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相关论文: Optimal Recovery for Causal Inference

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This dissertation focuses on modern causal inference under uncertainty and data restrictions, with applications to neoadjuvant clinical trials, distributed data networks, and robust individualized decision making. In the first project, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-24 Xiaoqing Tan

The problems of optimal recovery of unbounded operators are studied. Optimality means the highest possible accuracy and the minimal amount of discrete information involved. It is established that the truncation method, when certain…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-05-13 Oleg Davydov , Sergei Solodky

Causal structure learning is a key problem in many domains. Causal structures can be learnt by performing experiments on the system of interest. We address the largely unexplored problem of designing a batch of experiments that each…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-25 Scott Sussex , Andreas Krause , Caroline Uhler

In this paper we continue to develop the following general approach. We study asymptotic behavior of the errors of sampling recovery not for an individual smoothness class, how it is usually done, but for the collection of classes, which…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-01-14 V. Temlyakov

Designing effective score functions in Conformal Prediction (CP) for time-series data remains challenging due to conservativeness and/or computational inefficiency. We propose Optimal Selection Conformal Prediction (OSCP), which…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-05-05 Boyu Pang , Kostas Margellos

Implicit Neural Representations (INRs) have emerged as a transformative paradigm in signal processing and computer vision, excelling in tasks from image reconstruction to 3D shape modeling. Yet their effectiveness is fundamentally limited…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-30 Sipeng Chen , Yan Zhang , Shibo Li

Traditional statistical inference in cluster randomized trials typically invokes the asymptotic theory that requires the number of clusters to approach infinity. In this article, we propose an alternative conformal causal inference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-03 Bingkai Wang , Fan Li , Mengxin Yu

The Reduced Basis (RB) method is a well established method for the model order reduction of problems formulated as parametrized partial differential equations. One crucial requirement for the application of RB schemes is the availability of…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-11-25 Andreas Buhr , Christian Engwer , Mario Ohlberger , Stephan Rave

We present a data-driven optimal control framework that can be viewed as a generalization of the path integral (PI) control approach. We find iterative feedback control laws without parameterization based on probabilistic representation of…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-02-02 Yunpeng Pan , Evangelos A. Theodorou , Michail Kontitsis

Causal inference from observational data is an ambitious but highly relevant task, with diverse applications ranging from natural to social sciences. Within the scope of nonparametric time series, causal inference defined through…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-22 Shu Li , Jan Ernest , Peter Bühlmann

We propose a new probabilistic method for unsupervised recovery of corrupted data. Given a large ensemble of degraded samples, our method recovers accurate posteriors of clean values, allowing the exploration of the manifold of possible…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-01 Francesco Tonolini , Pablo G. Moreno , Andreas Damianou , Roderick Murray-Smith

Artificial intelligence models and methods commonly lack causal interpretability. Despite the advancements in interpretable machine learning (IML) methods, they frequently assign importance to features which lack causal influence on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-29 Francisco Nunes Ferreira Quialheiro Simoes , Mehdi Dastani , Thijs van Ommen

Objective: Finding events of interest is a common task in biomedical signal processing. The detection of epileptic seizures and signal artefacts are two key examples. Epoch-based classification is the typical machine learning framework to…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-07-10 Nick Seeuws , Maarten De Vos , Alexander Bertrand

Intelligent agents can cope with sensory-rich environments by learning task-agnostic state abstractions. In this paper, we propose an algorithm to approximate causal states, which are the coarsest partition of the joint history of actions…

Estimating personalized treatment effects from high-dimensional observational data is essential in situations where experimental designs are infeasible, unethical, or expensive. Existing approaches rely on fitting deep models on outcomes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-02 Andrew Jesson , Panagiotis Tigas , Joost van Amersfoort , Andreas Kirsch , Uri Shalit , Yarin Gal

We propose a new optimization framework for aleatoric uncertainty estimation in regression problems. Existing methods can quantify the error in the target estimation, but they tend to underestimate it. To obtain the predictive uncertainty…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-03-12 Takumi Kawashima , Qing Yu , Akari Asai , Daiki Ikami , Kiyoharu Aizawa

Estimating causal effects from large experimental and observational data has become increasingly prevalent in both industry and research. The bootstrap is an intuitive and powerful technique used to construct standard errors and confidence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-07 Matthew Kosko , Lin Wang , Michele Santacatterina

A general, variational approach to derive low-order reduced systems is presented. The approach is based on the concept of optimal parameterizing manifold (OPM) that substitutes the more classical notions of invariant or slow manifold when…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-09-18 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Honghu Liu , James C. McWilliams

Causal Bayesian Optimization (CBO) is a methodology designed to optimize an outcome variable by leveraging known causal relationships through targeted interventions. Traditional CBO methods require a fully and accurately specified causal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-26 Jean Durand , Yashas Annadani , Stefan Bauer , Sonali Parbhoo

This work focuses on developing methods for approximating the solution operators of a class of parametric partial differential equations via neural operators. Neural operators have several challenges, including the issue of generating…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-11-17 Prashant K. Jha