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The average treatment effect (ATE) is popularly used to assess the treatment effect. However, the ATE implicitly assumes a homogenous treatment effect even amongst individuals with different characteristics. In this paper, we mainly focus…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-03-10 Yunjian Yin , Lan Liu , Zhi Geng

Robust decision making involves making decisions in the presence of uncertainty and is often used in critical domains such as healthcare, supply chains, and finance. Causality plays a crucial role in decision-making as it predicts the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-23 Saideep Nannapaneni , Joseph Sakaya , Kyle Caron , Pedro HM Albuquerque , Zaid Tashman

Why does a phenomenon occur? Addressing this question is central to most scientific inquiries and often relies on simulations of scientific models. As models become more intricate, deciphering the causes behind phenomena in high-dimensional…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-04 Armin Kekić , Bernhard Schölkopf , Michel Besserve

Accurately estimating heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE) in longitudinal settings is essential for personalized decision-making across healthcare, public policy, education, and digital marketing. However, time-varying interventions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-28 Lei Shi , Sizhu Lu , Qiuran Lyu , Peng Ding , Nikos Vlassis

The credibility revolution advances the use of research designs that permit identification and estimation of causal effects. However, understanding which mechanisms produce measured causal effects remains a challenge. The dominant current…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-08 Jiawei Fu , Tara Slough

Large Language Models (LLMs) are emerging as versatile foundation models for computational chemistry, handling bidirectional tasks like reaction prediction and retrosynthesis. However, these models often lack round-trip consistency. For…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-03 Lecheng Kong , Xiyuan Wang , Yixin Chen , Muhan Zhang

Managing physiological variables within clinically safe target zones is a central challenge in healthcare, particularly for chronic conditions such as Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus (T1DM). Reinforcement learning (RL) offers promise for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-07 David H. Mguni , Jing Dong , Wanrong Yang , Ziquan Liu , Muhammad Salman Haleem , Baoxiang Wang

The use of information from real world to assess the effectiveness of medical products is becoming increasingly popular and more acceptable by regulatory agencies. According to a strategic real-world evidence framework published by U.S.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-22 Jianghao Li , Yu Du , Huayu Liu , Yanyao Yi

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects with machine learning has attracted substantial attention in both academic research and industrial practice. However, the two communities often evaluate models under markedly different conditions.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 George Panagopoulos

Learning heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) is an important problem across many fields. Most existing methods consider the setting with a single treatment arm and a single outcome metric. However, in many real world domains, experiments…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-13 Leon Yao , Caroline Lo , Israel Nir , Sarah Tan , Ariel Evnine , Adam Lerer , Alex Peysakhovich

Cancer patients may undergo lengthy and painful chemotherapy treatments, comprising several successive regimens or plans. Treatment inefficacy and other adverse events can lead to discontinuation (or failure) of these plans, or prematurely…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2025-12-15 Muhammad Usamah Shahid , Muddassar Farooq

The distribution of treatment effects (DTE) is often of interest in the context of welfare policy evaluation. In this paper, I consider partial identification of the DTE under known marginal distributions and support restrictions on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-23 Ju Hyun Kim

Longitudinal targeted maximum likelihood estimation (LTMLE) has very rarely been used to estimate dynamic treatment effects in the context of time-dependent confounding affected by prior treatment when faced with long follow-up times,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-05 Michael Schomaker , Miguel Angel Luque-Fernandez , Valeriane Leroy , Mary-Ann Davies

Estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects is an essential component of precision medicine. Model and algorithm-based methods have been developed within the causal inference framework to achieve valid estimation and inference. Existing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-10 Ruohong Li , Honglang Wang , Wanzhu Tu

In causal inference, estimating heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE) is critical for identifying how different subgroups respond to interventions, with broad applications in fields such as precision medicine and personalized advertising.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-02 Jiehui Zhou , Linxiao Yang , Xingyu Liu , Xinyue Gu , Liang Sun , Wei Chen

The deployment of reinforcement learning (RL) in the real world comes with challenges in calibrating user trust and expectations. As a step toward developing RL systems that are able to communicate their competencies, we present a method of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-19 Aastha Acharya , Rebecca Russell , Nisar R. Ahmed

A targeted learning (TL) framework is developed to estimate the difference in the restricted mean survival time (RMST) for a clinical trial with time-to-event outcomes. The approach starts by defining the target estimand as the RMST…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Man Jin , Yixin Fang

An important aspect of precision medicine focuses on characterizing diverse responses to treatment due to unique patient characteristics, also known as heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE), and identifying beneficial subgroups with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-03 Na Bo , Jong-Hyeon Jeong , Erick Forno , Ying Ding

Practical and ethical constraints often require the use of observational data for causal inference, particularly in medicine and social sciences. Yet, observational datasets are prone to confounding, potentially compromising the validity of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-04 Piersilvio De Bartolomeis , Julia Kostin , Javier Abad , Yixin Wang , Fanny Yang

Dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) are used in medicine to tailor sequential treatment decisions to patients by considering patient heterogeneity. Common methods for learning optimal DTRs, however, have shortcomings: they are typically based…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-21 Theresa Blümlein , Joel Persson , Stefan Feuerriegel