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The success of deep learning techniques over the last decades has opened up a new avenue of research for weather forecasting. Here, we take the novel approach of using a neural network to predict full probability density functions at each…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-01-05 Mariana Clare , Omar Jamil , Cyril Morcrette

This paper traces the global race to apply early electronic computers to numerical weather prediction in the decades following World War Two. A brief overview of the early history of numerical weather prediction in the United States, United…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2025-06-30 Charles Yang

The advent of digital computing in the 1950s sparked a revolution in the science of weather and climate. Meteorology, long based on extrapolating patterns in space and time, gave way to computational methods in a decade of advances in…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-04-14 V. Balaji

Weather forecasting plays a crucial role in supporting strategic decisions across various sectors, including agriculture, renewable energy production, and disaster management. However, the inherently dynamic and chaotic behavior of the…

Dynamical weather and climate prediction models underpin many studies of the Earth system and hold the promise of being able to make robust projections of future climate change based on physical laws. However, simulations from these models…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2019-09-04 Peter A. G. Watson

The midlatitude climate and weather are shaped by storms, yet the factors governing their predictability remain insufficiently understood. Here, we use a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) to predict and quantify uncertainty in the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-10-30 Wuqiushi Yao , Or Hadas , Yohai Kaspi

Weather forecasting is an essential task to tackle global climate change. Weather forecasting requires the analysis of multivariate data generated by heterogeneous meteorological sensors. These sensors comprise of ground-based sensors,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-16 Gaganpreet Singh , Surya Durbha , Shreelakshmi C R

In this work we explore how quantum scientific machine learning can be used to tackle the challenge of weather modelling. Using parameterised quantum circuits as machine learning models, we consider two paradigms: supervised learning from…

Complex numerical weather prediction models incorporate a variety of physical processes, each described by multiple alternative physical schemes with specific parameters. The selection of the physical schemes and the choice of the…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2018-02-23 Azam Moosavi , Vishwas Rao , Adrian Sandu

The atmosphere is chaotic. This fundamental property of the climate system makes forecasting weather incredibly challenging: it's impossible to expect weather models to ever provide perfect predictions of the Earth system beyond timescales…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-12-15 Elizabeth A. Barnes , Kirsten Mayer , Benjamin Toms , Zane Martin , Emily Gordon

Weather sensing and forecasting has become increasingly accurate in the last decade thanks to high-resolution radars, efficient computational algorithms, and high-performance computing facilities. Through a distributed and federated network…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2022-03-29 Robert Thompson , Eric Lyons , Ishita Dasgupta , Spyridon Mastorakis , Michael Zink , Susmit Shannigrahi

Ensemble weather forecasts enable a measure of uncertainty to be attached to each forecast, by computing the ensemble's spread. However, generating an ensemble with a good spread-error relationship is far from trivial, and a wide range of…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-01-05 Sebastian Scher , Gabriele Messori

In recent years, a study by environmental organizations in the world and Vietnam shows that weather change is quite complex. global warming has become a serious problem in the modern world, which is a concern for scientists. last century,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-29 Nguyen Phuc Tran , Duy Thanh Tran , Thi Thuy Nga Duong

Since the original algorithm by John Vidale in 1988 to numerically solve the isotropic eikonal equation, there has been tremendous progress on the topic addressing an array of challenges including improvement of the solution accuracy,…

计算物理 · 物理学 2021-05-18 Umair bin Waheed , Tariq Alkhalifah , Ehsan Haghighat , Chao Song

In recent years, machine learning has established itself as a powerful tool for high-resolution weather forecasting. While most current machine learning models focus on deterministic forecasts, accurately capturing the uncertainty in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-29 Joel Oskarsson , Tomas Landelius , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Fredrik Lindsten

Current climate models often struggle with accuracy because they lack sufficient resolution, a limitation caused by computational constraints. This reduces the precision of weather forecasts and long-term climate predictions. To address…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-10-03 Adib Bazgir , Yuwen Zhang

Numerous methods exist and were developed for global radiation forecasting. The two most popular types are the numerical weather predictions (NWP) and the predictions using stochastic approaches. We propose to compute a parameter noted…

Forecasting the weather is an increasingly data intensive exercise. Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models are becoming more complex, with higher resolutions, and there are increasing numbers of different models in operation. While the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-17 Charlie Kirkwood , Theo Economou , Henry Odbert , Nicolas Pugeault

Numerical weather prediction has traditionally been based on physical models of the atmosphere. Recently, however, the rise of deep learning has created increased interest in purely data-driven medium-range weather forecasting with first…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-03-17 Stephan Rasp , Nils Thuerey

In climate science, we often want to compare across different datasets. Difficulties can arise in doing this due to inevitable mismatches that arise between observational and reanalysis data, or even between different reanalyses. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-24 Jack R. P. Hanslope , Laurence Aitchison
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