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We consider compartmental models in epidemiology. For the study of the divergence of the stochastic model from its corresponding deterministic limit (i.e., the solution of an ODE) for long time horizon, a large deviations principle suggests…

概率论 · 数学 2015-01-16 Peter Kratz , Etienne Pardoux , Brice Samegni Kepgnou

Theoretical results regarding two-dimensional ordinary-differential equations (ODEs) with second-degree polynomial right-hand sides are summarized, with an emphasis on limit cycles, limit cycle bifurcations and multistability. The results…

分子网络 · 定量生物学 2017-05-30 Tomislav Plesa , Tomas Vejchodsky , Radek Erban

In this article, we construct a numerical method for a stochastic version of the Susceptible Infected Susceptible (SIS) epidemic model, expressed by a suitable stochastic differential equation (SDE), by using the semi-discrete method to a…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-07-28 Yiannis Kiouvrekis , Ioannis S. Stamatiou

In this work we propose a measure-valued stochastic process representing the dynamics of a virus population, structured by phenotypic traits and geographical space, and where viruses are transported between spatial locations by mechanical…

概率论 · 数学 2022-11-10 Mario Ayala , Jerome Coville , Raphael Forien

We introduce a framework for analyzing ordinary differential equation (ODE) models of biological networks using statistical model checking (SMC). A key aspect of our work is the modeling of single-cell variability by assigning a probability…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2018-12-05 Bing Liu , Benjamin M. Gyori , P. S. Thiagarajan

The modelling and analysis of biological systems has deep roots in Mathematics, specifically in the field of ordinary differential equations (ODEs). Alternative approaches based on formal calculi, often derived from process algebras or term…

Our study focuses on fractional order compartment models derived from underlying physical stochastic processes, providing a more physically grounded approach compared to models that use the dynamical system approach by simply replacing…

Mechanistic models with differential equations are a key component of scientific applications of machine learning. Inference in such models is usually computationally demanding, because it involves repeatedly solving the differential…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-06 Jonathan Schmidt , Nicholas Krämer , Philipp Hennig

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are a mathematical model used in many application areas such as climatology, bioinformatics, and chemical engineering with its intuitive appeal to modeling. Despite ODE's wide usage in modeling, the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-08-10 Hyunjoo Yang , Jaeyong Lee

Deterministic compartmental models are predominantly used in the modeling of infectious diseases, though stochastic models are considered more realistic, yet are complicated to estimate due to missing data. In this paper we present a novel…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-06-22 Shuying Wang , Stephen G. Walker

Petri Nets are an increasingly used modeling framework for the spread of disease across populations or within an individual. For example, the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) compartment model is foundational for population…

其他定量生物学 · 定量生物学 2025-07-02 Trevor Reckell , Bright Kwaku Manu , Beckett Sterner , Petar Jevtić , Reggie Davidrajuh

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are foundational in modeling intricate dynamics across a gamut of scientific disciplines. Yet, a possibility to represent a single phenomenon through multiple ODE models, driven by different…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-01 Itai Dattner , Shota Gugushvili , Oleksandr Laskorunskyi

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) offer powerful and accessible mathematical models for capturing both deterministic and probabilistic aspects of dynamic behavior across a wide range of physical, financial, and social systems.…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-17 Paromita Banerjee , Anirban Mondal

The recent advancements in mathematical modeling of biochemical systems have generated increased interest in sensitivity analysis methodologies. There are two primary approaches for analyzing these mathematical models: the stochastic…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-10-14 Kannon Hossain , Roger Sidje , Fahad Mostafa

This paper introduces an Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) notion for survival analysis. The ODE notion not only provides a unified modeling framework, but more importantly, also enables the development of a widely applicable, scalable,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-07 Weijing Tang , Kevin He , Gongjun Xu , Ji Zhu

Statistical models can involve implicitly defined quantities, such as solutions to nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs), that unavoidably need to be numerically approximated in order to evaluate the model. The approximation…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-09-16 Juho Timonen , Nikolas Siccha , Ben Bales , Harri Lähdesmäki , Aki Vehtari

Probabilistic ordinary differential equation (ODE) solvers have been introduced over the past decade as uncertainty-aware numerical integrators. They typically proceed by assuming a functional prior to the ODE solution, which is then…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-03-25 Yvann Le Fay , Simo Särkkä , Adrien Corenflos

Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) are widely used in physics, chemistry, and biology to model dynamic systems, including reaction kinetics, population dynamics, and biological processes. In this work, we integrate GPU-accelerated ODE…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-02 Rakshit Kr. Singh , Aaron Rock Menezes , Rida Irfan , Bharath Ramsundar

Stemming from the stochastic Lotka-Volterra or predator-prey equations, this work aims to model the spatial inhomogeneity by using stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). Compared to the classical models, the SPDE model is more…

动力系统 · 数学 2019-11-21 N. N. Nhu , G. Yin

Stochastic epidemic models can estimate infection and removal rates, and derived quantities such as the basic reproductive number ($R_0$), when both infection and removal times are observed. In practice, however, removal times are often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-24 Seth D. Temple , Jonathan Terhorst
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