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Count data with an excessive number of zeros frequently arise in fields such as economics, medicine, and public health. Traditional count models often fail to adequately handle such data, especially when the relationship between the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-25 María José Llop , Andrea Bergesio , Anne-Françoise Yao

The method of maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is a widely used statistical approach for estimating the values of one or more unknown parameters of a probabilistic model based on observed data. In this tutorial, I briefly review the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-12-03 Anthony Vella

The Ising spin glass is a one-parameter exponential family model for binary data with quadratic sufficient statistic. In this paper, we show that given a single realization from this model, the maximum pseudolikelihood estimate (MPLE) of…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-03-06 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Sumit Mukherjee

We introduce two synthetic likelihood methods for Simulation-Based Inference (SBI), to conduct either amortized or targeted inference from experimental observations when a high-fidelity simulator is available. Both methods learn a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-19 Pierre Glaser , Michael Arbel , Samo Hromadka , Arnaud Doucet , Arthur Gretton

The paper offers a novel unified approach to studying the accuracy of parameter estimation by the quasi likelihood method. Important features of the approach are: (1) The underlying model {is not assumed to be parametric}. (2) No conditions…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-03-11 V. Spokoiny

In this paper, we consider distributed maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) with dependent quantized data under the assumption that the structure of the joint probability density function (pdf) is known, but it contains unknown deterministic…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2013-09-17 Xiaojing Shen , Pramod K. Varshney , Yunmin Zhu

The tensor Ising model is a discrete exponential family used for modeling binary data on networks with not just pairwise, but higher-order dependencies. A particularly important class of tensor Ising models are the tensor Curie-Weiss…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-12-21 Somabha Mukherjee , Jaesung Son , Swarnadip Ghosh , Sourav Mukherjee

We consider a general multivariate model where univariate marginal distributions are known up to a parameter vector and we are interested in estimating that parameter vector without specifying the joint distribution, except for the…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-02-01 Ivan Medovikov , Valentyn Panchenko , Artem Prokhorov

We advocate for a practical Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) approach towards designing loss functions for regression and forecasting, as an alternative to the typical approach of direct empirical risk minimization on a specific target…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-12 Pranjal Awasthi , Abhimanyu Das , Rajat Sen , Ananda Theertha Suresh

Motivated by studying asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in stochastic volatility (SV) models, in this paper we investigate likelihood estimation in state space models. We first prove, under some regularity…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-11-15 Cheng-Der Fuh

This paper explores Maximum Likelihood in parametric models in the context of Sanov type Large Deviation Probabilities. MLE in parametric models under weighted sampling is shown to be associated with the minimization of a specific…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-07-30 Michel Broniatowski , Zhansheng Cao

This paper presents a score-based weighted likelihood estimator (SWLE) for robust estimations of generalized linear model (GLM) for insurance loss data. The SWLE exhibits a limited sensitivity to the outliers, theoretically justifying its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-25 Tsz Chai Fung

We propose a general approach to construct weighted likelihood estimating equations with the aim of obtaining robust parameter estimates. We modify the standard likelihood equations by incorporating a weight that reflects the statistical…

We develop some new strategies for building and fitting new flexible classes of parametric capture-recapture models for closed populations which can be used to address a better understanding of behavioural patterns. We first rely on a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-01-27 Danilo Alunni Fegatelli , Luca Tardella

This paper presents some results on the maximum likelihood (ML) estimation from incomplete data. Finite sample properties of conditional observed information matrices are established. They possess positive definiteness and the same Loewner…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-26 Budhi Arta Surya

Likelihood-based inference for multivariate extreme-value models is often unreliable or infeasible when likelihoods are intractable or supports are discrete. This challenge is particularly acute for multivariate discrete generalized Pareto…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-28 Samira Aka , Marie Kratz , Philippe Naveau

We consider the system identification problem of estimating a dynamical parameter of a Markovian quantum open system (the atom maser), by performing continuous time measurements in the system's output (outgoing atoms). Two estimation…

量子物理 · 物理学 2015-06-17 Catalin Catana , Theodore Kypraios , Madalin Guta

Large language models (LLMs) exhibit substantial potential across diverse scientific disciplines, including materials science. A property prediction framework, ZEBRA-Prop (Zero-Shot Embedding-Based Rapid and Accessible Regression Model for…

材料科学 · 物理学 2026-03-30 Ryoma Yamamoto , Akira Takahashi , Kei Terayama , Yu Kumagai , Fumiyasu Oba

We consider the problem of identifying parameters of a particular class of Markov chains, called Bernoulli Autoregressive (BAR) processes. The structure of any BAR model is encoded by a directed graph. Incoming edges to a node in the graph…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-20 Xiaotian Xie , Dimitrios Katselis , Carolyn L. Beck , R. Srikant

We propose a method for obtaining maximum likelihood estimates in a model with continuous and binary outcomes. Combinations of left and right censored observations are also naturally modeled in this framework. The model and estimation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-07-07 Klaus K. Holst , Esben Budtz-Jørgensen , Gitte Moos Knudsen