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Epidemic modeling is an essential tool to understand the spread of the novel coronavirus and ultimately assist in disease prevention, policymaking, and resource allocation. In this article, we establish a state of the art interface between…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-12-17 Li Wang , Guannan Wang , Lei Gao , Xinyi Li , Shan Yu , Myungjin Kim , Yueying Wang , Zhiling Gu

Here we propose and implement a generalized mathematical model to find the time evolution of population in infectious diseases and apply the model to study the recent COVID-19 pandemic. Our model at the core is a non-local generalization of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-05-01 Saumyak Mukherjee , Sayantan Mondal , Biman Bagchi

In this work we propose a novel space-dependent multiscale model for the spread of infectious diseases in a two-dimensional spatial context on realistic geographical scenarios. The model couples a system of kinetic transport equations…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-12-21 Walter Boscheri , Giacomo Dimarco , Lorenzo Pareschi

Crowd models can be used for the simulation of people movement in the built environment. Crowd model outputs have been used for evaluating safety and comfort of pedestrians, inform crowd management and perform forensic investigations.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-05-21 Enrico Ronchi , Ruggiero Lovreglio

Infectious diseases are a threat for human health with tremendous impact on our society at large. The recent COVID-19 pandemic, caused by the SARS-CoV-2, is the latest example of a highly infectious disease ravaging the world, since late…

Mathematical modeling of epidemic spreading has been widely adopted to estimate the threats of epidemic diseases (i.e., the COVID-19 pandemic) as well as to evaluate epidemic control interventions. The indoor place is considered to be a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-09-14 Yao Xiao , Mofeng Yang , Zheng Zhu , Hai Yang , Lei Zhang , Sepehr Ghader

Epidemiology models play a key role in understanding and responding to the COVID-19 pandemic. In order to build those models, scientists need to understand contributing factors and their relative importance. A large strand of literature has…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2021-04-01 Axel Oehmichen , Florian Guitton , Cedric Wahl , Bertrand Foing , Damian Tziamtzis , Yike Guo

Airborne pathogen transmission mechanisms play a key role in the spread of infectious diseases such as COVID-19. In this work, we propose a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) approach to model and statistically characterize airborne…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2023-11-07 Fatih Gulec , Falko Dressler , Andrew W. Eckford

The emergence and spread of deadly pandemics has repeatedly occurred throughout history, causing widespread infections and loss of life. The rapid spread of pandemics have made governments across the world adopt a range of actions,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-01-15 Marianna Karapitta , Andreas Kasis , Charithea Stylianides , Kleanthis Malialis , Panayiotis Kolios

Partial differential equation (PDE) models for infectious diseases, while less common than their ordinary differential equation (ODE) counterparts, have found successful applications for many years. Such models are typically of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-01-27 Alex Viguerie , Malú Grave , Alvaro L. G. A. Coutinho , Alessandro Veneziani , Thomas J. R. Hughes

A deterministic pathogen transmission model based on high-fidelity physics has been developed. The model combines computational fluid dynamics and computational crowd dynamics in order to be able to provide accurate tracing of viral matter…

The Covid-19 pandemic has taken millions of lives, demonstrating the tragedy and disruption of respiratory diseases, and how difficult they can be to manage. However, there is still significant debate in the scientific community as to which…

Infectious diseases outbreaks are often characterized by a spatial component induced by hosts' distribution, mobility, and interactions. Spatial models that incorporate hosts' movements are being used to describe these processes, to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-07-20 Chiara Poletto , Michele Tizzoni , Vittoria Colizza

We propose a multi-scale lung model to investigate spatio-temporal distributions of ventilation variables. Lung envelope and large airway geometries are derived from CT scans; smaller airways are generated using a physiologically consistent…

组织与器官 · 定量生物学 2026-03-31 Jonathan Stéphano , Michaël Brunengo , Riccardo Di Dio , Thomas Laporte , Benjamin Mauroy

High-resolution large-eddy simulation (LES) is exploited to study indoor air turbulence and its effect on the dispersion of respiratory virus-laden aerosols and subsequent transmission risks. The methodology is applied to assess two…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2022-02-02 Mikko Auvinen , Joel Kuula , Tiia Grönholm , Matthias Sühring , Antti Hellsten

During the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, mathematical models of epidemic spreading have emerged as powerful tools to produce valuable predictions of the evolution of the pandemic, helping public health authorities decide which intervention…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-11-18 Lorenzo Zino , Ming Cao

Over the past two decades there has been a number of global outbreaks of viral diseases. This has accelerated the efforts to model and forecast the disease spreading, in order to find ways to confine the spreading regionally and between…

The global public health landscape is perpetually challenged by the looming threat of infectious diseases. Central to addressing this concern is the imperative to prevent and manage disease transmission during pandemics, particularly in…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-04-19 Xue Liu , Yue Deng , Jingying Huang , Yuhong Zhang , Jinzhi Lei

Motivated by analogies between the spreading of human-to-human infections and of chemical processes, we develop a comprehensive model that accounts both for infection and for transport. In this analogy, the three different populations of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-12-08 Harisankar Ramaswamy , Assad A Oberai , Yannis C Yortsos

Among the realistic ingredients to be considered in the computational modeling of infectious diseases, human mobility represents a crucial challenge both on the theoretical side and in view of the limited availability of empirical data. In…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2010-02-04 Duygu Balcan , Vittoria Colizza , Bruno Goncalves , Hao Hu , Jose J. Ramasco , Alessandro Vespignani