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This work investigates whether time series of natural phenomena can be understood as being generated by sequences of latent states which are ordered in systematic and regular ways. We focus on clinical time series and ask whether clinical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-29 Michael Hagmann , Michael Staniek , Stefan Riezler

Random discrete distributions, say $F,$ known as species sampling models, represent a rich class of models for classification and clustering, in Bayesian statistics and machine learning. They also arise in various areas of probability and…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-08-21 Lanelot F. James

We consider an approximating sequence of interacting population models with branching, mutation and competition. Each individual is characterized by its trait and the traits of its ancestors. Birth- and death-events happen at exponential…

概率论 · 数学 2014-12-08 Sandra Kliem

Compartmental models are used in epidemiology to capture the evolution of infectious diseases such as COVID-19 in a population by assigning members of it to compartments with labels such as susceptible, infected, and recovered. In a…

形式语言与自动机理论 · 计算机科学 2024-02-15 Tim Leys , Guillermo A. Perez

We consider the sequential sampling of species, where observed samples are classified into the species they belong to. We are particularly interested in studying some quantities describing the sampling process when there is a new species…

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-01 Servet Martínez , Javier Santibáñez

We consider a population constituted by two types of individuals; each of them can produce offspring in two different islands (as a particular case the islands can be interpreted as active or dormant individuals). We model the evolution of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-04-01 María Emilia Caballero , Adrián González Casanova , José Luis Pérez

Continuous-time birth-death-shift (BDS) processes are frequently used in stochastic modeling, with many applications in ecology and epidemiology. In particular, such processes can model evolutionary dynamics of transposable elements -…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-02 Jason Xu , Peter Guttorp , Midori Kato-Maeda , Vladimir N. Minin

We consider records and sequences of records drawn from discrete time series of the form $X_{n}=Y_{n}+cn$, where the $Y_{n}$ are independent and identically distributed random variables and $c$ is a constant drift. For very small and very…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-19 Jasper Franke , Gregor Wergen , Joachim Krug

We develop a continuous mathematical model of population dynamics that describes the sequential emergence of new genotypes under limited resources. The framework models genotype density as a nonlinear flow in mutation space, combining…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-12-10 Alexander Bratus , Tatiana Yakushkina , Vladimir Posvyanski

Count time series are widely encountered in practice. As with continuous valued data, many count series have seasonal properties. This paper uses a recent advance in stationary count time series to develop a general seasonal count time…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-23 Jiajie Kong , Robert Lund

The problem of joint sequential detection and isolation is considered in the context of multiple, not necessarily independent, data streams. A multiple testing framework is proposed, where each hypothesis corresponds to a different subset…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-04 Anamitra Chaudhuri , Georgios Fellouris

Cancer progression is an evolutionary process that is driven by mutation and selection in a population of tumor cells. We discuss mathematical models of cancer progression, starting from traditional multistage theory. Each stage is…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2011-08-31 Moritz Gerstung , Niko Beerenwinkel

A fundamental aspect of biological information processing is the ubiquity of sequence-function relationships -- functions that map the sequence of DNA, RNA, or protein to a biochemically relevant activity. Most sequence-function…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2016-03-23 Gurinder S. Atwal , Justin B. Kinney

We extend our BDI (birth-death-immigration) process based stochastic model of an infectious disease to time-nonhomogeneous cases. First, we discuss the deterministic model, and derive the expected value of the infection process. Then as an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-25 Hisashi Kobayashi

We study an epidemic model for a constant population by taking into account four compartments of the individuals characterizing their states of health. Each individual is in one of the compartments susceptible (S); incubated - infected yet…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-04-20 Teo Granger , Thomas M. Michelitsch , Michael Bestehorn , Alejandro P. Riascos , Bernard A. Collet

We study a discrete time multitype branching random walk on a finite space with finite set of types. Particles follow a Markov chain on the spatial space whereas offspring distributions are given by a random field that is fixed throughout…

概率论 · 数学 2013-10-30 Onur Gün , Wolfgang König , Ozren Sekulović

To study population dynamics, ecologists and wildlife biologists use relative abundance data, which are often subject to temporal preferential sampling. Temporal preferential sampling occurs when sampling effort varies across time. To…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-14 Michael R. Schwob , Mevin B. Hooten , Travis McDevitt-Galles

We consider inhomogeneous branching diffusions on an infinite domain of $\mathbb{R}^d$. The first aim of this article is to derive a general criterium under which the size process (number of particles) and the genealogy of the particle…

概率论 · 数学 2024-02-08 Félix Foutel-Rodier , Emmanuel Schertzer , Julie Tourniaire

We consider a broad class of continuous-time two-type population size-dependent Markov Branching Processes. The offspring distribution can depend on the current (alive) and total (dead and alive) populations. Using stochastic approximation…

概率论 · 数学 2023-04-04 Khushboo Agarwal , Veeraruna Kavitha

In this paper we study a class of stochastic individual-based models that describe the evolution of haploid populations where each individual is characterised by a phenotype and a genotype. The phenotype of an individual determines its…

概率论 · 数学 2017-08-07 Martina Baar , Anton Bovier