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We study online change point detection for multivariate inhomogeneous Poisson point process time series. This setting arises commonly in applications such as earthquake seismology, climate monitoring, and epidemic surveillance, yet remains…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-25 Xiaokai Luo , Haotian Xu , Carlos Misael Madrid Padilla , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

We develop dependent hierarchical normalized random measures and apply them to dynamic topic modeling. The dependency arises via superposition, subsampling and point transition on the underlying Poisson processes of these measures. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-06-22 Changyou Chen , Nan Ding , Wray Buntine

We introduce a novel statistical significance-based approach for clustering hierarchical data using semi-parametric linear mixed-effects models designed for responses with laws in the exponential family (e.g., Poisson and Bernoulli). Within…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-04 Alessandra Ragni , Chiara Masci , Francesca Ieva , Anna Maria Paganoni

Multi-dimensional data frequently occur in many different fields, including risk management, insurance, biology, environmental sciences, and many more. In analyzing multivariate data, it is imperative that the underlying modelling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-23 Orla A. Murphy , Juliana Schulz

Poisson likelihood models have been prevalently used in imaging, social networks, and time series analysis. We propose fast, simple, theoretically-grounded, and versatile, optimization algorithms for Poisson likelihood modeling. The Poisson…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-08-04 Niao He , Zaid Harchaoui , Yichen Wang , Le Song

Large crossed mixed effects models with imbalanced structures and missing data pose major computational challenges for standard Bayesian posterior sampling algorithms, as the computational complexity is usually superlinear in the number of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-05-12 Xinyu Zhang , Cheng Li

Inspired by a duration-dependent life insurance model, we consider continuous-time semi-Markov jump processes, initially assumed to have a finite state-space. We develop approximations using jump processes that are time-homogeneous Markov,…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-11 Martin Bladt , Andreea Minca , Oscar Peralta

Symbolic data analysis (SDA) aggregates large individual-level datasets into a small number of distributional summaries, such as random rectangles or random histograms. The inference is carried out using these summaries in place of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-02 Yu Yang , Matias Quiroz , Boris Beranger , Robert Kohn , Scott A. Sisson

Species distribution models (SDM) are a key tool in ecology, conservation and management of natural resources. Two key components of the state-of-the-art SDMs are the description for species distribution response along environmental…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-08 Jarno Vanhatalo , Marcelo Hartmann , Lari Veneranta

A penalized maximum likelihood estimation approach is proposed for discrete-time hidden Markov models where covariates affect the observed responses and serial dependence is considered. The proposed penalized maximum likelihood method…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-04 Luca Brusa , Fulvia Pennoni , Francesco Bartolucci , Romina Peruilh Bagolini

Joint models (JM) for longitudinal and survival data have gained increasing interest and found applications in a wide range of clinical and biomedical settings. These models facilitate the understanding of the relationship between outcomes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-25 Sida Chen , Danilo Alvares , Christopher Jackson , Jessica Barrett

We investigate the asymptotic risk of a general class of overparameterized likelihood models, including deep models. The recent empirical success of large-scale models has motivated several theoretical studies to investigate a scenario…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-16 Ryumei Nakada , Masaaki Imaizumi

We study sums of locally dependent scores associated with general marked (i.e., labeled) Euclidean point processes. We introduce geometric mixing conditions on the underlying point process and a Lipschitz-"localization" condition on the…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-28 B. Błaszczyszyn , D. Yogeshwaran , J. E. Yukich

The paper considers the problem of distributed adaptive linear parameter estimation in multi-agent inference networks. Local sensing model information is only partially available at the agents and inter-agent communication is assumed to be…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2012-08-07 Soummya Kar , Jose' M. F. Moura , H. Vincent Poor

A single joinpoint changepoint model partitions a time series into two segments, joined at the changepoint time by constraining the estimated piecewise linear regression responses to be continuous. This manuscript derives the exact…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-26 Xueheng Shi , Robert Lund

We present a machine learning model for the analysis of randomly generated discrete signals, modeled as the points of an inhomogeneous, compound Poisson point process. Like the wavelet scattering transform introduced by Mallat, our…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-12 Michael Perlmutter , Jieqian He , Matthew Hirn

We extend the hypocoercivity framework for piecewise-deterministic Markov process (PDMP) Monte Carlo established in [Andrieu et. al. (2018)] to heavy-tailed target distributions, which exhibit subgeometric rates of convergence to…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-03 Christophe Andrieu , Paul Dobson , Andi Q. Wang

The availability of large spatial data geocoded at accurate locations has fueled a growing interest in spatial modeling and analysis of point processes. The proposed research is motivated by the intensity estimation problem for large…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-07-19 Lihao Yin , Huiyan Sang

In this chapter, we show how to efficiently model high-dimensional extreme peaks-over-threshold events over space in complex non-stationary settings, using extended latent Gaussian Models (LGMs), and how to exploit the fitted model in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-07 Arnab Hazra , Raphaël Huser , Árni V. Jóhannesson

Landslides pose severe threats to infrastructure, economies, and human lives, necessitating accurate detection and predictive mapping across diverse geographic regions. With advancements in deep learning and remote sensing, automated…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-20 Rahul A. Burange , Harsh K. Shinde , Omkar Mutyalwar
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