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We use bank-level balance sheet data from 2005 to 2010 to study interactions within the banking system of five emerging countries: Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, South Africa, and Taiwan. For each country we construct a financial network based…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-07-08 Diego Aparicio , Daniel Fraiman

Excessive leverage, i.e. the abuse of debt financing, is considered one of the primary factors in the default of financial institutions. Systemic risk results from correlations between individual default probabilities that cannot be…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2013-03-25 Paolo Tasca , Pavlin Mavrodiev , Frank Schweitzer

Systemic financial risk refers to the simultaneous failure or destabilization of multiple financial institutions, often triggered by contagion mechanisms or common exposures to shocks. In this paper, we present a dynamical model of bank…

动力系统 · 数学 2026-03-31 Marco Ioffredi , Stefano Marmi , Matteo Tanzi

The article presents a translation of some widespread financial terminology into the language of decision theory. For instance, financial leverage can be regarded as an object of choice or a decision. We show how the optics of decision…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2012-06-06 Yaroslav Ivanenko

A quick review of European financial stability institutions and the role of stress tests in the current juridical system.

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-12-16 Simone Manduchi

This paper investigates the impact of banking competition on interest rates for household consumption loans in the Euro Area from 2014 to 2020. Utilizing a panel data regression approach, we analyze how various factors, including local…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-28 Alexander Rom

This paper investigates two mechanisms of financial contagion that are, firstly, the correlated exposure of banks to the same source of risk, and secondly the direct exposure of banks in the interbank market. It will consider a random…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2016-03-15 Seyyed Mostafa Mousavi , Robert Mackay , Alistair Tucker

The manipulation of LIBOR by a group of banks became one of the major blows to the remaining confidence in financial industry. Yet, despite an enormous amount of popular literature on the subject, rigorous time-series studies are few. In my…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-04-07 Peter B. Lerner

Systemic liquidity risk, defined by the IMF as "the risk of simultaneous liquidity difficulties at multiple financial institutions", is a key topic in macroprudential policy and financial stress analysis. Specialized models to simulate…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-12-08 V. Macchiati , G. Brandi , G. Cimini , G. Caldarelli , D. Paolotti , T. Di Matteo

This paper introduces a novel framework to study default dependence and systemic risk in a financial network that evolves over time. We analyse several indicators of risk, and develop a new latent space model to assess the health of key…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-10-02 Laleh Tafakori , Armin Pourkhanali , Riccardo Rastelli

We prove that a wide class of correlated stochastic volatility models exactly measure an empirical fact in which past returns are anticorrelated with future volatilities: the so-called ``leverage effect''. This quantitative measure allows…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Josep Perello , Jaume Masoliver

We present a simple agent-based model of a financial system composed of leveraged investors such as banks that invest in stocks and manage their risk using a Value-at-Risk constraint, based on historical observations of asset prices. The…

经济学 · 定量金融 2014-08-19 Christoph Aymanns , J. Doyne Farmer

We analyse the importance of international relations between countries on the financial stability. The contagion effect in the network is tested by implementing an epidemiological model, comprising a number of European countries and using…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-01-23 Olena Kostylenko , Helena Sofia Rodrigues , Delfim F. M. Torres

Systemic risk arises as a multi-layer network phenomenon. Layers represent direct financial exposures of various types, including interbank liabilities, derivative- or foreign exchange exposures. Another network layer of systemic risk…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2018-03-13 Anton Pichler , Sebastian Poledna , Stefan Thurner

The article presents calculations that prove practical importance of the earlier derived theoretical relationship between the interest rate on the interbank credit market, volume of investment and the quantity of securities tradable on the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2013-09-24 Magomet Yandiev , Alexander Pakhalov

The existence of asymmetric information has always been a major concern for financial institutions. Financial intermediaries such as commercial banks need to study the quality of potential borrowers in order to make their decision on…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-07-05 Jinglun Yao , Maxime Levy-Chapira , Mamikon Margaryan

We reverse engineer dynamics of financial contagion to find the scenario of smallest exogenous shock that, should it occur, would lead to a given final systemic loss. This reverse stress test can be used to identify the potential triggers…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2017-03-13 Daniel Grigat , Fabio Caccioli

An interbank market lets participants pool the risk arising from the combination of illiquid investments and random withdrawals by depositors. But it also creates the potential for one bank's failure to trigger off avalanches of further…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Giulia Iori , Saqib Jafarey

Relationship lending is broadly interpreted as a strong partnership between a lender and a borrower. Nevertheless, we still lack consensus regarding how to quantify the strength of a lending relationship, while simple statistics such as the…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2018-10-11 Teruyoshi Kobayashi , Taro Takaguchi

Common asset holdings are widely believed to have been the primary vector of contagion in the recent financial crisis. We develop a network approach to the amplification of financial contagion due to the combination of overlapping…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2012-11-06 Fabio Caccioli , Munik Shrestha , Cristopher Moore , J. Doyne Farmer
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