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We consider a linearized dynamical system modelling the flow rate of water along the rivers and hillslopes of an arbitrary watershed. The system is perturbed by a random rainfall in the form of a compound Poisson process. The model…

概率论 · 数学 2018-11-05 Jorge M Ramirez , Corina Constantinescu

We construct a stochastic fluid process with an underlying piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) akin to the one used in the construction of the rational arrival process (RAP), which we call the RAP-modulated fluid process. As…

概率论 · 数学 2021-01-12 Nigel G. Bean , Giang T. Nguyen , Bo F. Nielsen , Oscar Peralta

In this paper, we study Markov-dependent reflected autoregressive processes, and other related models the analysis of which results in a vector-valued fixed-point functional equation of a certain type. In queueing terms, such processes…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-23 Ioannis Dimitriou

This paper studies the properties of the Multiply Iterated Poisson Process (MIPP), a stochastic process constructed by repeatedly time-changing a Poisson process, and its applications in ruin theory. Like standard Poisson processes, MIPPs…

This paper gives an elementary proof for the following theorem: a renewal process can be represented by a doubly-stochastic Poisson process (DSPP) if and only if the Laplace-Stieltjes transform of the inter-arrival times is of the following…

概率论 · 数学 2024-09-30 Xinlong Du , Harsha Honnappa

A class of generative models that unifies flow-based and diffusion-based methods is introduced. These models extend the framework proposed in Albergo and Vanden-Eijnden (2023), enabling the use of a broad class of continuous-time stochastic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-10 Michael S. Albergo , Nicholas M. Boffi , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

We consider the filtering problem of estimating a hidden random variable $X$ by noisy observations. The noisy observation process is constructed by a randomised Markov bridge (RMB) $(Z_t)_{t\in [0,T]}$ of which terminal value is set to…

概率论 · 数学 2019-12-17 Andrea Macrina , Jun Sekine

A time-dependent model for the energy of a flaring solar active region is presented based on a stochastic jump-transition model (Wheatland and Glukhov 1998; Wheatland 2008; Wheatland 2009). The magnetic free energy of the model active…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-19 M. Kanazir , M. S. Wheatland

A popular branch of stochastic network calculus (SNC) utilizes moment-generating functions (MGFs) to characterize arrivals and services, which enables end-to-end performance analysis. However, existing traffic models for SNC cannot…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2023-06-09 Qingqing Yang , Xi Peng , Huiwen Yang , Gong Zhang , Bo Bai

We introduce a multiclass single-server queueing system in which the arrival rates depend on the current job in service. The system is characterized by a matrix of arrival rates in lieu of a vector of arrival rates. Our proposed model…

概率论 · 数学 2018-08-21 Philip Ernst , Søren Asmussen , John Hasenbein

We consider specification and inference for the stochastic scale of discretely-observed pure-jump semimartingales with locally stable L\'{e}vy densities in the setting where both the time span of the data set increases, and the mesh of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-07-25 Viktor Todorov , George Tauchen

This paper motivates the use of random-bridges -- stochastic processes conditioned to take target distributions at fixed timepoints -- in the realm of generative modelling. Herein, random-bridges can act as stochastic transports between two…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Stefano Goria , Levent A. Mengütürk , Murat C. Mengütürk , Berkan Sesen

Transition probabilities for stochastic systems can be expressed in terms of a functional integral over paths taken by the system. Evaluating the integral by the saddle point method in the weak-noise limit leads to a remarkable mapping…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-12-25 S P Fitzgerald , T J W Honour

We consider a single-server queue where interarrival and service times depend linearly and randomly on customer waiting times, and establish a sample-path moderate deviation principle (MDP) for the waiting time process. The waiting times…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-03 Chang Feng , John J. Hasenbein , Guodong Pang

This is an expository review paper illustrating the ``martingale method'' for proving many-server heavy-traffic stochastic-process limits for queueing models, supporting diffusion-process approximations. Careful treatment is given to an…

概率论 · 数学 2007-12-28 Guodong Pang , Rishi Talreja , Ward Whitt

We consider a stochastic, dynamic job scheduling problem, formulated as a queueing control problem, in which a single server processes jobs of different types that arrive according to independent Poisson processes. The problem is defined on…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-09-09 Dongnuan Tian , Rob Shone

We recently proposed a method for estimation of states and parameters in stochastic differential equations, which included intermediate time points between observations and used the Laplace approximation to integrate out these intermediate…

概率论 · 数学 2025-04-01 Uffe Høgsbro Thygesen

We consider a stochastic fluid queue served by a constant rate server and driven by a process which is the local time of a certain Markov process. Such a stochastic system can be used as a model in a priority service system, especially when…

We consider the task of generating discrete-time realisations of a nonlinear multivariate diffusion process satisfying an It\^o stochastic differential equation conditional on an observation taken at a fixed future time-point. Such…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-04-26 Gavin A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Richard J. Boys , Chris Sherlock

Renewable energy sources such as wind and solar power have a high degree of unpredictability and time-variation, which makes balancing demand and supply challenging. One possible way to address this challenge is to harness the inherent…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-04-18 Sean Meyn , Prabir Barooah , Ana Bušić , Yue Chen , Jordan Ehren
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