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Risk-limiting audits (RLAs) offer a statistical guarantee: if a full manual tally of the paper ballots would show that the reported election outcome is wrong, an RLA has a known minimum chance of leading to a full manual tally. RLAs…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-09-13 Kellie Ottoboni , Philip B. Stark , Mark Lindeman , Neal McBurnett

ONEAudit provides more efficient risk-limiting audits than other extant methods when the voting system cannot report a cast-vote record linked to each cast card. It obviates the need for re-scanning; it is simpler and more efficient than…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-20 Jacob V Spertus , Amanda K Glazer , Philip B Stark

We develop conservative tests for the mean of a bounded population under stratified sampling and apply them to risk-limiting post-election audits. The tests are ``anytime valid'' under sequential sampling, allowing optional stopping in each…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-17 Jacob V. Spertus , Mayuri Sridhar , Philip B. Stark

The performance of a machine learning system is usually evaluated by using i.i.d.\ observations with true labels. However, acquiring ground truth labels is expensive, while obtaining unlabeled samples may be cheaper. Stratified sampling can…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-29 Tiancheng Yu , Xiyu Zhai , Suvrit Sra

Bayesian inference with nested sampling requires a likelihood-restricted prior sampling method, which draws samples from the prior distribution that exceed a likelihood threshold. For high-dimensional problems, Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-02-13 Johannes Buchner

In many randomized trials, outcomes such as essays or open-ended responses must be manually scored as a preliminary step to impact analysis, a process that is costly and limiting. Model-assisted estimation offers a way to combine surrogate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-16 Reagan Mozer , Nicole E. Pashley , Luke Miratrix

Recent works have proposed optimal subsampling algorithms to improve computational efficiency in large datasets and to design validation studies in the presence of measurement error. Existing approaches generally fall into two categories:…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-25 Jasper B. Yang , Thomas Lumley , Bryan E. Shepherd , Pamela A. Shaw

We investigate stratified sampling in the context of network reliability assessment. We propose an unbalanced stratum refinement procedure, which operates on a partition of network components into clusters and the number of failed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-03 Jianpeng Chan , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub

Principled nonparametric tests for regression curvature in $\mathbb{R}^{d}$ are often statistically and computationally challenging. This paper introduces the stratified incomplete local simplex (SILS) tests for joint concavity of…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-10-17 Yanglei Song , Xiaohui Chen , Kengo Kato

This study combines simulated annealing with delta evaluation to solve the joint stratification and sample allocation problem. In this problem, atomic strata are partitioned into mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive strata. Each…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-11-23 Mervyn O'Luing , Steven Prestwich , S. Armagan Tarim

A general adaptive approach rooted in stratified sampling (SS) is proposed for sample-based uncertainty quantification (UQ). To motivate its use in this context the space-filling, orthogonality, and projective properties of SS are compared…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-14 Michael D. Shields , Kirubel Teferra , Adam Hapij , Raymond P. Daddazio

Risk-limiting audits (RLAs) for many social choice functions can be reduced to testing sets of null hypotheses of the form "the average of this list is not greater than 1/2" for a collection of finite lists of nonnegative numbers. Such…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-03-26 Philip B. Stark

Science and engineering problems subject to uncertainty are frequently both computationally expensive and feature nonsmooth parameter dependence, making standard Monte Carlo too slow, and excluding efficient use of accelerated uncertainty…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-10-01 Per Pettersson , Sebastian Krumscheid

Nested sampling is an iterative integration procedure that shrinks the prior volume towards higher likelihoods by removing a "live" point at a time. A replacement point is drawn uniformly from the prior above an ever-increasing likelihood…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-12-03 Johannes Buchner

This paper develops a unified framework for partial identification and inference in stratified experiments with attrition, accommodating both equal and heterogeneous treatment shares across strata. For equal-share designs, we apply recent…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-21 Bruno Ferman , Davi Siqueira , Vitor Possebom

BRAVO, the most widely tried method for risk-limiting election audits, cannot accommodate sampling without replacement or stratified sampling, which can improve efficiency and may be required by law. It applies only to ballot-polling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-15 Philip B. Stark

Supporting sampling in the presence of joins is an important problem in data analysis, but is inherently challenging due to the need to avoid correlation between output tuples. Current solutions provide either correlated or non-correlated…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2017-02-15 Niranjan Kamat , Arnab Nandi

Online controlled experiments, also known as A/B testing, are the digital equivalent of randomized controlled trials for estimating the impact of marketing campaigns on website visitors. Stratified sampling is a traditional technique for…

We consider the problem of online stratified sampling for Monte Carlo integration of a function given a finite budget of $n$ noisy evaluations to the function. More precisely we focus on the problem of choosing the number of strata $K$ as a…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-05-23 Alexandra Carpentier , Rémi Munos

To increase statistical efficiency in a randomized experiment, researchers often use stratification (i.e., blocking) in the design stage. However, conventional practices of stratification fail to exploit valuable information about the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-28 Zikai Li
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