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Stochastic gradient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (SGMCMC) is considered the gold standard for Bayesian inference in large-scale models, such as Bayesian neural networks. Since practitioners face speed versus accuracy tradeoffs in these models,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-19 Antonios Alexos , Alex Boyd , Stephan Mandt

Using an asymmetric Laplace distribution, which provides a mechanism for Bayesian inference of quantile regression models, we develop a fully Bayesian approach to fitting single-index models in conditional quantile regression. In this work,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-19 Yuao Hua , Robert B. Gramacy , Heng Lian

Bayesian methods have proved powerful in many applications for the inference of model parameters from data. These methods are based on Bayes' theorem, which itself is deceptively simple. However, in practice the computations required are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-10 Michael A. Chappell , Mark W. Woolrich

Tensor decompositions play a crucial role in numerous applications related to multi-way data analysis. By employing a Bayesian framework with sparsity-inducing priors, Bayesian Tensor Ring (BTR) factorization offers probabilistic estimates…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-05 Zerui Tao , Toshihisa Tanaka , Qibin Zhao

The article develops a hybrid Variational Bayes algorithm that combines the mean-field and fixed-form Variational Bayes methods. The new estimation algorithm can be used to approximate any posterior without relying on conjugate priors. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-08-09 David J Nott , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Anthony Y. C. Kuk , Robert Kohn

A conventional Bayesian approach to prediction uses the posterior distribution to integrate out parameters in a density for unobserved data conditional on the observed data and parameters. When the true posterior is intractable, it is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-27 Lucas Kock , Scott A. Sisson , G. S. Rodrigues , David J. Nott

Multiple imputation has become one of the standard methods in drawing inferences in many incomplete data applications. Applications of multiple imputation in relatively more complex settings, such as high-dimensional clustered data, require…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-08 Qiushuang Li , Recai Yucel

Variational inference (VI) is widely used for approximate inference in Bayesian machine learning. In addition to this practical success, generalization bounds for variational inference and related algorithms have been developed, mostly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-19 Yadi Wei , Roni Khardon

Distributed inference/estimation in Bayesian framework in the context of sensor networks has recently received much attention due to its broad applicability. The variational Bayesian (VB) algorithm is a technique for approximating…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-30 Junhao Hua , Chunguang Li

Given discrete time observations over a growing time interval, we consider a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the L\'evy density of a L\'evy process belonging to a flexible class of infinite activity subordinators. Posterior…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-10 Denis Belomestny , Shota Gugushvili , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

Bayesian methodologies prioritising accurate associations above sparsity in Gaussian graphical model (GGM) estimation remain relatively scarce in scientific literature. It is well accepted that the $\ell_2$ penalty enjoys a smaller…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-31 J. Smith , M. Arashi , A. Bekker

Many probabilistic models of interest in scientific computing and machine learning have expensive, black-box likelihoods that prevent the application of standard techniques for Bayesian inference, such as MCMC, which would require access to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-11-30 Luigi Acerbi

Variational inference (VI) is a technique to approximate difficult to compute posteriors by optimization. In contrast to MCMC, VI scales to many observations. In the case of complex posteriors, however, state-of-the-art VI approaches often…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-26 Oliver Dürr , Stephan Hörling , Daniel Dold , Ivonne Kovylov , Beate Sick

Non-linear hierarchical models are commonly used in many disciplines. However, inference in the presence of non-nested effects and on large datasets is challenging and computationally burdensome. This paper provides two contributions to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-22 Max Goplerud

To adopt neural networks in safety critical domains, knowing whether we can trust their predictions is crucial. Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) provide uncertainty estimates by averaging predictions with respect to the posterior weight…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-17 Jannik Schmitt , Stefan Roth

Variational inference has become an increasingly attractive fast alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for approximate Bayesian inference. However, a major obstacle to the widespread use of variational methods is the lack of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-03 Jonathan H. Huggins , Mikołaj Kasprzak , Trevor Campbell , Tamara Broderick

Structured additive distributional regression models offer a versatile framework for estimating complete conditional distributions by relating all parameters of a parametric distribution to covariates. Although these models efficiently…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-14 Jana Kleinemeier , Nadja Klein

We consider continuous-time diffusion models driven by fractional Brownian motion. Observations are assumed to possess a non-trivial likelihood given the latent path. Due to the non-Markovianity and high-dimensionality of the latent paths,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-25 Alexandros Beskos , Joseph Dureau , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

The aim of this paper is to introduce an adaptive penalized estimator for identifying the true reduced parametric model under the sparsity assumption. In particular, we deal with the framework where the unpenalized estimator of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-02 Alessandro De Gregorio , Francesco Iafrate

As a computational alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo approaches, variational inference (VI) is becoming more and more popular for approximating intractable posterior distributions in large-scale Bayesian models due to its comparable…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-05 Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati , Yun Yang