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Network design under uncertainty arises in countless real-world settings and can be captured by the Stochastic Steiner Tree Problem (SSTP). Although there are a few approaches specifically tailored to this stochastic optimization problem,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-03-02 Berend Markhorst , Alessandro Zocca , Joost Berkhout , Rob van der Mei

This paper presents a framework for the representation of uncertainty in the estimates for software design projects for use throughout the entire project lifecycle. The framework is flexible in order to accommodate uncertainty in the…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2016-06-21 Andy M. Connor

We provide a rigorous framework for handling uncertainty in quantitative fault tree analysis based on fuzzy theory. We show that any algorithm for fault tree unreliability analysis can be adapted to this framework in a fully general and…

Free-form structural forms are widely used to design spatial structures for their irregular spatial morphology. Current free-form form-finding methods cannot adequately meet the material properties, structural requirements or construction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-16 Yiping Meng , Yiming Sun

Due to the penetration of renewable energy resources and load deviation, uncertainty handling is one of the main challenges for power system; therefore the need for accurate decision-making in a power system under the penetration of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-11-26 Mohammad Hemmati , Behnam Mohammadi-Ivatloo , Alireza Soroudi

Uncertainty quantification has been a core of the statistical machine learning, but its computational bottleneck has been a serious challenge for both Bayesians and frequentists. We propose a model-based framework in quantifying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-04 Minsuk Shin , Young Lee , Jun S. Liu

Coarse graining techniques play an essential role in accelerating molecular simulations of systems with large length and time scales. Theoretically grounded bottom-up models are appealing due to their thermodynamic consistency with the…

计算物理 · 物理学 2022-11-01 Blake R. Duschatko , Jonathan Vandermause , Nicola Molinari , Boris Kozinsky

The focus in this paper is Bayesian system identification based on noisy incomplete modal data where we can impose spatially-sparse stiffness changes when updating a structural model. To this end, based on a similar hierarchical sparse…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-02-07 Yong Huang , James L. Beck , Hui Li

To predict smooth physical phenomena from observations, spline interpolation provides an interpretable framework by minimizing an energy functional associated with the Laplacian operator. This work proposes a methodology to construct a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-26 Charlie Sire , Mike Pereira

This paper concerns models and convergence principles for dealing with stochasticity in a wide range of algorithms arising in nonlinear analysis and optimization in Hilbert spaces. It proposes a flexible geometric framework within which…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-02-17 Patrick L. Combettes , Javier I. Madariaga

The paper describes the robust algorithm for linear time-invariant plants under parametric uncertainties, external disturbances and high-frequency noises in measurements. The proposed algorithm allows one to reduce the noise impact on the…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-12-30 I. B. Furtat , A. N. Nekhoroshikh

Identifying damage of structural systems is typically characterized as an inverse problem which might be ill-conditioned due to aleatory and epistemic uncertainties induced by measurement noise and modeling error. Sparse representation can…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-06-09 Zhao Chen , Hao Sun

We consider the task of learning Ising models when the signs of different random variables are flipped independently with possibly unequal, unknown probabilities. In this paper, we focus on the problem of robust estimation of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-11 Ashish Katiyar , Vatsal Shah , Constantine Caramanis

We address uncertainty quantification for Gaussian processes (GPs) under misspecified priors, with an eye towards Bayesian Optimization (BO). GPs are widely used in BO because they easily enable exploration based on posterior uncertainty…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-03 Willie Neiswanger , Aaditya Ramdas

This manuscript studies a general approach to construct confidence sets for the solution of stochastic optimization, rendering empirical risk minimization as special cases. Statistical inference for stochastic optimization poses significant…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-22 Kenta Takatsu , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

We investigate the emergence of different effective geometries in stochastic Clifford circuits with sparse coupling. By changing the probability distribution for choosing two-site gates as a function of distance, we generate sparse…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-06-13 Tomohiro Hashizume , Sridevi Kuriyattil , Andrew J. Daley , Gregory Bentsen

We review various methods used to estimate uncertainties in quantum correlation functions, such as parton distribution functions (PDFs). Using a toy model of a PDF, we compare the uncertainty estimates yielded by the traditional Hessian and…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2022-08-17 N. T. Hunt-Smith , A. Accardi , W. Melnitchouk , N. Sato , A. W. Thomas , M. J. White

Data-driven forecasts of air quality have recently achieved more accurate short-term predictions. Despite their success, most of the current data-driven solutions lack proper quantifications of model uncertainty that communicate how much to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-07 Abdulmajid Murad , Frank Alexander Kraemer , Kerstin Bach , Gavin Taylor

We propose a new algorithm for the solution of the robust multiple-load topology optimization problem. The algorithm can be applied to any type of problem, e.g., truss topology, variable thickness sheet or free material optimization. We…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2013-07-30 Michal Kocvara

Spatial dynamic microsimulations probabilistically project geographically referenced units with individual characteristics over time. Like any projection method, their outcomes are inherently uncertain and sensitive to multiple factors.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-11-19 Morgane Dumont , Ahmed Alsaloum , Julian Ernst , Jan Weymeirsch , Ralf Münnich