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In this paper we conduct a simulation study of the spread of an epidemic like COVID-19 with temporary immunity on finite spatial and non-spatial network models. In particular, we assume that an epidemic spreads stochastically on a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-12-16 Tim Hulshof , Joost Jorritsma , Júlia Komjáthy

Epidemic spreading on complex networks depends on the topological structure as well as on the dynamical properties of the infection itself. Generally speaking, highly connected individuals play the role of hubs and are crucial to channel…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-04-05 Eleonora Alfinito , Matteo Beccaria , Alberto Fachechi , Guido Macorini

Vaccination and outbreak monitoring are essential tools for preventing and minimizing outbreaks of infectious diseases. Targeted strategies, where the individuals most important for monitoring or preventing outbreaks are selected for…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-03-04 Enys Mones , Arkadiusz Stopczynski , Alex Pentland , Nathaniel Hupert , Sune Lehmann

We develop a model of infection spread that takes into account the existence of a vulnerable group as well as the variability of the social relations of individuals. We develop a compartmentalized power-law model, with power-law connections…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-10-13 Simone Santini

The topic of finding effective strategy to halt virus in complex network is of current interest. We propose an immunization strategy for seasonal epidemics that occur periodically. Based on the local information of the infection status from…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-06-22 Shu Yan , Shaoting Tang , Sen Pei , Shijin Jiang , Zhiming Zheng

Physical contacts do not occur randomly, rather, individuals with similar socio-demographic and behavioural characteristics are more likely to interact among them, a phenomenon known as homophily. Concurrently, the same characteristics…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-12-16 Giulio Burgio , Benjamin Steinegger , Alex Arenas

To better predict the dynamics of epidemics such as COVID-19, it is important not only to investigate the network of local and long-range contagious contacts but also to understand the temporal dynamics of infectiousness and detectable…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-09-03 Miguel A. Cajahuanca Ricaldi , Yaroslav Ispolatov

We investigate the effects of modular and temporal connectivity patterns on epidemic spreading. To this end, we introduce and analytically characterise a model of time-varying networks with tunable modularity. Within this framework, we…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-10-05 Matthieu Nadini , Kaiyuan Sun , Enrico Ubaldi , Michele Starnini , Alessandro Rizzo , Nicola Perra

We analyze an epidemic model on a network consisting of susceptible-infected-recovered equations at the nodes coupled by diffusion using a graph Laplacian. We introduce an epidemic criterion and examine different vaccination/containment…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-09-25 F. Bustamante-Castaneda , J. -G. Caputo , G. Cruz-Pacheco , A. Knippel , F. Mouatamide

Epidemics generally spread through a succession of waves that reflect factors on multiple timescales. On short timescales, super-spreading events lead to burstiness and overdispersion, while long-term persistent heterogeneity in…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-05-04 Alexei V. Tkachenko , Sergei Maslov , Ahmed Elbanna , George N. Wong , Zachary J. Weiner , Nigel Goldenfeld

We consider the problem of controlling the propagation of an epidemic outbreak in an arbitrary contact network by distributing vaccination resources throughout the network. We analyze a networked version of the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2013-03-19 Victor M. Preciado , Michael Zargham , Chinwendu Enyioha , Ali Jadbabaie , George Pappas

Network-based interventions against epidemic spread are most powerful when the full network structure is known. However, in practice, resource constraints require decisions to be made based on partial network information. We investigated…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-03-19 Yingrui Yang , Ashley McKhann , Sixing Chen , Guy Harling , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

The COVID-19 pandemic has witnessed the role of online social networks (OSNs) in the spread of infectious diseases. The rise in severity of the epidemic augments the need for proper guidelines, but also promotes the propagation of fake…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-06-11 Madhu Dhiman , Chen Peng , Veeraruna Kavitha , Quanyan Zhu

This study presents a seasonally forced cholera model that incorporates imperfect vaccination as a control strategy. The model captures the temporal dynamics of susceptible, vaccinated, infected, and recovered individuals, as well as the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-07-15 Eric Herrison Gyamfi

Compartmental models of epidemics are widely used to forecast the effects of communicable diseases such as COVID-19 and to guide policy. Although it has long been known that such processes take place on social networks, the assumption of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-03-14 Samuel Johnson

We introduce a 2-layer network model for the study of the immunization dynamics in epidemics. Spreading of an epidemic is modeled as an excitatory process in a small-world network (body layer) while immunization by prevention for the…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Hang-Hyun Jo , Hie-Tae Moon , Seung Ki Baek

Network--based epidemic models that account for heterogeneous contact patterns are extensively used to predict and control the diffusion of infectious diseases. We use census and survey data to reconstruct a geo--referenced and…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Alessandro Celestini , Francesca Colaiori , Stefano Guarino , Enrico Mastrostefano , Lena Rebecca Zastrow

The problem of targeted network immunization can be defined as the one of finding a subset of nodes in a network to immunize or vaccinate in order to minimize a tradeoff between the cost of vaccination and the final (stationary) expected…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-07-10 F. Altarelli , A. Braunstein , L. Dall'Asta , J. R. Wakeling , R. Zecchina

We review and introduce a generalized reaction-diffusion approach to epidemic spreading in a metapopulation modeled as a complex network. The metapopulation consists of susceptible and infected individuals that are grouped in subpopulations…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-12 Halvor Lund , Ludvig Lizana , Ingve Simonsen

We study how the herd immunity threshold and the expected epidemic size depend on homophily with respect to vaccine adoption. We find that the presence of homophily considerably increases the critical vaccine coverage needed for herd…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-09-03 Takayuki Hiraoka , Abbas K. Rizi , Mikko Kivelä , Jari Saramäki