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We develop an automated variational method for inference in models with Gaussian process (GP) priors and general likelihoods. The method supports multiple outputs and multiple latent functions and does not require detailed knowledge of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-11-06 Edwin V. Bonilla , Karl Krauth , Amir Dezfouli

We consider three problems in high-dimensional Gaussian linear mixed models. Without any assumptions on the design for the fixed effects, we construct an asymptotic $F$-statistic for testing whether a collection of random effects is zero,…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-07-30 Michael Law , Ya'acov Ritov

Gaussian processes have become a promising tool for various safety-critical settings, since the posterior variance can be used to directly estimate the model error and quantify risk. However, state-of-the-art techniques for safety-critical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-22 Alexandre Capone , Armin Lederer , Sandra Hirche

Regression models that ignore measurement error in predictors may produce highly biased estimates leading to erroneous inferences. It is well known that it is extremely difficult to take measurement error into account in Gaussian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-03 Mohammad W. Hattab , David Ruppert

This paper explores the effects of simulated moments on the performance of inference methods based on moment inequalities. Commonly used confidence sets for parameters are level sets of criterion functions whose boundary points may depend…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-04-12 Hiroaki Kaido , Jiaxuan Li , Marc Rysman

Obtaining high certainty in predictive models is crucial for making informed and trustworthy decisions in many scientific and engineering domains. However, extensive experimentation required for model accuracy can be both costly and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-17 Giorgio Morales , John Sheppard

Statistical inference in high dimensional settings has recently attracted enormous attention within the literature. However, most published work focuses on the parametric linear regression problem. This paper considers an important…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-14 Qi Gao , Randy C. S. Lai , Thomas C. M. Lee , Yao Li

In a recent article (Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 110(36), 14557-14562), El Karoui et al. study the distribution of robust regression estimators in the regime in which the number of parameters p is of the same order as the number of samples n.…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-11-18 David Donoho , Andrea Montanari

Empirical likelihood is a popular nonparametric or semi-parametric statistical method with many nice statistical properties. Yet when the sample size is small, or the dimension of the accompanying estimating function is high, the…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-10-05 Yukun Liu , Jiahua Chen

Hierarchical Bayesian models are increasingly used in large, inhomogeneous complex network dynamical systems by modeling parameters as draws from a hyperparameter-governed distribution. However, theoretical guarantees for these estimates as…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-23 Yi Yu , Yubo Hou , Yinchong Wang , Nan Zhang , Jianfeng Feng , Wenlian Lu

This paper considers errors-in-variables models in a high-dimensional setting where the number of covariates can be much larger than the sample size, and there are only a small number of non-zero covariates. The presence of measurement…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-03 Linh Nghiem , Cornelis Potgieter

Event counts are response variables with non-negative integer values representing the number of times that an event occurs within a fixed domain such as a time interval, a geographical area or a cell of a contingency table. Analysis of…

We study semi-parametric estimation of the population mean when data is observed missing at random (MAR) in the $n < p$ "inconsistency regime", in which neither the outcome model nor the propensity/missingness model can be estimated…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-09-06 Michael Celentano , Martin J. Wainwright

We study asymptotically normal estimation and confidence regions for low-dimensional parameters in high-dimensional sparse models. Our approach is based on the $\ell_1$-penalized M-estimator which is used for construction of a bias…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-10-06 Jana Janková , Sara van de Geer

We study generalized bootstrap confidence regions for the mean of a random vector whose coordinates have an unknown dependency structure. The random vector is supposed to be either Gaussian or to have a symmetric and bounded distribution.…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-07-02 Sylvain Arlot , Gilles Blanchard , Etienne Roquain

We propose a general framework for nonasymptotic covariance matrix estimation making use of concentration inequality-based confidence sets. We specify this framework for the estimation of large sparse covariance matrices through…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-17 Adam B Kashlak , Linglong Kong

Large-margin classifiers are popular methods for classification. We derive the asymptotic expression for the generalization error of a family of large-margin classifiers in the limit of both sample size $n$ and dimension $p$ going to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-02 Hanwen Huang , Qinglong Yang

New asymptotic approximations of the non-central $t$ distribution are given, a generalization of the Student's $t$ distribution. Using new integral representations, we give new asymptotic expansions for large values of the noncentrality…

概率论 · 数学 2023-10-17 Amparo Gil , Javier Segura , Nico M Temme

It is well known that the asymptotic variance of sample quantiles can be reduced under heterogeneity relative to the i.i.d. setting. However, asymptotically correct confidence intervals for quantiles are not yet available. We propose a…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-27 John H. J. Einmahl , Yi He

Regression quantiles have asymptotic variances that depend on the conditional densities of the response variable given regressors. This paper develops a new estimate of the asymptotic variance of regression quantiles that leads any…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-09-27 Juan Carlos Escanciano , Chuan Goh