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相关论文: A Degree Based Approximation of an SIR Model with …

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In this paper, we study the effectiveness of the modelling approach on the pandemic due to the spreading of the novel COVID-19 disease and develop a susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model that provides a theoretical framework to…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-08-26 Ian Cooper , Argha Mondal , Chris G. Antonopoulos

In this work, we inspect the reliability of controlling and quelling an epidemic disease mimicked by a Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model defined on a complex network by means of current and implementable quarantine and isolation…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2012-06-12 Nuno Crokidakis , Silvio M. Duarte Queiros

An analytic solution is obtained to the SEIR Epidemic Model. The solution is created by constructing a single second-order nonlinear differential equation in $\ln S$ and analytically continuing its divergent power series solution such that…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-07-01 Steven J. Weinstein , Morgan S. Holland , Kelly E. Rogers , Nathaniel S. Barlow

The spread of COVID-19 during the initial phase of the first half of 2020 was curtailed to a larger or lesser extent through measures of social distancing imposed by most countries. In this work, we link directly, through machine learning…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-08-20 G. D. Barmparis , G. P. Tsironis

The dynamics of contact networks and epidemics of infectious diseases often occur on comparable time scales. Ignoring one of these time scales may provide an incomplete understanding of the population dynamics of the infection process. We…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-02-09 Luis E C Rocha , Naoki Masuda

We consider an SIR epidemic model propagating on a configuration model network, where the degree distribution of the vertices is given and where the edges are randomly matched. The evolution of the epidemic is summed up into three…

In this paper, we consider a compartmental SIRS epidemic model with asymptomatic infection and seasonal succession, which is a periodic discontinuous differential system. The basic reproduction number $\mathcal{R}_0$ is defined and valuated…

动力系统 · 数学 2017-08-15 Yilei Tang , Dongmei Xiao , Weinian Zhang , Di Zhu

This paper is concerned with stochastic SIR and SEIR epidemic models on random networks in which individuals may rewire away from infected neighbors at some rate $\omega$ (and reconnect to non-infectious individuals with probability…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2016-11-15 Tom Britton , David Juher , Joan Saldana

Within the likes of any highly contagious and unpredictable disease, lies a predictable and attainable growth rate that researchers can find in order to make logistical conclusions about that particular disease and its affected regions'…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-02-05 Julian Bennett , Lauren Eriksen , Xingjie Helen Li

A stochastic epidemic model accounting for the effect of contact-tracing on the spread of an infectious disease is studied. Precisely, individuals identified as infected may contribute to detecting other infectious individuals by providing…

概率论 · 数学 2009-03-28 Stéphan Clémençon , Viet Chi Tran , Hector De Arazoza

Transmission rates in epidemic outbreaks may vary over time depending on the societal response. Non-pharmacological mitigation strategies such as social distancing and the adoption of protective equipment aim precisely at reducing…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-12-24 Elisa Franco

We study an SEIQR (Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Quarantined-Recovered) model for an infectious disease, with time delays for latency and an asymptomatic phase. For fast pandemics where nobody has prior immunity and everyone has immunity…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-04-09 C. P. Vyasarayani , Anindya Chatterjee

We investigate the SIR epidemic on a dynamic inhomogeneous Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph, in which vertices are of one of $k$ types and in which edges appear and disappear independently of each other. We establish a functional law of large…

概率论 · 数学 2024-04-22 Yuanfei Huang , Adrian Röllin

The susceptible-exposed-infectious-susceptible (SEIS) model is well-known in mathematical epidemiology as a model of infection in which there is a latent period between the moment of infection and the onset of infectiousness. The…

概率论 · 数学 2015-10-06 Eric Foxall

We introduce a numerical method to solve epidemic models on the underlying topology of complex networks. The approach exploits the mean-field like rate equations describing the system and allows to work with very large system sizes, where…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Yamir Moreno , Javier B. Gomez , Amalio F. Pacheco

The structure of social contact networks strongly influences the dynamics of epidemic diseases. In particular the scale-free structure of real-world social networks allows unlikely diseases with low infection rates to spread and become…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-09-13 Güven Demirel , Thilo Gross

We present an epidemiological compartment model, SAIR(S), that explicitly captures the dynamics of asymptomatic infected individuals in an epidemic spread process. We first present a group model and then discuss networked versions. We…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-03-23 Xiaoqi Bi , Carolyn L. Beck

In this paper we are concerned with the SIR (Susceptible-Infective-Removed) epidemic on open clusters of bond percolation on the squared lattice. For the SIR model, a susceptible vertex is infected at rate proportional to the number of…

概率论 · 数学 2016-11-01 Xiaofeng Xue

The transmission dynamics of some infectious diseases is related to the contact structure between individuals in a network. We used five algorithms to generate contact networks with different topological structure but with the same…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2013-08-28 Raul Ossada , José H. H. Grisi-Filho , Fernando Ferreira , Marcos Amaku

We extend the classical Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model to a network-based framework where the degree distribution of nodes follows a Poisson distribution. This extension incorporates an additional parameter representing the mean…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-01-03 Josephine K. Wairimu , Andrew Gothard , Grzegorz A. Rempala