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Model averaging is a useful and robust method for dealing with model uncertainty in statistical analysis. Often, it is useful to consider data subset selection at the same time, in which model selection criteria are used to compare models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-26 Ethan T. Neil , Jacob W. Sitison

This paper compares three approaches to the problem of selecting among probability models to fit data (1) use of statistical criteria such as Akaike's information criterion and Schwarz's "Bayesian information criterion," (2) maximization of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-04 William B. Poland , Ross D. Shachter

In model selection literature, two classes of criteria perform well asymptotically in different situations: Bayesian information criterion (BIC) (as a representative) is consistent in selection when the true model is finite dimensional…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-02-03 Wei Liu , Yuhong Yang

Robust model-fitting to spectroscopic transitions is a requirement across many fields of science. The corrected Akaike and Bayesian information criteria (AICc and BIC) are most frequently used to select the optimal number of fitting…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2020-11-25 John K. Webb , Chung-Chi Lee , Robert F. Carswell , Dinko Milaković

For predictive evaluation based on quasi-posterior distributions, we develop a new information criterion, the posterior covariance information criterion (PCIC. PCIC generalises the widely applicable information criterion WAIC so as to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-26 Yukito Iba , Keisuke Yano

Non-concave penalized maximum likelihood methods, such as the Bridge, the SCAD, and the MCP, are widely used because they not only do parameter estimation and variable selection simultaneously but also have a high efficiency as compared to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-31 Yuta Umezu , Yusuke Shimizu , Hiroki Masuda , Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

Information criteria such as Akaike's (AIC) and Bayes' (BIC) are widely used for model selection in physics and beyond, quantifying the tradeoff between model complexity and goodness-of-fit to enforce parsimony. However, their derivation…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-11-20 Kumar Utkarsh , Daniel M. Abrams

A bias correction to Akaike's information criterion (AIC) is derived for seemingly unrelated regressions models. The correction is of particular use when the sample size is not much larger than the number of fitted parameters. A…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-06-05 J. L. van Velsen

The Akaike information criterion (AIC) has been used as a statistical criterion to compare the appropriateness of different dark energy candidate models underlying a particular data set. Under suitable conditions, the AIC is an indirect…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-28 Ming Yang Jeremy Tan , Rahul Biswas

AIC is commonly used for model selection but the precise value of AIC has no direct interpretation. We are interested in quantifying a difference of risks between two models. This may be useful for both an explanatory point of view or for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-07-28 D. Commenges , A. Sayyareh , L. Letenneur , J. Guedj , A. Bar-Hen

There are three principle paradigms of statistical inference: (i) Bayesian, (ii) information-based and (iii) frequentist inference. We describe an objective prior (the weighting or $w$-prior) which unifies objective Bayes and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-06-26 Colin H. LaMont , Paul A. Wiggins

Akaike's Bayesian information criterion (ABIC) has been widely used in geophysical inversion and beyond. However, little has been done to investigate its statistical aspects. We present an alternative derivation of the marginal distribution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-10 Peiliang Xu

Model selection in linear regression models is a major challenge when dealing with high-dimensional data where the number of available measurements (sample size) is much smaller than the dimension of the parameter space. Traditional methods…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-07-05 Prakash B. Gohain , Magnus Jansson

Performing model selection between Gibbs random fields is a very challenging task. Indeed, due to the Markovian dependence structure, the normalizing constant of the fields cannot be computed using standard analytical or numerical methods.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-09-04 Julien Stoehr , Jean-Michel Marin , Pierre Pudlo

The widely applicable Bayesian information criterion (WBIC) is a simple and fast approximation to the model evidence that has received little practical consideration. WBIC uses the fact that the log evidence can be written as an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-29 N. Friel , J. P. McKeone , C. J. Oates , A. N. Pettitt

The Akaike information criterion (AIC) is a model selection criterion widely used in practical applications. The AIC is an estimator of the log-likelihood expected value, and measures the discrepancy between the true model and the estimated…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-02-03 Fábio M. Bayer , Francisco Cribari-Neto

The semiparametric estimation approach, which includes inverse-probability-weighted and doubly robust estimation using propensity scores, is a standard tool in causal inference, and it is rapidly being extended in various directions. On the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-29 Takamichi Baba , Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

In this article, we develop a modern perspective on Akaike's Information Criterion and Mallows' Cp for model selection. Despite the diff erences in their respective motivation, they are equivalent in the special case of Gaussian linear…

We develop an algorithm for model selection which allows for the consideration of a combinatorially large number of candidate models governing a dynamical system. The innovation circumvents a disadvantage of standard model selection which…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2017-11-01 Niall M. Mangan , J. Nathan Kutz , Steven L. Brunton , Joshua L. Proctor

Methods for combining predictions from different models in a supervised learning setting must somehow estimate/predict the quality of a model's predictions at unknown future inputs. Many of these methods (often implicitly) make the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-06-25 Thijs van Ommen