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Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) are state-of-the-art machine learning methods that can naturally regularize and systematically quantify uncertainties using their stochastic parameters. Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence-based variational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-10 Ponkrshnan Thiagarajan , Susanta Ghosh

Learning general representations of text is a fundamental problem for many natural language understanding (NLU) tasks. Previously, researchers have proposed to use language model pre-training and multi-task learning to learn robust…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2019-08-29 Zi-Yi Dou , Keyi Yu , Antonios Anastasopoulos

Practical Bayes filters often assume the state distribution of each time step to be Gaussian for computational tractability, resulting in the so-called Gaussian filters. When facing nonlinear systems, Gaussian filters such as extended…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-17 Wenhan Cao , Tianyi Zhang , Zeju Sun , Chang Liu , Stephen S. -T. Yau , Shengbo Eben Li

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) offer a principled and natural framework for proper uncertainty quantification in the context of deep learning. They address the typical challenges associated with conventional deep learning methods, such as…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-11-13 Zahra Moslemi , Yang Meng , Shiwei Lan , Babak Shahbaba

ReLU (rectified linear units) neural network has received significant attention since its emergence. In this paper, a univariate ReLU (UReLU) neural network is proposed to both modelling the nonlinear dynamic system and revealing insights…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-03-06 Xinglong Liang , Jun Xu

Many problems in navigation and tracking require increasingly accurate characterizations of the evolution of uncertainty in nonlinear systems. Nonlinear uncertainty propagation approaches based on Gaussian mixture density approximations…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-30 Jackson Kulik , Keith A. LeGrand

Method of moment estimators exhibit appealing statistical properties, such as asymptotic unbiasedness, for nonconvex problems. However, they typically require a large number of samples and are extremely sensitive to model misspecification.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-03-30 Dustin Tran , Minjae Kim , Finale Doshi-Velez

There has been a significant recent surge in deep neural network (DNN) techniques. Most of the existing DNN techniques have restricted model formats/assumptions. To overcome their limitations, we propose the nonparametric transformation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-28 Tong Wang , Shunqin Zhang , Sanguo Zhang , Jian Huang , Shuangge Ma

We consider the Bayesian analysis of models in which the unknown distribution of the outcomes is specified up to a set of conditional moment restrictions. The nonparametric exponentially tilted empirical likelihood function is constructed…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-27 Siddhartha Chib , Minchul Shin , Anna Simoni

We give analytical results for propagation of uncertainty through trained multi-layer perceptrons (MLPs) with a single hidden layer and ReLU activation functions. More precisely, we give expressions for the mean and variance of the output…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-26 Andrew Thompson , Miles McCrory

The predictive Bayesian view involves eliciting a sequence of one-step-ahead predictive distributions in lieu of specifying a likelihood function and prior distribution. Recent methods have leveraged predictive distributions which are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-25 Yiu Yin Yung , Stephen M. S. Lee , Edwin Fong

Meta distributions (MDs) are refined performance metrics in wireless networks modeled using point processes. While there is no known method to directly calculate MDs, the moments of the underlying conditional distributions (given the point…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2018-05-01 Martin Haenggi

We develop a novel deep learning method for uncertainty quantification in stochastic partial differential equations based on Bayesian neural network (BNN) and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC). A BNN efficiently learns the posterior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-24 Jeahan Jung , Minseok Choi

Bayesian methods for learning Gaussian graphical models offer a principled framework for quantifying model uncertainty and incorporating prior knowledge. However, their scalability is constrained by the computational cost of jointly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-28 Reza Mohammadi , Marit Schoonhoven , Lucas Vogels , S. Ilker Birbil

Neural networks with REctified Linear Unit (ReLU) activation functions (a.k.a. ReLU networks) have achieved great empirical success in various domains. Nonetheless, existing results for learning ReLU networks either pose assumptions on the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-01 Gang Wang , Georgios B. Giannakis , Jie Chen

Distributed machine learning (DML) over time-varying networks can be an enabler for emerging decentralized ML applications such as autonomous driving and drone fleeting. However, the commonly used weighted arithmetic mean model aggregation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-22 Haizhou Du , Ryan Yang , Yijian Chen , Qiao Xiang , Andre Wibisono , Wei Huang

Active learning optimizes the exploration of large parameter spaces by strategically selecting which experiments or simulations to conduct, thus reducing resource consumption and potentially accelerating scientific discovery. A key…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-20 Maxim Ziatdinov

This paper is concerned with the approximation of the radiative transfer equation for a grey medium in the slab geometry by the moment method. We develop a novel moment model inspired by the classical $P_N$ model and $M_N$ model. The new…

经典物理 · 物理学 2019-01-01 Yuwei Fan , Ruo Li , Lingchao Zheng

Uncertainty quantification and robustness to distribution shifts are important goals in machine learning and artificial intelligence. Although Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) allow for uncertainty in the predictions to be assessed,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-23 Michele Caprio , Souradeep Dutta , Kuk Jin Jang , Vivian Lin , Radoslav Ivanov , Oleg Sokolsky , Insup Lee

The neural linear model is a simple adaptive Bayesian linear regression method that has recently been used in a number of problems ranging from Bayesian optimization to reinforcement learning. Despite its apparent successes in these…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-12-19 Sebastian W. Ober , Carl Edward Rasmussen