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Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (N-ODEs) are a powerful building block for learning systems, which extend residual networks to a continuous-time dynamical system. We propose a Bayesian version of N-ODEs that enables well-calibrated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-19 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir

We propose a machine learning framework to accelerate numerical computations of time-dependent ODEs and PDEs. Our method is based on recasting (generalizations of) existing numerical methods as artificial neural networks, with a set of…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-03-08 Siddhartha Mishra

We study non-parametric estimation of choice models, which were introduced to alleviate unreasonable assumptions in traditional parametric models, and are prevalent in several application areas. Existing literature focuses only on the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-08-07 Nam Ho-Nguyen , Fatma Kilinc-Karzan

We describe stochastic calculus in the context of processes that are driven by an adapted point process of locally finite intensity and are differentiable between jumps. This includes Markov chains as well as non-Markov processes. By…

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-26 Eric Foxall

Given a visual history, multiple future outcomes for a video scene are equally probable, in other words, the distribution of future outcomes has multiple modes. Multimodality is notoriously hard to handle by standard regressors or…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2017-05-08 Katerina Fragkiadaki , Jonathan Huang , Alex Alemi , Sudheendra Vijayanarasimhan , Susanna Ricco , Rahul Sukthankar

Spatial-temporal forecasting has attracted tremendous attention in a wide range of applications, and traffic flow prediction is a canonical and typical example. The complex and long-range spatial-temporal correlations of traffic flow bring…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-25 Zheng Fang , Qingqing Long , Guojie Song , Kunqing Xie

Stochastic regularization of neural networks (e.g. dropout) is a wide-spread technique in deep learning that allows for better generalization. Despite its success, continuous-time models, such as neural ordinary differential equation (ODE),…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-29 Viktor Oganesyan , Alexandra Volokhova , Dmitry Vetrov

The prediction of stochastic dynamical systems and the capture of dynamical behaviors are profound problems. In this article, we propose a data-driven framework combining Reservoir Computing and Normalizing Flow to study this issue, which…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-08-01 Cheng Fang , Yubin Lu , Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan

Motivated by reduction of computational complexity, this work develops sign-error adaptive filtering algorithms for estimating time-varying system parameters. Different from the previous work on sign-error algorithms, the parameters are…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-11-17 Araz Hashemi , G. Yin , Le Yi Wang

This paper introduces a novel generative framework for synthesising forward-looking, c\`adl\`ag stochastic trajectories that are sequentially consistent with time-evolving path-law proxies, thereby incorporating anticipated structural…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-08 Daniel Bloch

Modeling real-world multidimensional time series can be particularly challenging when these are sporadically observed (i.e., sampling is irregular both in time and across dimensions)-such as in the case of clinical patient data. To address…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-02 Edward De Brouwer , Jaak Simm , Adam Arany , Yves Moreau

We extend stochastic network optimization theory to treat networks with arbitrary sample paths for arrivals, channels, and mobility. The network can experience unexpected link or node failures, traffic bursts, and topology changes, and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2010-01-07 Michael J. Neely

Inverse problems involving partial differential equations (PDEs) with discontinuous coefficients are fundamental challenges in modeling complex spatiotemporal systems with heterogeneous structures and uncertain dynamics. Traditional…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-17 Zhikun Zhang , Guanyu Pan , Xiangjun Wang , Yong Xu , Guangtao Zhang

Modern graph representation learning works mostly under the assumption of dealing with regularly sampled temporal graph snapshots, which is far from realistic, e.g., social networks and physical systems are characterized by continuous…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-11 Alessio Gravina , Daniele Zambon , Davide Bacciu , Cesare Alippi

In this paper, we address the issue of modeling and estimating changes in the state of the spatio-temporal dynamical systems based on a sequence of observations like video frames. Traditional numerical simulation systems depend largely on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-12 Kun Wang , Hao Wu , Guibin Zhang , Junfeng Fang , Yuxuan Liang , Yuankai Wu , Roger Zimmermann , Yang Wang

We demonstrate an approach to the numerical solution of nonlinear stochastic differential equations with Markovian switching. Such equations describe the stochastic dynamics of processes where the drift and diffusion coefficients are…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-08-28 Cónall Kelly , Kate O'Donovan

Neural processes (NPs) are a class of models that learn stochastic processes directly from data and can be used for inference, sampling and conditional sampling. We introduce a new NP model based on flow matching, a generative modeling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-01 Hussen Abu Hamad , Dan Rosenbaum

We propose a novel framework for solving continuous-time non-Markovian stochastic control problems by means of neural rough differential equations (Neural RDEs) introduced in Morrill et al. (2021). Non-Markovianity naturally arises in…

Stochastic optimization methods encounter new challenges in the realm of streaming, characterized by a continuous flow of large, high-dimensional data. While first-order methods, like stochastic gradient descent, are the natural choice,…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-02 Antoine Godichon-Baggioni , Nicklas Werge

This paper studies high-dimensional trend inference for piecewise smooth signals under nonstationary noise and asynchronous structural breaks by first detecting asynchronous changes without assuming stationarity and then further exploiting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-27 Lujia Bai , David Veitch , Weichi Wu , Wenyang Zhang , Zhou Zhou