCR suffers from two main transitive problems: threshold…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-11-15 Kai Xiong , Xiao Ding , Zhongyang Li , Li Du , Bing Qin , Yi Zheng , Baoxing Huai

We introduce the logistic model of consumption growth, which captures a negative feedback loop preventing an unlimited growth of consumption due to finite biophysical resources of our planet. This simple dynamic model allows for derivation…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2018-07-05 Victor E. Gluzberg , Yuri A. Katz

Standard training techniques for neural networks involve multiple sources of randomness, e.g., initialization, mini-batch ordering and in some cases data augmentation. Given that neural networks are heavily over-parameterized in practice,…

Social network analytics methods are being used in the telecommunication industry to predict customer churn with great success. In particular it has been shown that relational learners adapted to this specific problem enhance the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-03-20 María Óskarsdóttir , Cristián Bravo , Wouter Verbeke , Carlos Sarraute , Bart Baesens , Jan Vanthienen

In this paper, we employ Credit Default Swaps (CDS) to model the joint and conditional distress probabilities of banks in Europe and the U.S. using factor copulas. We propose multi-factor, structured factor, and factor-vine models where the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-01-09 Hoang Nguyen , Audronė Virbickaitė , M. Concepción Ausín , Pedro Galeano

For sustainable growth and profitability, online game companies are constantly carrying out various events to attract new game users, to maximize return users, and to minimize churn users in online games. Because minimizing churn users is…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2019-09-25 Kyoung Ho Kim , Huy Kang Kim

Causal Inference plays an significant role in explaining the decisions taken by statistical models and artificial intelligence models. Of late, this field started attracting the attention of researchers and practitioners alike. This paper…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-08-01 Satyam Kumar , Yelleti Vivek , Vadlamani Ravi , Indranil Bose

With recent rapid growth in online shopping, AI-powered Engagement Surfaces (ES) have become ubiquitous across retail services. These engagement surfaces perform an increasing range of functions, including recommending new products for…

Interbank contagion can theoretically exacerbate losses in a financial system and lead to additional cascade defaults during downturn. In this paper we produce default analysis using both regression and neural network models to verify…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-05-29 Riccardo Doyle

Accurate demand forecasts can help on-line retail organizations better plan their supply-chain processes. The challenge, however, is the large number of associative factors that result in large, non-stationary shifts in demand, which…

Artificial intelligence models and methods commonly lack causal interpretability. Despite the advancements in interpretable machine learning (IML) methods, they frequently assign importance to features which lack causal influence on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-29 Francisco Nunes Ferreira Quialheiro Simoes , Mehdi Dastani , Thijs van Ommen

The fragility of financial systems was starkly demonstrated in early 2023 through a cascade of major bank failures in the United States, including the second, third, and fourth largest collapses in the US history. The highly interdependent…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-11-19 Kamil Fortuna , Janusz Szwabiński