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Approximations are commonly employed in realistic applications of scientific Bayesian inference, often due to convenience if not necessity. In the field of gravitational-wave (GW) data analysis, fast-to-evaluate but approximate waveform…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2024-04-03 Ruiting Mao , Jeong Eun Lee , Ollie Burke , Alvin J. K. Chua , Matthew C. Edwards , Renate Meyer

For linear inverse problems with a large number of unknown parameters, uncertainty quantification remains a challenging task. In this work, we use Krylov subspace methods to approximate the posterior covariance matrix and describe efficient…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-05-22 Arvind K. Saibaba , Julianne Chung , Katrina Petroske

This study aims to investigate the utilization of Bayesian techniques for the calibration of micro-electro-mechanical systems (MEMS) accelerometers. These devices have garnered substantial interest in various practical applications and…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-06-13 Oliver Dürr , Po-Yu Fan , Zong-Xian Yin

Generalized linear models (GLMs) are popular for data-analysis in almost all quantitative sciences, but the choice of likelihood family and link function is often difficult. This motivates the search for likelihoods and links that minimize…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-19 Maximilian Scholz , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Classical Krylov subspace projection methods for the solution of linear problem $Ax = b$ output an approximate solution $\widetilde{x}\simeq x$. Recently, it has been recognized that projection methods can be understood from a statistical…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-02-09 Vladimir Fanaskov

An efficient algorithm is proposed for Bayesian model calibration, which is commonly used to estimate the model parameters of non-linear, computationally expensive models using measurement data. The approach is based on Bayesian statistics:…

The implementation of computational sensing strategies often faces calibration problems typically solved by means of multiple, accurately chosen training signals, an approach that can be resource-consuming and cumbersome. Conversely, blind…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2017-02-17 Valerio Cambareri , Laurent Jacques

A probability forecast or probabilistic classifier is reliable or calibrated if the predicted probabilities are matched by ex post observed frequencies, as examined visually in reliability diagrams. The classical binning and counting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-26 Timo Dimitriadis , Tilmann Gneiting , Alexander I. Jordan

Model misspecification is a long-standing enigma of the Bayesian inference framework as posteriors tend to get overly concentrated on ill-informed parameter values towards the large sample limit. Tempering of the likelihood has been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-12-13 Owen Thomas , Jukka Corander

Bayesian optimization (BO) selects evaluation points for expensive black-box objectives using Gaussian process (GP) predictive distributions. Kernel choice and hyperparameter selection can lead to miscalibrated predictive distributions and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Aurélien Pion , Emmanuel Vazquez

While Contrastive Learning (CL) has revolutionized self-supervised representation learning, its latent representations remain highly entangled and opaque, limiting their interpretability in safety-critical applications. We identify that a…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-28 Peng Cui , Jiahao Zhang , Lijie Hu

In view of contemporary panoramic camera-laser scanner system, the traditional calibration method is not suitable for panoramic cameras whose imaging model is extremely nonlinear. The method based on statistical optimization has the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2017-09-14 Mingwei Cao , Ming Yang , Chunxiang Wang , Yeqiang Qian , Bing Wang

Discrimination and calibration represent two important properties of survival analysis, with the former assessing the model's ability to accurately rank subjects and the latter evaluating the alignment of predicted outcomes with actual…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Shi-ang Qi , Yakun Yu , Russell Greiner

This paper studies the solution of nonsymmetric linear systems by preconditioned Krylov methods based on the normal equations, LSQR in particular. On some examples, preconditioned LSQR is seen to produce errors many orders of magnitude…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-03-06 Ethan N. Epperly , Anne Greenbaum , Yuji Nakatsukasa

We study the calibration of Gaussian process (GP) predictive distributions in the interpolation setting from a design-marginal perspective. Conditioning on the data and averaging over a design measure \mu, we formalize \mu-coverage for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-08 Aurélien Pion , Emmanuel Vazquez

Confidence calibration -- the problem of predicting probability estimates representative of the true correctness likelihood -- is important for classification models in many applications. We discover that modern neural networks, unlike…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-08-04 Chuan Guo , Geoff Pleiss , Yu Sun , Kilian Q. Weinberger

High fidelity radio interferometric data calibration that minimises spurious spectral structure in the calibrated data is essential in astrophysical applications, such as 21 cm cosmology, which rely on knowledge of the relative spectral…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2022-10-26 Peter H. Sims , Jonathan C. Pober , Jonathan L. Sievers

We consider a class of colored graphical Gaussian models obtained by placing symmetry constraints on the precision matrix in a Bayesian framework. The prior distribution on the precision matrix is the colored $G$-Wishart prior which is the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-03 Qiong Li , Xin Gao , Helene Massam

Bivariate matrix functions provide a unified framework for various tasks in numerical linear algebra, including the solution of linear matrix equations and the application of the Fr\'echet derivative. In this work, we propose a novel…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-02-22 Daniel Kressner

The nonlinear energy response of cryogenic microcalorimeters is usually corrected through an empirical calibration. X-ray or gamma-ray emission lines of known shape and energy anchor a smooth function that generalizes the calibration data…

仪器与探测器 · 物理学 2022-08-23 J. W. Fowler , B. K. Alpert , G. C. O'Neil , D. S. Swetz , J. N. Ullom