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Monitoring plant and animal populations is an important goal for both academic research and management of natural resources. Successful management of populations often depends on obtaining estimates of their mean or total over a region. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-14 Jay M. Ver Hoef , John K. Jansen

Immediately following a disaster event, such as an earthquake, estimates of the damage extent play a key role in informing the coordination of response and recovery efforts. We develop a novel impact estimation tool that leverages a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-01-15 Max Anderson Loake , Hamish Patten , David Steinsaltz

Spatial generalized linear mixed-effects models are popularly used to analyze spatially indexed univariate responses. However, with modern technology, it is common to observe vector-valued mixed-type responses, e.g., a combination of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-23 Arghya Mukherjee , Arnab Hazra , Dootika Vats

This study investigates the spatial distribution of emergency alarm call events to identify spatial covariates associated with the events and discern hotspot regions for the events. The study is motivated by the problem of developing…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-07-19 Fekadu L. Bayisa , Markus Ådahl , Patrik Rydén , Ottmar Cronie

Dynamic networks exhibit temporal patterns that vary across different time scales, all of which can potentially affect processes that take place on the network. However, most data-driven approaches used to model time-varying networks…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-12-27 Tiago P. Peixoto , Laetitia Gauvin

Environmental phenomena are influenced by complex interactions among various factors. For instance, the amount of rainfall measured at different stations within a given area is shaped by atmospheric conditions, orography, and physics of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-01-16 Paolo Onorati , Antonio Canale

The areal modeling of the extremes of a natural process such as rainfall or temperature is important in environmental statistics; for example, understanding extreme areal rainfall is crucial in flood protection. This article reviews recent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-08-17 A. C. Davison , S. A. Padoan , M. Ribatet

Landslides are a common natural disaster that can cause casualties, property safety threats and economic losses. Therefore, it is important to understand or predict the probability of landslide occurrence at potentially risky sites. A…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-15 Cheng Chen , Lei Fan

Nonuniform subsampling methods are effective to reduce computational burden and maintain estimation efficiency for massive data. Existing methods mostly focus on subsampling with replacement due to its high computational efficiency. If the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-06 Jun Yu , HaiYing Wang , Mingyao Ai , Huiming Zhang

We study asymptotically minimax predictive distributions in an infinite sequence model. First, we discuss the connection between the prediction in the infinite sequence model and the prediction in the function model. Second, we construct an…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-12-06 Keisuke Yano , Fumiyasu Komaki

Extreme environmental phenomena such as major precipitation events manifestly exhibit spatial dependence. Max-stable processes are a class of asymptotically-justified models that are capable of representing spatial dependence among extreme…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-01-09 Brian J. Reich , Benjamin A. Shaby

This paper studies theory and inference of an observation-driven model for time series of counts. It is assumed that the observations follow a Poisson distribution conditioned on an accompanying intensity process, which is equipped with a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-07-18 Chao Wang , Heng Liu , Jian-Feng Yao , Richard A. Davis , Wai Keung Li

The pseudo-marginal algorithm is a variant of the Metropolis--Hastings algorithm which samples asymptotically from a probability distribution when it is only possible to estimate unbiasedly an unnormalized version of its density.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-12-04 Sebastian M. Schmon , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Michael K. Pitt

We develop a method for probabilistic prediction of extreme value hot-spots in a spatio-temporal framework, tailored to big datasets containing important gaps. In this setting, direct calculation of summaries from data, such as the minimum…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-02 Daniela Castro-Camilo , Linda Mhalla , Thomas Opitz

Classical peaks over threshold analysis is widely used for statistical modeling of sample extremes, and can be supplemented by a model for the sizes of clusters of exceedances. Under mild conditions a compound Poisson process model allows…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-08-14 Mária Süveges , Anthony C. Davison

We propose a new class of parameterizations for spatio-temporal point processes which leverage Neural ODEs as a computational method and enable flexible, high-fidelity models of discrete events that are localized in continuous time and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-19 Ricky T. Q. Chen , Brandon Amos , Maximilian Nickel

Iterative load balancing algorithms for indivisible tokens have been studied intensively in the past. Complementing previous worst-case analyses, we study an average-case scenario where the load inputs are drawn from a fixed probability…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2017-03-28 Leran Cai , Thomas Sauerwald

We introduce a flexible and scalable class of Bayesian geostatistical models for discrete data, based on the class of nearest neighbor mixture transition distribution processes (NNMP), referred to as discrete NNMP. The proposed class…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-04 Xiaotian Zheng , Athanasios Kottas , Bruno Sansó

When random effects are correlated with sample design variables, the usual approach of employing individual survey weights (constructed to be inversely proportional to the unit survey inclusion probabilities) to form a pseudo-likelihood no…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-26 Terrance D. Savitsky , Matthew R. Williams

In this paper, the authors aim to combine the latest state of the art models in image recognition with the best publicly available satellite images to create a system for landslide risk mitigation. We focus first on landslide detection and…