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Two-stage least squares (TSLS) estimators and variants thereof are widely used to infer the effect of an exposure on an outcome using instrumental variables (IVs). They belong to a wider class of two-stage IV estimators, which are based on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-10-08 Stijn Vansteelandt , Vanessa Didelez

We derive mean-unbiased estimators for the structural parameter in instrumental variables models with a single endogenous regressor where the sign of one or more first stage coefficients is known. In the case with a single instrument, there…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-12-05 Isaiah Andrews , Timothy B. Armstrong

For learned models to be trustworthy, it is essential to verify their robustness to perturbations in the training data. Classical approaches involve uncertainty quantification via confidence intervals and bootstrap methods. In contrast,…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-30 Eyar Azar , Michael J. Feldman , Boaz Nadler

We propose a weak-identification-robust test for linear instrumental variable (IV) regressions with high-dimensional instruments, whose number is allowed to exceed the sample size. In addition, our test is robust to general error…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-01 Qu Feng , Sombut Jaidee , Wenjie Wang

In this paper, I show that classic two-stage least squares (2SLS) estimates are highly unstable with weak instruments. I propose a ridge estimator (ridge IV) and show that it is asymptotically normal even with weak instruments, whereas 2SLS…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-04-19 Karthik Rajkumar

We study inference on linear functionals in the nonparametric instrumental variable (NPIV) problem with a discretely-valued instrument under a many-weak-instruments asymptotic regime, where the number of instrument values grows with the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-05 Lars van der Laan , Nathan Kallus , Aurélien Bibaut

Data clustering reduces the effective sample size from the number of observations towards the number of clusters. For instrumental variable models this reduced effective sample size makes the instruments more likely to be weak, in the sense…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-09 Johannes W. Ligtenberg

This paper extends validity of the conditional likelihood ratio (CLR) test developed by Moreira (2003) to instrumental variable regression models with unknown error variance and many weak instruments. In this setting, we argue that the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-04-16 Sreevidya Ayyar , Yukitoshi Matsushita , Taisuke Otsu

Ordinary least-squares (OLS) estimators for a linear model are very sensitive to unusual values in the design space or outliers among y values. Even one single atypical value may have a large effect on the parameter estimates. This article…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-04-28 Chun Yu , Weixin Yao , Xue Bai

Limited-information inference on New Keynesian Phillips Curves (NKPCs) and other single-equation macroeconomic relations is characterised by weak and high-dimensional instrumental variables (IVs). Beyond the efficiency concerns previously…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-03-23 Max-Sebastian Dovì

Least squares linear regression is one of the oldest and widely used data analysis tools. Although the theoretical analysis of the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator is as old, several fundamental questions are yet to be answered.…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-10-16 Arun K. Kuchibhotla , Lawrence D. Brown , Andreas Buja , Junhui Cai

In an instrumental variable model, the score statistic can be bounded for any alternative in parts of the parameter space. These regions involve a constraint on the first-stage regression coefficients and the reduced-form covariance matrix.…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-09-13 Marcelo J. Moreira , Geert Ridder

This paper proposes new nonparametric diagnostic tools to assess the asymptotic validity of different treatment effects estimators that rely on the correct specification of the propensity score. We derive a particular restriction relating…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-11 Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna , Xiaojun Song

In this article, we study the performance of the estimator that minimizes $L_{2k}- $ order loss function (for $ k \ge \; 2 )$ against the estimators which minimizes the $L_2-$ order loss function (or the least squares estimator). Commonly…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-03-20 Gopal K Basak , Samarjit Das , Arijit De , Atanu Biswas

We present a new finite-time analysis of the estimation error of the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) estimator for stable linear time-invariant systems. We characterize the number of observed samples (the length of the observed trajectory)…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-03-27 Yassir Jedra , Alexandre Proutiere

Instrumental variables (eliminate the bias that afflicts least-squares identification of dynamical systems through noisy data, yet traditionally relies on external instruments that are seldom available for nonlinear time series data. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-11 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

The classical tests in the instrumental variable model can behave arbitrarily if the data is contaminated. For instance, one outlying observation can be enough to change the outcome of a test. We develop a framework to construct testing…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-03-26 Jens Klooster , Mikhail Zhelonkin

We propose a two-stage least squares (2SLS) estimator whose first stage is the equal-weighted average over a complete subset with $k$ instruments among $K$ available, which we call the complete subset averaging (CSA) 2SLS. The approximate…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-03 Seojeong Lee , Youngki Shin

We discuss the fundamental issue of identification in linear instrumental variable (IV) models with unknown IV validity. With the assumption of the "sparsest rule", which is equivalent to the plurality rule but becomes operational in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-06 Yiqi Lin , Frank Windmeijer , Xinyuan Song , Qingliang Fan

This paper proposes an overidentifying restriction test for high-dimensional linear instrumental variable models. The novelty of the proposed test is that it allows the number of covariates and instruments to be larger than the sample size.…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-08 Qingliang Fan , Zijian Guo , Ziwei Mei