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The recent outbreak of COVID-19 has affected millions of individuals around the world and has posed a significant challenge to global healthcare. From the early days of the pandemic, it became clear that it is highly contagious and that…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-04-13 George Panagopoulos , Giannis Nikolentzos , Michalis Vazirgiannis

Graph convolutional neural networks (GCNs) have shown tremendous promise in addressing data-intensive challenges in recent years. In particular, some attempts have been made to improve predictions of Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-07 Petr Kisselev , Padmanabhan Seshaiyer

The worldwide impact of the recent COVID-19 pandemic has been substantial, necessitating the development of accurate forecasting models to predict the spread and course of a pandemic. Previous methods for outbreak forecasting have faced…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-28 Ashutosh Anshul , Jhalak Gupta , Mohammad Zia Ur Rehman , Nagendra Kumar

The COVID-19 pandemic represents the most significant public health disaster since the 1918 influenza pandemic. During pandemics such as COVID-19, timely and reliable spatio-temporal forecasting of epidemic dynamics is crucial. Deep…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Lijing Wang , Aniruddha Adiga , Srinivasan Venkatramanan , Jiangzhuo Chen , Bryan Lewis , Madhav Marathe

Accurate prediction of contagious disease outbreaks is vital for informed decision-making. Our study addresses the gap between machine learning algorithms and their epidemiological applications, noting that methods optimal for benchmark…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-16 Suhan Guo , Zhenghao Xu , Furao Shen , Jian Zhao

Accurate forecasts of COVID-19 is central to resource management and building strategies to deal with the epidemic. We propose a heterogeneous infection rate model with human mobility for epidemic modeling, a preliminary version of which we…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-05-06 Ajitesh Srivastava , Viktor K. Prasanna

The SARS-CoV-2 infectious outbreak has rapidly spread across the globe and precipitated varying policies to effectuate physical distancing to ameliorate its impact. In this study, we propose a new hybrid machine learning model, SIRNet, for…

Modeling and simulations of pandemic dynamics play an essential role in understanding and addressing the spreading of highly infectious diseases such as COVID-19. In this work, we propose a novel deep learning architecture named…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-16 Viet Bach Nguyen , Truong Son Hy , Long Tran-Thanh , Nhung Nghiem

During 2020, the infection rate of COVID-19 has been investigated by many scholars from different research fields. In this context, reliable and interpretable forecasts of disease incidents are a vital tool for policymakers to manage…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-05 Cornelius Fritz , Emilio Dorigatti , David Rügamer

Recurring outbreaks of COVID-19 have posed enduring effects on global society, which calls for a predictor of pandemic waves using various data with early availability. Existing prediction models that forecast the first outbreak wave using…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2022-06-13 J. Xue , T. Yabe , K. Tsubouchi , J. Ma , S. V. Ukkusuri

Infectious disease forecasting has been a key focus and proved to be crucial in controlling epidemic. A recent trend is to develop forecast-ing models based on graph neural networks (GNNs). However, existing GNN-based methods suffer from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-28 Mingjie Qiu , Zhiyi Tan , Bing-kun Bao

Pandemic outbreaks such as COVID-19 occur unexpectedly, and need immediate action due to their potential devastating consequences on global health. Point-of-care routine assessments such as electrocardiogram (ECG), can be used to develop…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-01-12 Weijie Sun , Sunil Vasu Kalmady , Nariman Sepehrvand , Luan Manh Chu , Zihan Wang , Amir Salimi , Abram Hindle , Russell Greiner , Padma Kaul

Epidemic prediction is a fundamental task for epidemic control and prevention. Many mechanistic models and deep learning models are built for this task. However, most mechanistic models have difficulty estimating the time/region-varying…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2023-06-28 Qi Cao , Renhe Jiang , Chuang Yang , Zipei Fan , Xuan Song , Ryosuke Shibasaki

In this work, we examine a novel forecasting approach for COVID-19 case prediction that uses Graph Neural Networks and mobility data. In contrast to existing time series forecasting models, the proposed approach learns from a single…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-08 Amol Kapoor , Xue Ben , Luyang Liu , Bryan Perozzi , Matt Barnes , Martin Blais , Shawn O'Banion

Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions (NPIs), such as social gathering restrictions, have shown effectiveness to slow the transmission of COVID-19 by reducing the contact of people. To support policy-makers, multiple studies have first modeled…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-13 Yang Liu , Yu Rong , Zhuoning Guo , Nuo Chen , Tingyang Xu , Fugee Tsung , Jia Li

COVID-19 has challenged health systems to learn how to learn. This paper describes the context, methods and challenges for learning to improve COVID-19 care at one academic health center. Challenges to learning include: (1) choosing a right…

Forecasting the evolution of contagion dynamics is still an open problem to which mechanistic models only offer a partial answer. To remain mathematically or computationally tractable, these models must rely on simplifying assumptions,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-08-18 Charles Murphy , Edward Laurence , Antoine Allard

When an epidemic spreads into a population, it is often unpractical or impossible to have a continuous monitoring of all subjects involved. As an alternative, algorithmic solutions can be used to infer the state of the whole population from…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-05-12 Abhishek Tomy , Matteo Razzanelli , Francesco Di Lauro , Daniela Rus , Cosimo Della Santina

The spread of diseases has been studied for many years, but it receives a particular focus recently due to the outbreak and spread of COVID-19. Studies show that the spread of COVID-19 can be characterized by the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-12 Xiaoxu Zhong , Yukun Ye

Modeling the spatiotemporal nature of the spread of infectious diseases can provide useful intuition in understanding the time-varying aspect of the disease spread and the underlying complex spatial dependency observed in people's mobility…

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