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El Ni\~{n}o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is one of the significant climate phenomena, which appears periodically in the tropic Pacific. The intermediate coupled ocean-atmosphere Zebiak-Cane (ZC) model is the first and classical one designed…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-08-29 Bin Shi , Junjie Ma

The El Ni{~n}o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) exerts profound influence on global climate variability, yet its prediction remains a grand challenge. Recent advances in deep learning have significantly improved forecasting skill, but the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-06 Yanhai Gan , Yipeng Chen , Ning Li , Xingguo Liu , Junyu Dong , Xianyao Chen

The spatiotemporal variation in tropical air-sea interaction is investigated by applying a simple model that considers the fundamental dynamics in tropical oceans. The model decomposes sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) variation into a…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-05-31 Yaokun Li

The dynamics of mixedness and entanglement is examined by solving the time-dependent Schr\"{o}dinger equation for three coupled harmonic oscillator system with arbitrary time-dependent frequency and coupling constants parameters. We assume…

量子物理 · 物理学 2019-08-01 DaeKil Park

Recent analyses of the helioseismic observations indicate that the previously observed surface torsional oscillations with periods of about 11 years extend significantly downwards into the solar convective zone. Furthermore, there are…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Eurico Covas , Reza Tavakol , David Moss

We explore the anomalous behavior of the equatorial quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) in zonal wind which it exhibited, since February 2016. In more detail, QBO interrupted its regular pattern and the eastward stratospheric winds…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2017-08-21 Costas A. Varotsos , Nikos V. Sarlis , Maria Efstathiou

This work continues the analysis of complex dynamics in a class of bidimensional nonlinear hybrid dynamical systems with resets modeling neuronal voltage dynamics with adaptation and spike emission. We show that these models can generically…

We suggest a way of rationalizing an intra-seasonal oscillations (IOs) of the Earth atmospheric flow as four meteorological relevant triads of interacting planetary waves, isolated from the system of all the rest planetary waves. Our model…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Elena Kartashova , Victor S. L'vov

An information-theoretic framework is developed to assess the predictability of ENSO complexity, which is a central problem in contemporary meteorology with large societal impacts. The information theory advances a unique way to quantify…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-04-05 Xianghui Fang , Nan Chen

In this paper, we develop and analyze a model that studies the interaction between a specialist predator, a generalist predator, and their common prey in a two-trophic ecosystem featuring three timescales. We assume that the prey operates…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-11-02 Susmita Sadhu

Forecasting the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has been a subject of vigorous research due to the important role of the phenomenon in climate dynamics and its worldwide socioeconomic impacts. Over the past decades, numerous models for…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2019-12-12 Xinyang Wang , Joanna Slawinska , Dimitrios Giannakis

Recent debates over the changing correlation between Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR) and the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) have raised inconclusive claims about the stability of the ENSO-Monsoon relationship (EMR) and ISMR…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-03-23 Devabrat Sharma , Shruti Tandon , Gaurav Chopra , R. I. Sujith , B. N. Goswami

In this paper, we introduce a three-component Schnakenberg model. Its key feature is that it has a solution consisting of N spikes that undergoes a Hopf bifurcation with respect to N distinct modes nearly simultaneously. This results in…

斑图形成与孤子 · 物理学 2022-03-25 Shuangquan Xie , Theodore kolokolnikov , Yasumasa Nishiura

The effects of El Ni\~no's two distinct flavors, East Pacific (EP) and Central Pacific (CP)/Modoki El Ni\~no, on global climate variability have been studied intensively in recent years. Most of these studies have made use of linear…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-01-11 Marc Wiedermann , Jonatan F. Siegmund , Jonathan F. Donges , Reik V. Donner

The purpose of this review-and-research paper is twofold: (i) to review the role played in climate dynamics by fluid-dynamical models; and (ii) to contribute to the understanding and reduction of the uncertainties in future climate-change…

动力系统 · 数学 2010-06-16 Michael Ghil , Mickaël D. Chekroun , Eric Simonnet

The quantification of the interannual component of variability in climatological time series is essential for the assessment and prediction of the El Ni\~{n}o - Southern Oscillation phenomenon. This is achieved by estimating the deviation…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-11-14 Tommaso Proietti , Alessandro Giovannelli

The Global Overturning Circulation (GOC) is a key component of the climate system, transporting heat, carbon, and salt throughout the global ocean. Previous reduced-dimensional models have sought to represent this three-dimensional…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-10-23 Elian Vanderborght , Henk A. Dijkstra

We examine how coupling functions in the theory of dynamical systems provide a quantitative window into climate dynamics. Previously we have shown that a one-dimensional periodic non-autonomous stochastic dynamical system can simulate the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2019-11-12 Woosok Moon , John S. Wettlaufer

A convection-driven multiscale dynamo model is developed in the limit of low Rossby number for the plane layer geometry in which the gravity and rotation vectors are aligned. The small-scale fluctuating dynamics are described by a…

地球物理 · 物理学 2015-10-28 Michael A. Calkins , Keith Julien , Steven M. Tobias , Jonathan M. Aurnou

In this article, we review the interdisciplinary techniques (borrowed from physics, mathematics, statistics, machine-learning, etc.) and methodological framework that we have used to understand climate systems, which serve as examples of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2024-05-29 Alka Yadav , Sourish Das , Anirban Chakraborti