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In this paper, we develop a computational approach for estimating the mean value of a quantity in the presence of uncertainty. We demonstrate that, under some mild assumptions, the upper and lower bounds of the mean value are efficiently…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-11-05 Xinjia Chen

Despite the numerous applications that may be expeditiously modelled by counting processes, stochastic filtering strategies involving Poisson-type observations still remain somewhat poorly developed. In this work, we propose a Monte Carlo…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-07-09 Mamatha Venugopal , Ram Mohan Vasu , Debasish Roy

We describe a computational framework linking Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) methods for continuum problems depending on random parameters with Equation-Free (EF) methods for performing continuum deterministic numerics by acting directly…

动力系统 · 数学 2007-05-23 Yu Zou , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

Stochastic PDE eigenvalue problems are useful models for quantifying the uncertainty in several applications from the physical sciences and engineering, e.g., structural vibration analysis, the criticality of a nuclear reactor or photonic…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-10-07 Alexander D. Gilbert , Robert Scheichl

Stochastic spectral methods have become a popular technique to quantify the uncertainties of nano-scale devices and circuits. They are much more efficient than Monte Carlo for certain design cases with a small number of random parameters.…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2016-03-22 Zheng Zhang , Tsui-Wei Weng , Luca Daniel

This paper discusses a methodology for determining a functional representation of a random process from a collection of scattered pointwise samples. The present work specifically focuses onto random quantities lying in a high dimensional…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-01-03 Lionel Mathelin

Because of their robustness, efficiency and non-intrusiveness, Monte Carlo methods are probably the most popular approach in uncertainty quantification to computing expected values of quantities of interest (QoIs). Multilevel Monte Carlo…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-04-12 Marcus J. Grote , Simon Michel , Fabio Nobile

Classifiers based on neural networks (NN) often lack a measure of uncertainty in the predicted class. We propose a method to estimate the probability mass function (PMF) of the different classes, as well as the covariance of the estimated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-28 Magnus Malmström , Isaac Skog , Daniel Axehill , Fredrik Gustafsson

We analyze the convergence of higher order Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) quadratures of solution-functionals to countably-parametric, nonlinear operator equations with distributed uncertain parameters taking values in a separable Banach space $X$…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-06-25 Josef Dick , Quoc T. Le Gia , Christoph Schwab

Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) integration of output functionals of solutions of the diffusion problem with a log-normal random coefficient is considered. The random coefficient is assumed to be given by an exponential of a Gaussian random field…

数值分析 · 数学 2017-01-24 Yoshihito Kazashi

The accessibility of spatially distributed data, enabled by affordable sensors, field, and numerical experiments, has facilitated the development of data-driven solutions for scientific problems, including climate change, weather…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-09 Vardhan Dongre , Gurpreet Singh Hora

We introduce an R package for Bayesian modeling and uncertainty quantification for problems involving count ratios. The modeling relies on the assumption that the quantity of interest is the ratio of Poisson means rather than the ratio of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Matthew LeDuc , Tomoko Matsuo

The theoretical development of quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods for uncertainty quantification of partial differential equations (PDEs) is typically centered around simplified model problems such as elliptic PDEs subject to homogeneous zero…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-03-26 Laura Bazahica , Vesa Kaarnioja , Lassi Roininen

We present a method to quantify uncertainty in the predictions made by simulations of mathematical models that can be applied to a broad class of stochastic, discrete, and differential equation models. Quantifying uncertainty is crucial for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-03-05 Kyle S. Hickmann , James M. Hyman , Sara Y. Del Valle

We study several stochastic combinatorial problems, including the expected utility maximization problem, the stochastic knapsack problem and the stochastic bin packing problem. A common technical challenge in these problems is to optimize…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2013-03-20 Jian Li , Wen Yuan

In this study, we consider the development of tailored quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) cubatures for non-conforming discontinuous Galerkin (DG) approximations of elliptic partial differential equations (PDEs) with random coefficients. We consider…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-12-12 Vesa Kaarnioja , Andreas Rupp

The problem of estimating certain distributions over $\{0,1\}^d$ is considered here. The distribution represents a quantum system of $d$ qubits, where there are non-trivial dependencies between the qubits. A maximum entropy approach is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-03-08 Ryan Bennink , Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Pavel Lougovski

Robustness analysis is very important in biology and neuroscience, to unravel behavioural patterns of systems that are conserved despite large parametric uncertainties. To make studies of probabilistic robustness more efficient and scalable…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2026-01-08 Uros Sutulovic , Daniele Proverbio , Rami Katz , Giulia Giordano

In this paper, we introduce a deterministic formulation for the geometric programming problem, wherein the coefficients are represented as independent linear-normal uncertain random variables. To address the challenges posed by this…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-05-08 Tapas Mondal , Akshay Kumar Ojha , Sabyasachi Pani

In this work we consider the Allen--Cahn equation, a prototypical model problem in nonlinear dynamics that exhibits bifurcations corresponding to variations of a deterministic bifurcation parameter. Going beyond the state-of-the-art, we…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-08-14 Christian Kuehn , Chiara Piazzola , Elisabeth Ullmann