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We present a new CUSUM procedure for sequentially detecting change-point in the self and mutual exciting processes, a.k.a. Hawkes networks using discrete events data. Hawkes networks have become a popular model for statistics and machine…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-08 Haoyun Wang , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , Alex Cuozzo , Simon Mak

We consider online monitoring of the network event data to detect local changes in a cluster when the affected data stream distribution shifts from one point process to another with different parameters. Specifically, we are interested in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-26 Rui Zhang , Haoyun Wang , Yao Xie

We investigate sequential change point estimation and detection in univariate nonparametric settings, where a stream of independent observations from sub-Gaussian distributions with a common variance factor and piecewise-constant but…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-16 Yi Yu , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

We investigate the online detection of changepoints in the distribution of a sequence of observations using degenerate U-statistic-type processes. We study weighted versions of: an ordinary, CUSUM-type scheme, a Page-CUSUM-type scheme, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-28 Cooper Boniece , Lajos Horvath , Lorenzo Trapani

A point process for event arrivals in high frequency trading is presented. The intensity is the product of a Hawkes process and high dimensional functions of covariates derived from the order book. Conditions for stationarity of the process…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2026-05-12 Luca Mucciante , Alessio Sancetta

Many modern applications of online changepoint detection require the ability to process high-frequency observations, sometimes with limited available computational resources. Online algorithms for detecting a change in mean often involve…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-12 Gaetano Romano , Idris Eckley , Paul Fearnhead , Guillem Rigaill

We consider the online monitoring of multivariate streaming data for changes that are characterized by an unknown subspace structure manifested in the covariance matrix. In particular, we consider the covariance structure changes from an…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-12 Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , George V. Moustakides

We study online changepoint detection in the context of a linear regression model. We propose a class of heavily weighted statistics based on the CUSUM process of the regression residuals, which are specifically designed to ensure timely…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-08 Fabrizio Ghezzi , Eduardo Rossi , Lorenzo Trapani

We propose a family of weighted statistics based on the CUSUM process of the WLS residuals for the online detection of changepoints in a Random Coefficient Autoregressive model, using both the standard CUSUM and the Page-CUSUM process. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-12 Lajos Horváth , Lorenzo Trapani

We study the parametric online changepoint detection problem, where the underlying distribution of the streaming data changes from a known distribution to an alternative that is of a known parametric form but with unknown parameters. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-05-22 Liyan Xie , George V. Moustakides , Yao Xie

Change point detection in covariance structures is a fundamental and crucial problem for sequential data. Under the high-dimensional setting, most of the existing research has focused on identifying change points in historical data.…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-02 Zhigang Bao , Kha Man Cheong , Yuji Li , Jiaxin Qiu

We consider the offline change point detection and localization problem in the context of piecewise stationary networks, where the observable is a finite sequence of networks. We develop algorithms involving some suitably modified CUSUM…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-07 Sharmodeep Bhattacharyya , Shirshendu Chatterjee , Soumendu Sundar Mukherjee

Cascading chains of events are a salient feature of many real-world social, biological, and financial networks. In social networks, social reciprocity accounts for retaliations in gang interactions, proxy wars in nation-state conflicts, or…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-07-05 Eric C. Hall , Rebecca M. Willett

Sequential (online) change-point detection involves continuously monitoring time-series data and triggering an alarm when shifts in the data distribution are detected. We propose an algorithm for real-time identification of alterations in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-16 Yuhan Tian , Abolfazl Safikhani

Change-point detection, detecting an abrupt change in the data distribution from sequential data, is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. CUSUM is a popular statistical method for online change-point detection due to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-12 Tingnan Gong , Junghwan Lee , Xiuyuan Cheng , Yao Xie

High-dimensional streaming data are becoming increasingly ubiquitous in many fields. They often lie in multiple low-dimensional subspaces, and the manifold structures may change abruptly on the time scale due to pattern shift or occurrence…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-04-13 Ruiyu Xu , Jianguo Wu , Xiaowei Yue , Yongxiang Li

Interactions among people or objects are often dynamic in nature and can be represented as a sequence of networks, each providing a snapshot of the interactions over a brief period of time. An important task in analyzing such evolving…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-06-17 Leto Peel , Aaron Clauset

High dimensional piecewise stationary graphical models represent a versatile class for modelling time varying networks arising in diverse application areas, including biology, economics, and social sciences. There has been recent work in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-21 Hossein Keshavarz , George Michailidis , Yves Atchade

We present a computationally efficient online kernel Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) method for change-point detection that utilizes the maximum over a set of kernel statistics to account for the unknown change-point location. Our approach exhibits…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-07 Song Wei , Yao Xie

We propose an online detection procedure for cascading failures in the network from sequential data, which can be modeled as multiple correlated change-points happening during a short period. We consider a temporal diffusion network model…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2021-02-09 Rui Zhang , Yao Xie , Rui Yao , Feng Qiu
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