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The vast majority of strategies aimed at controlling contagion processes on networks considers the connectivity pattern of the system as either quenched or annealed. However, in the real world many networks are highly dynamical and evolve…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-17 Suyu Liu , Nicola Perra , Marton Karsai , Alessandro Vespignani

The spread of infectious disease is strongly influenced by social dynamics. In addition to infection risk, individuals vaccination decisions depend on prevailing social behavior: high infection levels and widespread vaccination can increase…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-04-17 Xinxuan Wang , Youngmin Park , Bryce Morsky

The contact structure of a population plays an important role in transmission of infection. Many ``structured models'' capture aspects of the contact structure through an underlying network or a mixing matrix. An important observation in…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-07-15 Francesco Di Lauro , Luc Berthouze , Matthew D. Dorey , Joel C. Miller , István Z. Kiss

Vaccination campaigns have saved thousands of lives, reaching the farthest places in the world. These campaigns have required substantial investments and accurate coordination between several actors within the vaccine supply chain. Despite…

In this study, we explore the dynamic interplay between the timing of vaccination campaigns and the trajectory of disease spread in a population. Through comprehensive data analysis and modeling, we have uncovered a counter-intuitive…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-12-06 Piergiorgio Castioni , Sergio Gòmez , Clara Granell , Alex Arenas

Global strategies to contain a pandemic, such as social distancing and protective measures, are designed to reduce the overall transmission rate between individuals. Despite such measures, essential institutions, including hospitals,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-09-07 Roberto Morán-Tovar , Henning Gruell , Florian Klein , Michael Lässig

We investigate how homophily in adherence to anti-epidemic measures affects the final size of epidemics in social networks. Using a modified SIR model, we divide agents into two behavioral groups-compliant and non-compliant-and introduce…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-07-21 Piotr Bentkowski , Tomasz Gubiec

Understanding how misinformation affects the spread of disease is crucial for public health, especially given recent research indicating that misinformation can increase vaccine hesitancy and discourage vaccine uptake. However, it is…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2026-02-09 Matthew R. DeVerna , Francesco Pierri , Yong-Yeol Ahn , Santo Fortunato , Alessandro Flammini , Filippo Menczer

Understanding how epidemics spread in a system is a crucial step to prevent and control outbreaks, with broad implications on the system's functioning, health, and associated costs. This can be achieved by identifying the elements at higher…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-03-16 Eugenio Valdano , Chiara Poletto , Armando Giovannini , Diana Palma , Lara Savini , Vittoria Colizza

Optimal strategies for epidemic containment are focused on dismantling the contact network through effective immunization with minimal costs. However, network fragmentation is seldom accessible in practice and may present extreme side…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-02-26 Guilherme S. Costa , Silvio C. Ferreira

In this work, we study an epidemic model with vaccination coupled with opinion dynamics in a dynamic network. The network structure evolves as agents with differing opinions disconnect from one another and connect with agents that share…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-01-04 Andre Oestereich , Marcelo Pires , Nuno Crokidakis , Daniel Cajueiro

Understanding dynamics of an infectious disease helps in designing appropriate strategies for containing its spread in a population. Recent mathematical models are aimed at studying dynamics of some specific types of infectious diseases. In…

动力系统 · 数学 2015-02-05 P. Raja Sekhara Rao , M. Naresh Kumar

When an infectious disease propagates throughout society, the incidence function may rise at first due to an increase in pathogenicity and then decrease due to inhibitory effects until it reaches saturation. Effective vaccination and…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-07-11 Sushil Pathak , G. Shirisha , K. Venkata Ratnam

In this work, we address a multicoupled dynamics on complex networks with tunable structural segregation. Specifically, we work on a networked epidemic spreading under a vaccination campaign with agents in favor and against the vaccine. Our…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-09-15 Marcelo A. Pires , Andre L. Oestereich , Nuno Crokidakis , Sílvio M. Duarte Queirós

Modeling human behavior is essential to accurately predict epidemic spread, with behaviors like vaccine hesitancy complicating control efforts. While epidemic spread is often treated as a simple contagion, vaccine uptake may follow complex…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-12-17 Alfonso de Miguel-Arribas , Alberto Aleta , Yamir Moreno

Epidemic spreading can be suppressed by the introduction of containment measures such as social distancing and lock downs. Yet, when such measures are relaxed, new epidemic waves and infection cycles may occur. Here we explore this issue in…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-12-07 Fabio Caccioli , Daniele De Martino

Understanding the interplay between human behavioral phenomena and infectious disease dynamics has been one of the central challenges of mathematical epidemiology. However, socio-cognitive processes critical for the initiation of desired…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-01-01 Qingchu Wu , Tarik Hadzibeganovic , Xiao-Pu Han

We generalize the Susceptible-Infected-Removed model for epidemics to take into account generic effects of heterogeneity in the degree of susceptibility to infection in the population. We introduce a single new parameter corresponding to a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-01-27 Jonas Neipel , Jonathan Bauermann , Stefano Bo , Tyler Harmon , Frank Jülicher

A new age-distributed immuno-epidemiological model with information-based vaccine uptake suggested in this work represents a system of integro-differential equations for the numbers of susceptible individuals, infected individuals,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-04-02 Samiran Ghosh , Malay Banerjee , Vitaly Volpert

The potential waning of the vaccination immunity to COVID-19 could pose threats to public health, as it is tenable that the timing of such waning would synchronize with the near-complete restoration of normalcy. Should also testing be…