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In an industrial context, the activity of sensors is recorded at a high frequency. A challenge is to automatically detect abnormal measurement behavior. Considering the sensor measures as functional data, the problem can be formulated as…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-03-09 Martial Amovin-Assagba , Irène Gannaz , Julien Jacques

Attitude is one of the crucial parameters for space objects and plays a vital role in collision prediction and debris removal. Analyzing light curves to determine attitude is the most commonly used method. In photometric observations,…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2024-04-03 Hui Li , Rong-Wang Li , Peng Shu , Yu-Qiang Li

In this paper, we introduce a novel methodology for leveraging shape-based characteristics of magnetograms of active region (AR) patches and provide a novel capability for predicting solar flares covering the entirety of the solar disk (AR…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-06-18 Chetraj Pandey , Temitope Adeyeha , Jinsu Hong , Rafal A. Angryk , Berkay Aydin

Data assimilation techniques, developed in the last two decades mainly for weather prediction, produce better forecasts by taking advantage of both theoretical/numerical models and real-time observations. In this paper, we explore the…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2015-05-13 Eric Bélanger , Alain Vincent , Paul Charbonneau

Machine learning and data analysis have been used in many robotics fields, especially for modelling. Data are usually the result of sensor measurements and, as such, they might be subjected to noise and outliers. The presence of outliers…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2019-08-26 Francesco Cursi , Guang-Zhong Yang

We conduct the first comprehensive meta-analysis of deterministic solar forecasting based on skill score, screening 1,447 papers from Google Scholar and reviewing the full texts of 320 papers for data extraction. A database of 4,687 points…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-04-13 Thi Ngoc Nguyen , Felix Müsgens

The ability to collect and store ever more massive databases has been accompanied by the need to process them efficiently. In many cases, most observations have the same behavior, while a probable small proportion of these observations are…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-09-21 Myrto Limnios , Nathan Noiry , Stéphan Clémençon

One essential component of operational space weather forecasting is the prediction of solar flares. With a multitude of flare forecasting methods now available online it is still unclear which of these methods performs best, and none are…

空间物理 · 物理学 2020-08-04 Jordan A. Guerra , Sophie A. Murray , D. Shaun Bloomfield , Peter T. Gallagher

The problems of outliers detection and robust regression in a high-dimensional setting are fundamental in statistics, and have numerous applications. Following a recent set of works providing methods for simultaneous robust regression and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-12-08 Alain Virouleau , Agathe Guilloux , Stéphane Gaïffas , Malgorzata Bogdan

Revenue management strongly relies on accurate forecasts. Thus, when extraordinary events cause outlier demand, revenue management systems need to recognise this and adapt both forecast and controls. Many passenger transport service…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-10 Nicola Rennie , Catherine Cleophas , Adam M. Sykulski , Florian Dost

In the realm of unsupervised image outlier detection, assigning outlier scores holds greater significance than its subsequent task: thresholding for predicting labels. This is because determining the optimal threshold on non-separable…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-07-16 Zhonghang Liu , Panzhong Lu , Guoyang Xie , Zhichao Lu , Wen-Yan Lin

We present a comparative study of transformer-based architectures for solar flare forecasting using heterogeneous data modalities, including images, video sequences, and time-series observations. Our analysis evaluates three recent…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2025-12-05 S. Riggi , P. Romano , A. Pilzer , U. Becciani

In this work we leverage a weakly-labeled dataset of spectral data from NASAs IRIS satellite for the prediction of solar flares using the Multiple Instance Learning (MIL) paradigm. While standard supervised learning models expect a label…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-11-21 Cédric Huwyler , Martin Melchior

Using methods of statistical mechanics, we analyse the effect of outliers on the supervised learning of a classification problem. The learning strategy aims at selecting informative examples and discarding outliers. We compare two…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Rainer Dietrich , Manfred Opper

To understand the conditions that produce white-light (WL) enhancements in solar flares, a statistical analysis of visible continuum data as observed by Hinode/Solar Optical Telescope (SOT) was performed. In this study, approximately 100…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-12-20 Kyoko Watanabe , Jun Kitagawa , Satoshi Masuda

Solar flares are explosions on the Sun. They happen when energy stored in magnetic fields around solar active regions (ARs) is suddenly released. In this paper, we present a transformer-based framework, named SolarFlareNet, for predicting…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-05-28 Yasser Abduallah , Jason T. L. Wang

Outliers are the points which are different from or inconsistent with the rest of the data. They can be novel, new, abnormal, unusual or noisy information. Outliers are sometimes more interesting than the majority of the data. The main…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2014-06-20 Singh Vijendra , Pathak Shivani

Mutual fund categorization has become a standard tool for the investment management industry and is extensively used by allocators for portfolio construction and manager selection, as well as by fund managers for peer analysis and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-08-15 Dhruv Desai , Ashmita Dhiman , Tushar Sharma , Deepika Sharma , Dhagash Mehta , Stefano Pasquali

Using unlabeled data to regularize the machine learning models has demonstrated promise for improving safety and reliability in detecting out-of-distribution (OOD) data. Harnessing the power of unlabeled in-the-wild data is non-trivial due…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-07 Xuefeng Du , Zhen Fang , Ilias Diakonikolas , Yixuan Li

Solar flares commonly have a hot onset precursor event" (HOPE), detectable from soft X-ray observations. Detecting this requires subtraction of pre-flare fluxes from the non-flaring Sun prior to the event, fitting an isothermal emission…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-07-08 Hugh S. Hudson