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相关论文: Optimal Estimation of Generic Dynamics by Path-Dep…

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We present data-dependent learning bounds for the general scenario of non-stationary non-mixing stochastic processes. Our learning guarantees are expressed in terms of a data-dependent measure of sequential complexity and a discrepancy…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-03-16 Vitaly Kuznetsov , Mehryar Mohri

The governing equations of stochastic dynamical systems often become cost-prohibitive for numerical simulation at large scales. Surrogate models of the governing equations, learned from data of the high-fidelity system, are routinely used…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-24 Joanna Zou , Han Cheng Lie , Youssef Marzouk

In this chapter, we utilize dynamical systems to analyze several aspects of machine learning algorithms. As an expository contribution we demonstrate how to re-formulate a wide variety of challenges from deep neural networks, (stochastic)…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-07-08 Dennis Chemnitz , Maximilian Engel , Christian Kuehn , Sara-Viola Kuntz

In this article, we employ a collection of stochastic differential equations with drift and diffusion coefficients approximated by neural networks to predict the trend of chaotic time series which has big jump properties. Our contributions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-04 Luxuan Yang , Ting Gao , Yubin Lu , Jinqiao Duan , Tao Liu

We propose a continuous neural network architecture, termed Explainable Tensorized Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (ETN-ODE), for multi-step time series prediction at arbitrary time points. Unlike the existing approaches, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-13 Penglei Gao , Xi Yang , Rui Zhang , Kaizhu Huang

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are widely used to describe the time evolution of natural phenomena across various scientific fields. Estimating the parameters of these systems from data is a challenging task, particularly when…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-01-23 S. Syafiie , Aries Subiantoro , Vivi Andasari , Fernando Tadeo

Numerical stochastic perturbation theory is a powerful tool for estimating high-order perturbative expansions in lattice field theory. The standard algorithms based on the Langevin equation, however, suffer from several limitations which in…

高能物理 - 格点 · 物理学 2017-09-11 Mattia Dalla Brida , Marco Garofalo , A. D. Kennedy

This work proposes a general framework for capturing noise-driven transitions in spatially extended non-equilibrium systems and explains the emergence of coherent patterns beyond the instability onset. The framework relies on stochastic…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-12-16 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Honghu Liu , James C. McWilliams

Traffic forecasting, which benefits from mobile Internet development and position technologies, plays a critical role in Intelligent Transportation Systems. It helps to implement rich and varied transportation applications and bring…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-26 Chengzhi Yao , Zhi Li , Junbo Wang

Time series forecasting based on deep architectures has been gaining popularity in recent years due to their ability to model complex non-linear temporal dynamics. The recurrent neural network is one such model capable of handling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-28 Zexuan Yin , Paolo Barucca

Predicting irregularly spaced event sequences with discrete marks poses significant challenges due to the complex, asynchronous dependencies embedded within continuous-time data streams.Existing sequential approaches capture dependencies…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-13 Yuxiang Liu , Qiao Liu , Tong Luo , Yanglei Gan , Peng He , Yao LIu

Detecting anomalies in irregularly sampled multi-variate time-series is challenging, especially in data-scarce settings. Here we introduce an anomaly detection framework for irregularly sampled time-series that leverages neural jump…

Gaussian processes (GPs) furnish accurate nonlinear predictions with well-calibrated uncertainty. However, the typical GP setup has a built-in stationarity assumption, making it ill-suited for modeling data from processes with sudden…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-21 Anna R. Flowers , Christopher T. Franck , Mickaël Binois , Chiwoo Park , Robert B. Gramacy

We develop a novel data-driven framework as an alternative to dynamic flux balance analysis, bypassing the demand for deep domain knowledge and manual efforts to formulate the optimization problem. The proposed framework is end-to-end,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-21 Santanu Rathod , Pietro Lio , Xiao Zhang

This paper investigates the mean square exponential stabilization problem for a class of coupled PDE-ODE systems with Markov jump parameters. The considered system consists of multiple coupled hyperbolic PDEs and a finite-dimensional ODE,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-08-06 Kaijing Lyu , Umberto Biccari , Junmin Wang

Predicting discrete events in time and space has many scientific applications, such as predicting hazardous earthquakes and outbreaks of infectious diseases. History-dependent spatio-temporal Hawkes processes are often used to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-31 Negar Erfanian , Santiago Segarra , Maarten de Hoop

We analyze the convergence of gradient-based optimization algorithms that base their updates on delayed stochastic gradient information. The main application of our results is to the development of gradient-based distributed optimization…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2011-05-02 Alekh Agarwal , John C. Duchi

Economic forecasting is concerned with the estimation of some variable like gross domestic product (GDP) in the next period given a set of variables that describes the current situation or state of the economy, including industrial…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-04-08 Pedro Afonso Fernandes

Up to now, the nonparametric analysis of multidimensional continuous-time Markov processes has focussed strongly on specific model choices, mostly related to symmetry of the semigroup. While this approach allows to study the performance of…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-04 Niklas Dexheimer , Claudia Strauch , Lukas Trottner

We present a powerful general framework for designing data-dependent optimization algorithms, building upon and unifying recent techniques in adaptive regularization, optimistic gradient predictions, and problem-dependent randomization. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-10-14 Mehryar Mohri , Scott Yang